A. Iannarilli
(ast. R. Insigne)
90'+5
60'
(ast. S. Pontisso)
P. Iemmello
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Catanzaro a 40% win probability (draw 31%, Avellino 27%). The final result was Avellino 1–1 Catanzaro. In 2 previous meetings, Avellino have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Catanzaro.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
2.08
Actual xG
0.54
1
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
6
Corners
1
19
Tackles
12
4
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
4'
J. Petriccione
R. Russo
10'
D. Sounas
29'
31'
M. Pompetti
/
J. Petriccione
T. Cancellotti
40'
J. Kumi
/ F. Missori
46'
56'
N. Brighenti
60'
ast. S. Pontisso ·
P. Iemmello⚽
T. Biasci
/ C. Patierno
63'
M. Palumbo
/ A. Favilli
63'
T. Cancellotti
/ R. Insigne
64'
66'
S. Pontisso
72'
F. Di Francesco
75'
N. Brighenti
75'
N. Brighenti
⚽A. Favilli
(missed pen.)
76'
79'
D. Buglio
/
S. Pontisso
79'
R. Frosinini
/
F. Di Francesco
79'
G. Esteves
/
M. Liberali
D. Sounas
/ A. Le Borgne
79'
86'
B. Verrengia
/
Fellipe Jack
⚽A. Iannarilli
· ast. R. Insigne
90'+5
A. Iannarilli
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
27.79%
Avellino
31.42%
X ←
40.79%
Catanzaro
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.42%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.92
2.08
+1.17
1.32
0.54
-0.78
Avellino dominated by xG (2.08 vs 0.54).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Antony Iannarilli
1 ⚽
G
Antony Iannarilli
1 ⚽
G
3
D
56
D
44
Lorenco Šimić
D
29
Tommaso Cancellotti
64'
D
Tommaso Cancellotti
64'
D
24
Dimitrios Sounas
79'
M
Dimitrios Sounas
79'
M
6
L. Palmiero
M
L. Palmiero
M
16
Justin Kumi
45'
M
Justin Kumi
45'
M
20
Martin Palumbo
63'
M
Martin Palumbo
63'
M
10
Raffaele Russo
F
Raffaele Russo
F
14
T. Biasci
63'
F
T. Biasci
63'
F
Bench
99
A. Favilli
27'
F
63
A. Fontanarosa
D
A. Fontanarosa
D
9
Cosimo Patierno
27'
F
Cosimo Patierno
27'
F
2
Filippo Missori
45'
D
Filippo Missori
45'
D
39
Michele Besaggio
M
Michele Besaggio
M
94
Roberto Insigne
1 👟
26'
F
Roberto Insigne
1 👟
26'
F
22
G
6
Fellipe Jack
86'
D
Fellipe Jack
86'
D
4
Matias Antonini
D
Matias Antonini
D
23
Nicolò Brighenti
75'
D
Nicolò Brighenti
75'
D
94
Federico Di Francesco
79'
M
Federico Di Francesco
79'
M
10
J. Petriccione
31'
M
J. Petriccione
31'
M
20
S. Pontisso
1 👟
79'
M
S. Pontisso
1 👟
79'
M
27
Costantino Favasuli
M
Costantino Favasuli
M
32
Fabio Rispoli
F
Fabio Rispoli
F
14
Mattia Liberali
79'
F
Mattia Liberali
79'
F
9
P. Iemmello
1 ⚽
F
P. Iemmello
1 ⚽
F
Bench
26
Bruno Verrengia
11'
D
Bruno Verrengia
11'
D
98
Davide Buglio
11'
M
Davide Buglio
11'
M
2
G. Esteves
11'
D
21
Marco Pompetti
59'
M
Marco Pompetti
59'
M
39
N'Dri Koffi
F
N'Dri Koffi
F
28
Rémi Oudin
M
Rémi Oudin
M
62
R. Frosinini
11'
D
R. Frosinini
11'
D
Best on the pitch
S. Pontisso
M · Catanzaro
8.30
1 👟
· 67 pass
P. Iemmello
F · Catanzaro
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 21 pass
Dimitrios Sounas
M · Avellino
7.50
1 shots
· 25 pass
Antony Iannarilli
G · Avellino
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
Raffaele Russo
F · Avellino
7.30
3 shots
· 18 pass
Costantino Favasuli
M · Catanzaro
7.20
· 21 pass
Avellino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antony Iannarilli | G | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 38% | 3 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 41% | 1 | — | — | |
| Lorenco Šimić | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | 5 | — | — |
| Tommaso Cancellotti | D | 64 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| Dimitrios Sounas | M | 79 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Palmiero | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| Justin Kumi | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Martin Palumbo | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Raffaele Russo | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Biasci | F | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Favilli | F | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Cosimo Patierno | F | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Filippo Missori | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| Roberto Insigne | F | 26 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
Catanzaro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 44 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| Fellipe Jack | D | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 58 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| Matias Antonini | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 58 | 55% | — | — | — |
| Nicolò Brighenti | D | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | 2 | 1 |
| Federico Di Francesco | M | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Petriccione | M | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Pontisso | M | 79 | 8.30 | — | 1 | — | 67 | 66% | — | 1 | — |
| Costantino Favasuli | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| Fabio Rispoli | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| Mattia Liberali | F | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| P. Iemmello | F | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Verrengia | D | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Davide Buglio | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| G. Esteves | D | 11 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Marco Pompetti | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| R. Frosinini | D | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Avellino vs Catanzaro?
The final score was Avellino 1–1 Catanzaro.
What did the model predict before Avellino vs Catanzaro?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Avellino win, 31% to a draw, and 40% to an Catanzaro win.