Serie B · Regular Season - 31 March 18, 2026 20:00 Stadio Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino

Avellino

#9 · 7 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Sudtirol

#2 · 11 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Avellino a 30% win probability (draw 44%, Sudtirol 25%). The final result was Avellino 3–2 Sudtirol. In 1 previous meetings, Avellino have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Sudtirol.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

3

2.06

Actual xG

1.39

57%

Possession

43%

2

Corners

2

Pre-match prediction

30.74%

Avellino ←

44.02%

X

25.25%

Sudtirol

we assigned to the actual result (Avellino) 30.74% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Avellino

0.63

2.06

+1.43

Sudtirol

0.61

1.39

+0.78

Avellino dominated by xG (2.06 vs 1.39). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Palermo	5	13
2	Sudtirol	5	11
3	Mantova	5	11
4	Modena	5	10
5	Ascoli	5	10
6	Padova	5	7
7	Benevento	5	7
8	Hellas Verona	5	7
9	Avellino	5	7
10	Cesena	5	7
11	Pisa	5	7
12	Arezzo	5	6
13	Empoli	5	6
14	Virtus Entella	5	5
15	Cremonese	5	5
16	Vicenza Virtus	5	5
17	Sampdoria	5	4
18	Juve Stabia	5	3
19	Catanzaro	5	3
20	Carrarese	5	1