M. Besaggio
(ast. A. Favilli)
11'
R. Russo
(ast. A. Favilli)
16'
B. Moruzzi
(ast. A. Favilli)
46'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Vicenza Virtus a 35% win probability (draw 30%, Avellino 33%). The final result was Avellino 3–0 Vicenza Virtus.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
8
Shots on target
2
1.41
Actual xG
1.14
3
Saves
0
42%
Possession
58%
2
Corners
6
24
Tackles
7
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽M. Besaggio
· ast. A. Favilli
11'
⚽R. Russo
· ast. A. Favilli
16'
30'
G. Moncini
M. Besaggio
38'
A. Izzo
45'
46'
R. Talarico
/
M. Carraro
46'
L. Caferri
/
A. Pietrelli
46'
C. Morra
/
G. Moncini
⚽B. Moruzzi
· ast. A. Favilli
46'
57'
N. Rauti
/
M. Leverbe
M. Besaggio
/ D. Sounas
64'
A. Favilli
/ W. Cheddira
64'
L. Palmiero
/ L. Di Maggio
64'
L. Simic
66'
70'
T. Corazza
/
F. Costa
R. Russo
/ T. Biasci
77'
79'
N. Rauti
83'
L. Zonta
M. Palumbo
/ G. Faticanti
83'
G. Faticanti
86'
Pre-match prediction
33.84%
Avellino ←
30.89%
X
35.27%
Vicenza
we assigned to the actual result (Avellino)
33.84%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.64
1.41
+0.77
4.32
1.14
-3.18
xG dominance was balanced (1.41 – 1.14).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
50
T. Martinelli
G
T. Martinelli
G
56
P. Enrici
D
P. Enrici
D
44
L. Šimić
D
L. Šimić
D
4
A. Izzo
D
A. Izzo
D
27
B. Moruzzi
1 ⚽
M
B. Moruzzi
1 ⚽
M
39
M. Besaggio
1 ⚽
64'
M
M. Besaggio
1 ⚽
64'
M
6
L. Palmiero
64'
M
L. Palmiero
64'
M
20
M. Palumbo
83'
M
M. Palumbo
83'
M
29
T. Cancellotti
M
T. Cancellotti
M
99
A. Favilli
3 👟
64'
F
A. Favilli
3 👟
64'
F
10
R. Russo
1 ⚽
77'
F
R. Russo
1 ⚽
77'
F
Bench
1
A. Iannarilli
G
A. Iannarilli
G
63
Alessandro Fontanarosa
D
Alessandro Fontanarosa
D
24
D. Sounas
29'
M
D. Sounas
29'
M
16
G. Faticanti
10'
M
G. Faticanti
10'
M
3
M. Sala
D
M. Sala
D
23
M. Venturi
D
M. Venturi
D
14
T. Biasci
16'
F
T. Biasci
16'
F
18
Thomas Berenbruch
M
Thomas Berenbruch
M
9
W. Cheddira
29'
F
W. Cheddira
29'
F
14
G. Cuomo
D
G. Cuomo
D
99
A. Pietrelli
45'
M
A. Pietrelli
45'
M
5
R. Marchizza
D
R. Marchizza
D
6
M. Leverbe
57'
D
M. Leverbe
57'
D
24
Filippo Alessio
F
Filippo Alessio
F
11
G. Moncini
45'
F
G. Moncini
45'
F
32
F. Costa
70'
M
F. Costa
70'
M
4
M. Carraro
45'
M
M. Carraro
45'
M
29
L. Zonta
M
L. Zonta
M
Bench
9
C. Morra
48'
F
C. Morra
48'
F
68
E. Tantalocchi
G
E. Tantalocchi
G
23
N. Brighenti
D
N. Brighenti
D
7
N. Rauti
36'
F
N. Rauti
36'
F
12
S. Massolo
G
S. Massolo
G
21
T. Corazza
23'
D
T. Corazza
23'
D
27
T. Sandon
D
T. Sandon
D
Best on the pitch
B. Moruzzi
M · Avellino
8.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 26 pass
R. Russo
F · Avellino
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 24 pass
L. Šimić
D · Avellino
7.70
· 36 pass
A. Izzo
D · Avellino
7.70
1 shots
· 53 pass
A. Favilli
F · Avellino
7.60
3 👟
· 16 pass
T. Martinelli
G · Avellino
7.30
· 24 pass
Avellino — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Martinelli | G | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 15% | — | — | — |
| P. Enrici | D | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 32 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Šimić | D | 93 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Izzo | D | 93 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 53 | 48% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Moruzzi | M | 93 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 26 | 19% | 8 | — | — |
| M. Besaggio | M | 64 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Palmiero | M | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 24% | 5 | — | — |
| M. Palumbo | M | 83 | 7.30 | — | — | 3 | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| T. Cancellotti | M | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Favilli | F | 64 | 7.60 | — | 3 | — | 16 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Russo | F | 77 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Sounas | M | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| G. Faticanti | M | 10 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
| T. Biasci | F | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| W. Cheddira | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
Vicenza Virtus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Cuomo | D | 93 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 56% | — | — | — |
| A. Pietrelli | M | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Marchizza | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 57 | 53% | — | — | — |
| M. Leverbe | D | 57 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 27 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Filippo Alessio | F | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Moncini | F | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| F. Costa | M | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 27% | — | — | — |
| M. Carraro | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 34% | — | — | — |
| L. Zonta | M | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 53 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Morra | F | 48 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| N. Rauti | F | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Corazza | D | 23 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus?
The final score was Avellino 3–0 Vicenza Virtus.
What did the model predict before Avellino vs Vicenza Virtus?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Avellino win, 30% to a draw, and 35% to an Vicenza Virtus win.