A. Iannarilli
(ast. R. Insigne)
90'+5
60'
(ast. S. Pontisso)
P. Iemmello
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Catanzaro a 40% win probability (draw 31%, Avellino 27%). The final result was Avellino 1–1 Catanzaro. In 2 previous meetings, Avellino have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Catanzaro.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
2.08
Actual xG
0.54
1
Saves
3
44%
Possession
56%
6
Corners
1
19
Tackles
12
4
🟨 Yellow cards
5
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
4'
J. Petriccione
R. Russo
10'
D. Sounas
29'
31'
M. Pompetti
/
J. Petriccione
T. Cancellotti
40'
J. Kumi
/ F. Missori
46'
56'
N. Brighenti
60'
ast. S. Pontisso ·
P. Iemmello⚽
T. Biasci
/ C. Patierno
63'
M. Palumbo
/ A. Favilli
63'
T. Cancellotti
/ R. Insigne
64'
66'
S. Pontisso
72'
F. Di Francesco
75'
N. Brighenti
75'
N. Brighenti
⚽A. Favilli
(missed pen.)
76'
79'
D. Buglio
/
S. Pontisso
79'
R. Frosinini
/
F. Di Francesco
79'
G. Esteves
/
M. Liberali
D. Sounas
/ A. Le Borgne
79'
86'
B. Verrengia
/
Fellipe Jack
⚽A. Iannarilli
· ast. R. Insigne
90'+5
A. Iannarilli
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
27.79%
Avellino
31.42%
X ←
40.79%
Catanzaro
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.42%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.92
2.08
+1.17
1.32
0.54
-0.78
Avellino dominated by xG (2.08 vs 0.54).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Iannarilli
1 ⚽
G
A. Iannarilli
1 ⚽
G
3
D
56
D
44
L. Šimić
D
L. Šimić
D
29
T. Cancellotti
64'
D
T. Cancellotti
64'
D
24
D. Sounas
79'
M
D. Sounas
79'
M
6
L. Palmiero
M
L. Palmiero
M
16
J. Kumi
45'
M
J. Kumi
45'
M
20
M. Palumbo
63'
M
M. Palumbo
63'
M
10
R. Russo
F
R. Russo
F
14
T. Biasci
63'
F
T. Biasci
63'
F
Bench
99
A. Favilli
27'
F
A. Favilli
27'
F
63
A. Fontanarosa
D
A. Fontanarosa
D
9
Cosimo Patierno
27'
F
Cosimo Patierno
27'
F
2
F. Missori
45'
D
F. Missori
45'
D
39
M. Besaggio
M
M. Besaggio
M
94
Roberto Insigne
1 👟
26'
F
Roberto Insigne
1 👟
26'
F
22
G
6
Fellipe Jack
86'
D
Fellipe Jack
86'
D
4
Matias Antonini
D
Matias Antonini
D
23
N. Brighenti
75'
D
N. Brighenti
75'
D
94
F. Di Francesco
79'
M
F. Di Francesco
79'
M
10
J. Petriccione
31'
M
J. Petriccione
31'
M
20
S. Pontisso
1 👟
79'
M
S. Pontisso
1 👟
79'
M
27
C. Favasuli
M
C. Favasuli
M
32
Fabio Rispoli
F
Fabio Rispoli
F
14
M. Liberali
79'
F
M. Liberali
79'
F
9
P. Iemmello
1 ⚽
F
P. Iemmello
1 ⚽
F
Bench
26
B. Verrengia
11'
D
B. Verrengia
11'
D
98
D. Buglio
11'
M
D. Buglio
11'
M
2
Gonçalo Esteves
11'
D
Gonçalo Esteves
11'
D
21
M. Pompetti
59'
M
M. Pompetti
59'
M
39
N. Koffi
F
N. Koffi
F
28
Rémi Oudin
M
62
R. Frosinini
11'
D
R. Frosinini
11'
D
Best on the pitch
S. Pontisso
M · Catanzaro
8.30
1 👟
· 67 pass
P. Iemmello
F · Catanzaro
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 21 pass
D. Sounas
M · Avellino
7.50
1 shots
· 25 pass
A. Iannarilli
G · Avellino
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
R. Russo
F · Avellino
7.30
3 shots
· 18 pass
C. Favasuli
M · Catanzaro
7.20
· 21 pass
Avellino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Iannarilli | G | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 38% | 3 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 41% | 1 | — | — | |
| L. Šimić | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 31% | 5 | — | — |
| T. Cancellotti | D | 64 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Sounas | M | 79 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Palmiero | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Kumi | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| M. Palumbo | M | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Russo | F | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 16% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Biasci | F | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| A. Favilli | F | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Cosimo Patierno | F | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| F. Missori | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| Roberto Insigne | F | 26 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
Catanzaro — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 44 | 22% | — | — | — | |
| Fellipe Jack | D | 86 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 58 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| Matias Antonini | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 58 | 55% | — | — | — |
| N. Brighenti | D | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | 2 | 1 |
| F. Di Francesco | M | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Petriccione | M | 31 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 38% | 1 | 1 | — |
| S. Pontisso | M | 79 | 8.30 | — | 1 | — | 67 | 66% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Favasuli | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | 4 | — | — |
| Fabio Rispoli | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Liberali | F | 79 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| P. Iemmello | F | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 21 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Verrengia | D | 11 | 6.20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Buglio | M | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Esteves | D | 11 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Pompetti | M | 59 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | — | — | — |
| R. Frosinini | D | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Avellino vs Catanzaro?
The final score was Avellino 1–1 Catanzaro.
What did the model predict before Avellino vs Catanzaro?
The model assigned 27% probability to a Avellino win, 31% to a draw, and 40% to an Catanzaro win.