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Serie B · Regular Season - 6 October 09, 2026 20:30 Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino
Avellino
#9 · 12 pts
4 – 1
Final score
Sampdoria
#19 · 5 pts
Walid Cheddira (ast. Brando Moruzzi) 12'
Martin Palumbo (ast. Raffaele Russo) 20'
Raffaele Russo (ast. Brando Moruzzi) 24'
Michele Besaggio 29'
18' (ast. Tobias Lauritsen) Lorenzo Insigne
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Avellino a 36% win probability (draw 31%, Sampdoria 32%). The final result was Avellino 4–1 Sampdoria. In 2 previous meetings, Avellino have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sampdoria.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
12
4
Shots on target
3
2.35
Actual xG
0.58
2
Saves
0
51%
Possession
49%
0
Corners
6
21
Tackles
11
4
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽Walid Cheddira · ast. Brando Moruzzi
12'
18'
ast. Tobias Lauritsen · Lorenzo Insigne⚽
⚽Martin Palumbo · ast. Raffaele Russo
20'
⚽Raffaele Russo · ast. Brando Moruzzi
24'
⚽Michele Besaggio
29'
45'
Alex Ferrari / Yann Karamoh ↕
↕ Walid Cheddira / Andrea Favilli
59'
↕ Luca Palmiero / Giacomo Faticanti
59'
61'
Gennaro Tutino / Yari Verschaeren ↕
68'
Tjas Begic / Tobias Lauritsen ↕
68'
Fabio Depaoli / Liam Henderson ↕
Michael Venturi
71'
↕ Martin Palumbo / Dimitrios Sounas
76'
↕ Raffaele Russo / Tommaso Biasci
76'
77'
Alex Ferrari
79'
Andrea Favilli
81'
↕ Brando Moruzzi / Marco Sala
85'
Armando Izzo
90'+1
Michele Besaggio
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
36.13%
Avellino ←
31.1%
X
32.77%
Sampdoria
we assigned to the actual result (Avellino) 36.13% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Avellino
1.21
2.35
+1.14
Sampdoria
1.04
0.58
-0.46
Avellino dominated by xG (2.35 vs 0.58). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palermo Palermo 8 22
2 Modena Modena 9 19
3 Ascoli Ascoli 9 18
4 Mantova Mantova 9 17
5 Benevento Benevento 9 15
6 Pisa Pisa 8 14
7 Padova Padova 9 13
8 Sudtirol Sudtirol 9 13
9 Avellino Avellino 9 12
10 Cesena Cesena 9 11
11 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 9 10
12 Arezzo Arezzo 8 10
13 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 8 9
14 Cremonese Cremonese 9 9
15 Vicenza Virtus Vicenza Virtus 9 9
16 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 8 8
17 Empoli Empoli 9 7
18 Carrarese Carrarese 8 7
19 Sampdoria Sampdoria 9 5
20 Catanzaro Catanzaro 9 5
Lineups
Avellino Avellino 3-5-2
50 T. Martinelli T. Martinelli G 6.84
56 P. Enrici P. Enrici D 6.52
23 M. Venturi M. Venturi D 6.43
4 A. Izzo A. Izzo D 6.56
27 B. Moruzzi B. Moruzzi 2 👟 85' M 8.60
39 M. Besaggio M. Besaggio 1 ⚽ M 7.86
6 L. Palmiero L. Palmiero 59' M 6.85
20 M. Palumbo M. Palumbo 1 ⚽ 76' M 7.78
2 F. Missori F. Missori M 6.46
9 W. Cheddira W. Cheddira 1 ⚽ 59' F 7.84
10 R. Russo R. Russo 1 ⚽ 1 👟 76' F 8.47
Bench
5 A. Di Bitonto A. Di Bitonto D 0.00
99 A. Favilli A. Favilli 31' F 6.26
1 A. Iannarilli A. Iannarilli G 0.00
24 D. Sounas D. Sounas 14' M 6.25
30 E. Adamo E. Adamo M 0.00
