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Serie B · Regular Season - 8 October 24, 2026 15:00 Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino
Avellino
#9 · 12 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Padova
#7 · 13 pts
20' (ast. Gabriele Artistico) Emanuele Zuelli
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Avellino a 43% win probability (draw 28%, Padova 27%). The final result was Avellino 0–1 Padova. In 2 previous meetings, Avellino have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Padova.

Match statistics
28
Total shots
8
7
Shots on target
1
2.18
Actual xG
0.86
0
Saves
7
69%
Possession
31%
11
Corners
2
9
Tackles
12
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
20'
ast. Gabriele Artistico · Emanuele Zuelli⚽
41'
Giovanni·Giunti
41'
Pietro Fusi
↕ Luca Palmiero / L. Di Maggio
45'
↕ Walid Cheddira / Andrea Favilli
59'
↕ Alessandro Di Bitonto / Armando Izzo
59'
66'
Kevin Varas / Pietro Fusi ↕
↕ Martin Palumbo / Tommaso Biasci
74'
77'
Marco Pompetti / Giovanni·Giunti ↕
77'
Mattia Bortolussi / Gabriele Artistico ↕
↕ Brando Moruzzi / S. Di Paolo
82'
90'+2
Alexander Seghetti / Luca Moro ↕
90'+2
Nicolas Galazzi / Emanuele Zuelli ↕
Pre-match prediction
43.65%
Avellino
28.36%
X
27.99%
Padova ←
we assigned to the actual result (Padova) 27.99% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Avellino
1.84
2.18
+0.34
Padova
1.06
0.86
-0.2
Avellino dominated by xG (2.18 vs 0.86). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 8 22
2 Modena Modena 9 19
3 Ascoli Ascoli 9 18
4 Mantova Mantova 9 17
5 Benevento Benevento 9 15
6 Pisa Pisa 8 14
7 Padova Padova 9 13
8 Sudtirol Sudtirol 9 13
9 Avellino Avellino 9 12
10 Cesena Cesena 9 11
11 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 9 10
12 Arezzo Arezzo 8 10
13 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 8 9
14 Cremonese Cremonese 9 9
15 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 9 9
16 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 8 8
17 Empoli Empoli 9 7
18 Carrarese Carrarese 8 7
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 9 5
20 Catanzaro Catanzaro 9 5
Lineups
Avellino Avellino 3-5-2
50 T. Martinelli T. Martinelli G 6.61
56 P. Enrici P. Enrici D 7.43
23 M. Venturi M. Venturi D 7.37
5 A. Di Bitonto A. Di Bitonto 59' D 7.14
27 B. Moruzzi B. Moruzzi 82' M 7.01
39 M. Besaggio M. Besaggio M 7.20
6 L. Palmiero L. Palmiero 45' M 6.93
20 M. Palumbo M. Palumbo 74' M 6.70
2 F. Missori F. Missori M 6.32
10 R. Russo R. Russo F 6.77
9 W. Cheddira W. Cheddira 59' F 6.37
Bench
99 A. Favilli A. Favilli 31' F 6.24
1 A. Iannarilli A. Iannarilli G 0.00
4 A. Izzo A. Izzo 31' D 6.52
24 D. Sounas D. Sounas M 0.00
30 E. Adamo E. Adamo M 0.00
16 G. Faticanti G. Faticanti M 0.00
8 L. Di Maggio L. Di Maggio 45' M 7.20
7 L. Pandolfi L. Pandolfi F 0.00
3 M. Sala M. Sala D 0.00
14 T. Biasci T. Biasci 16' F 6.30
