F. Bagheria
44'
(og)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Avellino a 50% win probability (draw 24%, Modena 25%). The final result was Avellino 1–0 Modena. In 1 previous meetings, Avellino have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Modena.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
3
8
Shots on target
1
1.37
Actual xG
0.13
1
Saves
6
58%
Possession
42%
6
Corners
0
16
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
13'
N. Pyyhtia
⚽F. Bagheria
(og)
44'
46'
G. Defrel
/
E. Gliozzi
46'
A. Sersanti
/
N. Pyyhtia
A. Izzo
49'
62'
G. Beyuku
/
C. Cauz
73'
T. M. Fabbri
/
S. Wiafe
R. Insigne
/ M. Palumbo
76'
79'
M. De Luca
/
P. Mendes
R. Russo
/ L. Sgarbi
87'
C. Patierno
/ T. Biasci
88'
M. Besaggio
/ J. Kumi
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
50.0%
Avellino ←
24.46%
X
25.54%
Modena
we assigned to the actual result (Avellino)
50.0%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.52
1.37
-0.15
1.08
0.13
-0.95
Avellino dominated by xG (1.37 vs 0.13).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Antony Iannarilli
G
Antony Iannarilli
G
2
Filippo Missori
D
Filippo Missori
D
56
D
4
Armando Izzo
D
Armando Izzo
D
29
Tommaso Cancellotti
D
Tommaso Cancellotti
D
39
Michele Besaggio
89'
M
Michele Besaggio
89'
M
6
L. Palmiero
M
L. Palmiero
M
24
Dimitrios Sounas
M
Dimitrios Sounas
M
94
Roberto Insigne
76'
M
Roberto Insigne
76'
M
10
Raffaele Russo
87'
F
Raffaele Russo
87'
F
9
Cosimo Patierno
88'
F
Cosimo Patierno
88'
F
Bench
16
Justin Kumi
1'
M
Justin Kumi
1'
M
20
Martin Palumbo
14'
M
Martin Palumbo
14'
M
14
T. Biasci
2'
F
T. Biasci
2'
F
78
Fabrizio Bagheria
1 ⚽
G
Fabrizio Bagheria
1 ⚽
G
33
C. Cauz
62'
D
25
D
28
Davide Adorni
D
Davide Adorni
D
29
Matteo Cotali
M
Matteo Cotali
M
18
Niklas Pyyhtiä
45'
M
Niklas Pyyhtiä
45'
M
80
M
71
Samuel Wiafe
73'
M
Samuel Wiafe
73'
M
90
M
9
E. Gliozzi
45'
F
E. Gliozzi
45'
F
11
Pedro Mendes
79'
F
Pedro Mendes
79'
F
Bench
24
E. Colpo
F
2
Gady Beyuku
28'
D
Gady Beyuku
28'
D
99
Manuel De Luca
11'
F
Manuel De Luca
11'
F
17
Yanis Massolin
M
Yanis Massolin
M
Best on the pitch
Fabrizio Bagheria
G · Modena
7.90
1 ⚽
· 42 pass
Armando Izzo
D · Avellino
7.70
1 shots
· 65 pass
L. Palmiero
M · Avellino
7.70
· 65 pass
Filippo Missori
D · Avellino
7.30
1 shots
· 58 pass
Michele Besaggio
M · Avellino
7.30
1 shots
· 37 pass
D · Avellino
7.20
3 shots
· 54 pass
Avellino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antony Iannarilli | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Filippo Missori | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 53% | 3 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 54 | 45% | — | — | — | |
| Armando Izzo | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 65 | 56% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tommaso Cancellotti | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| Michele Besaggio | M | 89 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Palmiero | M | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 65 | 60% | 1 | — | — |
| Dimitrios Sounas | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 56 | 49% | 3 | — | — |
| Roberto Insigne | M | 76 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 40% | — | — | — |
| Raffaele Russo | F | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Cosimo Patierno | F | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Justin Kumi | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Palumbo | M | 14 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| T. Biasci | F | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
Modena — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio Bagheria | G | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | — | 42 | 28% | — | — | — |
| C. Cauz | D | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 45 | 35% | 1 | — | — | |
| Davide Adorni | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Matteo Cotali | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 47 | 43% | 3 | — | — |
| Niklas Pyyhtiä | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 15 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 39% | 3 | — | — | |
| Samuel Wiafe | M | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 27% | 4 | — | — | |
| E. Gliozzi | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Mendes | F | 79 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Gady Beyuku | D | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Manuel De Luca | F | 11 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Avellino vs Modena?
The final score was Avellino 1–0 Modena.
What did the model predict before Avellino vs Modena?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Avellino win, 24% to a draw, and 25% to an Modena win.