F. Bagheria
44'
(og)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Avellino a 50% win probability (draw 24%, Modena 25%). The final result was Avellino 1–0 Modena. In 2 previous meetings, Avellino have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Modena.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
3
8
Shots on target
1
1.37
Actual xG
0.13
1
Saves
6
58%
Possession
42%
6
Corners
0
16
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
13'
N. Pyyhtia
⚽F. Bagheria
(og)
44'
46'
G. Defrel
/
E. Gliozzi
46'
A. Sersanti
/
N. Pyyhtia
A. Izzo
49'
62'
G. Beyuku
/
C. Cauz
73'
T. M. Fabbri
/
S. Wiafe
R. Insigne
/ M. Palumbo
76'
79'
M. De Luca
/
P. Mendes
R. Russo
/ L. Sgarbi
87'
C. Patierno
/ T. Biasci
88'
M. Besaggio
/ J. Kumi
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
50.0%
Avellino ←
24.46%
X
25.54%
Modena
we assigned to the actual result (Avellino)
50.0%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.52
1.37
-0.15
1.08
0.13
-0.95
Avellino dominated by xG (1.37 vs 0.13).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
A. Iannarilli
G
A. Iannarilli
G
2
F. Missori
D
F. Missori
D
56
D
4
A. Izzo
D
A. Izzo
D
29
T. Cancellotti
D
T. Cancellotti
D
39
M. Besaggio
89'
M
M. Besaggio
89'
M
6
L. Palmiero
M
L. Palmiero
M
24
D. Sounas
M
D. Sounas
M
94
Roberto Insigne
76'
M
Roberto Insigne
76'
M
10
R. Russo
87'
F
R. Russo
87'
F
9
Cosimo Patierno
88'
F
Cosimo Patierno
88'
F
Bench
16
J. Kumi
1'
M
J. Kumi
1'
M
20
M. Palumbo
14'
M
M. Palumbo
14'
M
14
T. Biasci
2'
F
T. Biasci
2'
F
78
F. Bagheria
1 ⚽
G
F. Bagheria
1 ⚽
G
33
C. Cauz
62'
D
C. Cauz
62'
D
25
D
28
D. Adorni
D
D. Adorni
D
29
Matteo Cotali
M
Matteo Cotali
M
18
Niklas Pyyhtiä
45'
M
Niklas Pyyhtiä
45'
M
80
M
71
S. Wiafe
73'
M
S. Wiafe
73'
M
90
M
9
E. Gliozzi
45'
F
E. Gliozzi
45'
F
11
Pedro Mendes
79'
F
Pedro Mendes
79'
F
Bench
24
E. Colpo
F
2
Gady Beyuku
28'
D
Gady Beyuku
28'
D
99
M. De Luca
11'
F
M. De Luca
11'
F
17
Y. Massolin
M
Y. Massolin
M
Best on the pitch
F. Bagheria
G · Modena
7.90
1 ⚽
· 42 pass
A. Izzo
D · Avellino
7.70
1 shots
· 65 pass
L. Palmiero
M · Avellino
7.70
· 65 pass
F. Missori
D · Avellino
7.30
1 shots
· 58 pass
M. Besaggio
M · Avellino
7.30
1 shots
· 37 pass
D · Avellino
7.20
3 shots
· 54 pass
Avellino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Iannarilli | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 23% | — | — | — |
| F. Missori | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 54 | 45% | — | — | — | |
| A. Izzo | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 56% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Cancellotti | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Besaggio | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Palmiero | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 65 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Sounas | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 56 | 49% | 3 | — | — |
| Roberto Insigne | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 40% | — | — | — |
| R. Russo | F | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Cosimo Patierno | F | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Kumi | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Palumbo | M | 14 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| T. Biasci | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Modena — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Bagheria | G | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | — | 42 | 28% | — | — | — |
| C. Cauz | D | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | 1 | — | — | |
| D. Adorni | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Matteo Cotali | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| Niklas Pyyhtiä | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 39% | 3 | — | — | |
| S. Wiafe | M | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 4 | — | — | |
| E. Gliozzi | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Mendes | F | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Gady Beyuku | D | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| M. De Luca | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Avellino vs Modena?
The final score was Avellino 1–0 Modena.
What did the model predict before Avellino vs Modena?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Avellino win, 24% to a draw, and 25% to an Modena win.