29 T. Cancellotti T. Cancellotti D 0.00
Padova Padova 3-5-2
22 A. Sorrentino A. Sorrentino G 8.58
27 Alessandro Dellavalle Alessandro Dellavalle D 7.47
5 M. Lovato M. Lovato D 6.76
32 F. Sgarbi F. Sgarbi D 6.99
17 A. Capelli A. Capelli M 6.62
8 P. Fusi P. Fusi 66' M 6.69
6 G. Giunti G. Giunti 77' M 7.15
21 E. Zuelli E. Zuelli 1 ⚽ 89' M 8.20
24 L. Carissoni L. Carissoni M 6.34
90 G. Artistico G. Artistico 1 👟 77' F 7.10
9 L. Moro L. Moro 89' F 6.32
Bench
11 A. Seghetti A. Seghetti 1' F 0.00
72 C. Faedo C. Faedo D 0.00
58 C. Pastina C. Pastina D 0.00
18 E. Silletti E. Silletti D 0.00
23 F. Di Mariano F. Di Mariano M 0.00
7 K. Varas K. Varas 24' M 6.78
1 L. Mouquet L. Mouquet G 0.00
20 M. Bortolussi M. Bortolussi 13' F 6.53
34 M. Cocchi M. Cocchi D 0.00
25 N. Galazzi N. Galazzi 1' M 0.00
12 S. Scaglia S. Scaglia G 0.00
Best on the pitch
A. Sorrentino
A. Sorrentino
G · Padova
8.58
· 32 pass
E. Zuelli
E. Zuelli
M · Padova
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 27 pass
Alessandro Dellavalle
Alessandro Dellavalle
D · Padova
7.47
1 shots · 24 pass
P. Enrici
P. Enrici
D · Avellino
7.43
3 shots · 104 pass
M. Venturi
M. Venturi
D · Avellino
7.37
2 shots · 60 pass
M. Besaggio
M. Besaggio
M · Avellino
7.20
· 46 pass
Avellino Avellino — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Martinelli G 90 6.61 — — 0 35 35% 0 — —
P. Enrici D 90 7.43 — — 3 104 98% 2 — —
M. Venturi D 90 7.37 — — 2 60 58% 3 — —
A. Di Bitonto D 59 7.14 — — 3 64 58% 0 — —
B. Moruzzi M 82 7.01 — — 4 33 25% 1 — —
M. Besaggio M 90 7.20 — — 0 46 43% 1 — —
L. Palmiero M 45 6.93 — — 0 38 33% 0 — —
M. Palumbo M 74 6.70 — — 5 38 32% 0 — —
F. Missori M 90 6.32 — — 1 53 46% 0 — —
R. Russo F 90 6.77 — — 4 28 20% 0 — —
W. Cheddira F 59 6.37 — — 2 9 7% 0 — —
A. Favilli F 31 6.24 — — 1 5 4% 0 — —
A. Izzo D 31 6.52 — — 1 38 31% 1 — —
L. Di Maggio M 45 7.20 — — 2 38 34% 0 — —
T. Biasci F 16 6.30 — — 0 4 2% 1 — —
Padova Padova — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
A. Sorrentino G 90 8.58 — — 0 32 14% 0 — —
Alessandro Dellavalle D 90 7.47 — — 1 24 23% 3 — —
M. Lovato D 90 6.76 — — 0 25 17% 2 — —
F. Sgarbi D 90 6.99 — — 0 19 12% 1 — —
A. Capelli M 90 6.62 — — 1 30 22% 0 — —
P. Fusi M 66 6.69 — — 2 20 15% 1 1 —
G. Giunti M 77 7.15 — — 1 34 30% 1 1 —
E. Zuelli M 89 8.20 1 — 3 27 24% 0 — —
L. Carissoni M 90 6.34 — — 0 21 13% 3 — —
G. Artistico F 77 7.10 — 1 0 12 7% 0 — —
L. Moro F 89 6.32 — — 0 16 8% 1 — —
A. Seghetti F 1 0.00 — — 0 1 1% 0 — —
K. Varas M 24 6.78 — — 0 6 4% 0 — —
M. Bortolussi F 13 6.53 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
N. Galazzi M 1 0.00 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Avellino vs Padova?
The final score was Avellino 0–1 Padova.
What did the model predict before Avellino vs Padova?
The model assigned 43% probability to a Avellino win, 28% to a draw, and 27% to an Padova win.