16 G. Faticanti G. Faticanti 31' M 6.30
7 L. Pandolfi L. Pandolfi F 0.00
44 L. Šimić L. Šimić D 0.00
3 M. Sala M. Sala 5' D 6.66
14 T. Biasci T. Biasci 14' F 6.10
18 Thomas Berenbruch Thomas Berenbruch M 0.00
Sampdoria Sampdoria 4-3-2-1
1 P. Vindahl P. Vindahl G 5.12
7 M. Cicconi M. Cicconi D 6.05
15 F. Delli Carri F. Delli Carri D 6.39
3 S. Gartenmann S. Gartenmann D 6.13
29 A. Di Pardo A. Di Pardo D 6.05
16 Y. Verschaeren Y. Verschaeren 61' M 6.06
45 A. Makoumbou A. Makoumbou M 6.48
6 L. Henderson L. Henderson 68' M 6.22
10 L. Insigne L. Insigne 1 ⚽ M 7.23
14
M 0.00
9 T. Lauritsen T. Lauritsen 1 👟 68' F 7.08
Bench
25 A. Ferrari A. Ferrari 45' D 5.61
12 Andrey Krastev Andrey Krastev G 0.00
23 F. Depaoli F. Depaoli 22' D 5.69
99 G. Tutino G. Tutino 29' F 6.21
43 K. Mbabu K. Mbabu D 0.00
13 L. Ravanelli L. Ravanelli D 0.00
96 S. Massolo S. Massolo G 0.00
11 T. Begić T. Begić 22' F 6.35
Best on the pitch
B. Moruzzi
B. Moruzzi
M · Avellino
8.60
2 👟
· 29 pass
R. Russo
R. Russo
F · Avellino
8.47
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots · 22 pass
M. Besaggio
M. Besaggio
M · Avellino
7.86
1 ⚽
1 shots · 54 pass
W. Cheddira
W. Cheddira
F · Avellino
7.84
1 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
M. Palumbo
M. Palumbo
M · Avellino
7.78
1 ⚽
1 shots · 24 pass
L. Insigne
L. Insigne
M · Sampdoria
7.23
1 ⚽
4 shots · 48 pass
Avellino Avellino — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
T. Martinelli G 90 6.84 — — 0 38 30% 0 — —
P. Enrici D 90 6.52 — — 0 60 50% 1 — —
M. Venturi D 90 6.43 — — 0 59 55% 1 1 —
A. Izzo D 90 6.56 — — 0 47 40% 3 1 —
B. Moruzzi M 85 8.60 — 2 0 29 24% 2 — —
M. Besaggio M 90 7.86 1 — 1 54 48% 2 1 —
L. Palmiero M 59 6.85 — — 0 47 44% 1 — —
M. Palumbo M 76 7.78 1 — 1 24 18% 5 — —
F. Missori M 90 6.46 — — 4 40 30% 0 — —
W. Cheddira F 59 7.84 1 — 2 9 8% 1 — —
R. Russo F 76 8.47 1 1 1 22 14% 3 — —
A. Favilli F 31 6.26 — — 0 10 10% 0 1 —
D. Sounas M 14 6.25 — — 0 10 8% 1 — —
G. Faticanti M 31 6.30 — — 0 18 18% 1 — —
M. Sala D 5 6.66 — — 0 7 6% 0 — —
T. Biasci F 14 6.10 — — 0 8 6% 0 — —
Sampdoria Sampdoria — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
P. Vindahl G 90 5.12 — — 0 29 16% 0 — —
M. Cicconi D 90 6.05 — — 1 32 29% 2 — —
F. Delli Carri D 90 6.39 — — 2 53 50% 1 — —
S. Gartenmann D 90 6.13 — — 0 53 46% 2 — —
A. Di Pardo D 90 6.05 — — 0 48 42% 2 — —
Y. Verschaeren M 61 6.06 — — 0 27 24% 0 — —
A. Makoumbou M 90 6.48 — — 0 66 61% 0 — —
L. Henderson M 68 6.22 — — 1 31 28% 1 — —
L. Insigne M 90 7.23 1 — 4 48 36% 2 — —
M 0 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
T. Lauritsen F 68 7.08 — 1 2 17 13% 0 — —
A. Ferrari D 45 5.61 — — 1 21 16% 1 1 —
F. Depaoli D 22 5.69 — — 0 6 5% 0 — —
G. Tutino F 29 6.21 — — 1 10 8% 0 — —
T. Begić F 22 6.35 — — 0 11 8% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Avellino vs Sampdoria?
The final score was Avellino 4–1 Sampdoria.
What did the model predict before Avellino vs Sampdoria?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Avellino win, 31% to a draw, and 32% to an Sampdoria win.