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Serie B · Regular Season - 1 August 22, 2026 21:00 Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino
Avellino
#9 · 6 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Arezzo
#7 · 6 pts
R. Russo (ast. M. Palumbo) 15'
(pen.) 56' P. Cianci
90' (ast. S. Righetti) A. Ionita
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Avellino a 35% win probability (draw 32%, Arezzo 32%). The final result was Avellino 1–2 Arezzo.

Match statistics
7
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
2
0.70
Actual xG
1.27
1
Saves
1
61%
Possession
39%
2
Corners
2
8
Tackles
6
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
8'
G. Iaccarino
↕ D. Fila / A. Favilli
12'
⚽R. Russo · ast. M. Palumbo
15'
M. Besaggio
54'
56'
(pen.) P. Cianci⚽
63'
M. Sala
↕ M. Palumbo / L. Di Maggio
63'
↕ M. Besaggio / D. Sounas
64'
↕ B. Moruzzi / M. Sala
64'
66'
S. M. Eklu / M. Sala ↕
77'
E. Pattarello / A. Arena ↕
77'
M. Varela Djamanca / P. Cianci ↕
L. Palmiero
78'
82'
M. Viviani / G. Iaccarino ↕
↕ T. Biasci / L. Pandolfi
83'
90'
ast. S. Righetti · A. Ionita⚽
Pre-match prediction
35.04%
Avellino
32.48%
X
32.48%
Arezzo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Arezzo) 32.48% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Avellino
0.64
0.70
+0.06
Arezzo
1.49
1.27
-0.22
Arezzo dominated by xG (1.27 vs 0.70). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 3 9
2 Sudtirol Sudtirol 4 8
3 Mantova Mantova 3 7
4 Modena Modena 4 7
5 Ascoli Ascoli 4 7
6 Padova Padova 4 7
7 Arezzo Arezzo 4 6
8 Pisa Pisa 4 6
9 Avellino Avellino 3 6
10 Empoli Empoli 4 6
11 Cesena Cesena 3 5
12 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 4 5
13 Benevento Benevento 4 4
14 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 4 4
15 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 4 4
16 Cremonese Cremonese 3 3
17 Catanzaro Catanzaro 4 3
18 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 4 2
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 3 1
20 Carrarese Carrarese 4 1
Lineups
Avellino Avellino 4-2-3-1
50 T. Martinelli T. Martinelli 62' G 6.70
27 B. Moruzzi B. Moruzzi 62' D 6.30
44 L. Šimić L. Šimić 62' D 7.50
4 A. Izzo A. Izzo 62' D 7.00
29 T. Cancellotti T. Cancellotti 62' D 6.70
39 M. Besaggio M. Besaggio 62' M 6.30
6 L. Palmiero L. Palmiero 62' M 7.20
10 R. Russo R. Russo 1 ⚽ 62' M 8.90
14 T. Biasci T. Biasci 62' M 6.30
20 M. Palumbo M. Palumbo 1 👟 62' M 6.90
11 Daniel Fila Daniel Fila 12' F 6.30
Bench
99 A. Favilli A. Favilli 50' F 6.30
63 A. Fontanarosa A. Fontanarosa D
1 A. Iannarilli A. Iannarilli G
24 D. Sounas D. Sounas M
16 G. Faticanti G. Faticanti M
22 Jacopo Sassi Jacopo Sassi G
8 L. Di Maggio L. Di Maggio M
7 L. Pandolfi L. Pandolfi F
3 M. Sala M. Sala D
23 M. Venturi M. Venturi D
56 P. Enrici P. Enrici D
18 Thomas Berenbruch Thomas Berenbruch M
Arezzo Arezzo 4-4-2
14 A. Nunziante A. Nunziante 62' G 6.30
37 S. Righetti S. Righetti 1 👟 62' D 6.60
5 J. Illanes J. Illanes 62' D 6.50
13 M. Gilli M. Gilli 62' D 6.30
6 A. Renzi A. Renzi 62' D 6.30
21 C. Tavernelli C. Tavernelli 62' M 6.30
17 A. Ioniţă A. Ioniţă 1 ⚽ 62' M 6.50
78 Gennaro Iaccarino Gennaro Iaccarino 62' M 6.60
16 Mattia Sala Mattia Sala 62' M 6.60
71 P. Cianci P. Cianci 1 ⚽ 62' F 6.70
30 A. Arena A. Arena 62' F 7.00
Bench
32 A. Cagnano A. Cagnano D
90 A. Seculin A. Seculin G
10 E. Pattarello E. Pattarello F
22 F. Serban F. Serban G
29 Gianmarco Cipriani Gianmarco Cipriani F
7 Giuseppe Kevin Leone Giuseppe Kevin Leone M
24 L. Chierico L. Chierico M
4 M. Coppolaro M. Coppolaro D
2 M. Mena M. Mena D
11 Muhamed Varela Djamanca Muhamed Varela Djamanca F
23 M. Viviani M. Viviani M
8 S. Mawuli S. Mawuli M
Best on the pitch
R. Russo
R. Russo
M · Avellino
8.90
1 ⚽
2 shots · 29 pass
L. Šimić
L. Šimić
D · Avellino
7.50
· 50 pass
L. Palmiero
L. Palmiero
M · Avellino
7.20
· 56 pass
A. Izzo
A. Izzo
D · Avellino
7.00
· 56 pass
A. Arena
A. Arena
F · Arezzo
7.00
2 shots · 17 pass
M. Palumbo
M. Palumbo
M · Avellino
6.90
1 👟
· 32 pass
Avellino Avellino — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Martinelli G 62 6.70 — — — 14 11% — — —
B. Moruzzi D 62 6.30 — — — 20 19% 1 — —
L. Šimić D 62 7.50 — — — 50 50% 1 — —
A. Izzo D 62 7.00 — — — 56 50% 1 — —
T. Cancellotti D 62 6.70 — — — 38 36% — — —
M. Besaggio M 62 6.30 — — — 38 36% 1 1 —
L. Palmiero M 62 7.20 — — — 56 47% 2 — —
R. Russo M 62 8.90 1 — 2 29 24% — — —
T. Biasci M 62 6.30 — — 3 14 10% 1 — —
M. Palumbo M 62 6.90 — 1 — 32 26% 1 — —
Daniel Fila F 12 6.30 — — — 3 3% — — —
A. Favilli F 50 6.30 — — 2 12 9% — — —
Arezzo Arezzo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Nunziante G 62 6.30 — — — 16 7% — — —
S. Righetti D 62 6.60 — 1 — 28 26% — — —
J. Illanes D 62 6.50 — — 1 26 24% — — —
M. Gilli D 62 6.30 — — 1 24 18% 1 — —
A. Renzi D 62 6.30 — — — 14 10% 2 — —
C. Tavernelli M 62 6.30 — — 2 22 19% — — —
A. Ioniţă M 62 6.50 1 — — 19 15% 1 — —
Gennaro Iaccarino M 62 6.60 — — 1 25 23% — 1 —
Mattia Sala M 62 6.60 — — — 25 22% 2 — —
P. Cianci F 62 6.70 1 — 2 8 7% — — —
A. Arena F 62 7.00 — — 2 17 14% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Avellino vs Arezzo?
The final score was Avellino 1–2 Arezzo.
What did the model predict before Avellino vs Arezzo?
The model assigned 35% probability to a Avellino win, 32% to a draw, and 32% to an Arezzo win.