Yota Maejima
(ast. Keiya Shiihashi)
7'
Yu Hashimoto
76'
61'
(ast. Yugo Tatsuta)
Kosuke Shirai
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Avispa Fukuoka a 33% win probability (draw 34%, Fagiano Okayama 32%). The final result was Avispa Fukuoka 2–1 Fagiano Okayama. In 2 previous meetings, Avispa Fukuoka have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Fagiano Okayama.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
10
6
Shots on target
3
1.04
Actual xG
0.66
2
Saves
4
41%
Possession
59%
2
Corners
3
13
Tackles
20
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Yota Maejima
· ast. Keiya Shiihashi
7'
36'
Kamiya Yuta
45'
Ataru Esaka
/
Kota Kawano
45'
Eiji Miyamoto
/
Kamiya Yuta
Masato Shigemi
47'
56'
Noah Kenshin Browne
/
Towa Yamane
61'
ast. Yugo Tatsuta ·
Kosuke Shirai⚽
Masato Yuzawa
/ Kaoru Yamawaki
66'
Teppei Oka
/ Yu Hashimoto
66'
Masato Shigemi
/ Yuji Kitajima
66'
Yuma Tsujioka
67'
⚽Yu Hashimoto
76'
78'
Masaya Matsumoto
/
Kosuke Shirai
81'
Ryoga Sato
/
Na Sang-Ho
Yuji Kitajima
82'
Werik Popo
/ Abdul Hanan Sani Brown
83'
Yota Maejima
/ Daiki Miya
88'
90'+1
Noah Kenshin Browne
Abdul Hanan Sani Brown
90'+4
Pre-match prediction
33.48%
Avispa ←
34.2%
X
32.32%
Fagiano
we assigned to the actual result (Avispa Fukuoka)
33.48%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.75
1.04
+0.29
0.68
0.66
-0.02
Avispa Fukuoka dominated by xG (1.04 vs 0.66).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
24
Y. Obata
G
Y. Obata
G
15
Y. Tsujioka
D
Y. Tsujioka
D
37
M. Tashiro
D
M. Tashiro
D
16
T. Oka
66'
D
T. Oka
66'
D
29
Y. Maejima
1 ⚽
88'
M
Y. Maejima
1 ⚽
88'
M
34
K. Shiihashi
1 👟
M
K. Shiihashi
1 👟
M
55
K. Maeda
M
K. Maeda
M
2
M. Yuzawa
66'
M
M. Yuzawa
66'
M
13
S. Morooka
M
S. Morooka
M
6
M. Shigemi
66'
M
M. Shigemi
66'
M
9
Werik Popó
83'
F
Werik Popó
83'
F
Bench
32
A. Sani Brown
7'
F
A. Sani Brown
7'
F
38
D. Miya
2'
D
D. Miya
2'
D
17
H. Akino
M
H. Akino
M
33
K. Yamawaki
24'
D
K. Yamawaki
24'
D
52
Shohei Takemoto
M
Shohei Takemoto
M
14
S. Nago
M
S. Nago
M
1
T. Nagaishi
G
T. Nagaishi
G
47
Y. Hashimoto
1 ⚽
24'
D
Y. Hashimoto
1 ⚽
24'
D
25
Y. Kitajima
24'
M
Y. Kitajima
24'
M
1
L. Moser
G
L. Moser
G
44
S. Mori
D
S. Mori
D
48
Y. Tatsuta
1 👟
D
Y. Tatsuta
1 👟
D
6
H. Omori
D
H. Omori
D
88
T. Yamane
56'
M
T. Yamane
56'
M
33
Y. Kamiya
45'
M
Y. Kamiya
45'
M
80
Oberdan
M
Oberdan
M
51
K. Shirai
1 ⚽
78'
M
K. Shirai
1 ⚽
78'
M
10
Na Sang-Ho
81'
M
Na Sang-Ho
81'
M
20
K. Kawano
45'
M
K. Kawano
45'
M
9
Léo Gaúcho
F
Léo Gaúcho
F
Bench
8
A. Esaka
45'
M
A. Esaka
45'
M
41
E. Miyamoto
45'
M
E. Miyamoto
45'
M
28
M. Matsumoto
12'
M
M. Matsumoto
12'
M
79
N. Browne
34'
M
N. Browne
34'
M
19
R. Sato
9'
F
R. Sato
9'
F
7
R. Takeuchi
M
R. Takeuchi
M
52
T. Hamada
G
T. Hamada
G
55
Y. Fujii
D
Y. Fujii
D
43
Y. Suzuki
D
Y. Suzuki
D
Best on the pitch
Y. Maejima
M · Avispa
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 30 pass
Y. Hashimoto
D · Avispa
7.85
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
Y. Tatsuta
D · Fagiano
7.08
1 👟
· 52 pass
K. Shirai
M · Fagiano
7.02
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
Y. Obata
G · Avispa
6.87
· 32 pass
H. Omori
D · Fagiano
6.86
1 shots
· 61 pass
Avispa Fukuoka — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Obata | G | 90 | 6.87 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Tsujioka | D | 90 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 34% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Tashiro | D | 90 | 6.85 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Oka | D | 66 | 6.59 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Maejima | M | 88 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 30 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Shiihashi | M | 90 | 6.68 | — | 1 | 2 | 28 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Maeda | M | 90 | 6.23 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Yuzawa | M | 66 | 6.27 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Morooka | M | 90 | 6.40 | — | — | 3 | 27 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Shigemi | M | 66 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Werik Popó | F | 83 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sani Brown | F | 7 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | 1 | — |
| D. Miya | D | 2 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Yamawaki | D | 24 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 0% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Hashimoto | D | 24 | 7.85 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Y. Kitajima | M | 24 | 6.40 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 0 | 1 | — |
Fagiano Okayama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Moser | G | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Mori | D | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 43% | 4 | — | — |
| Y. Tatsuta | D | 90 | 7.08 | — | 1 | 0 | 52 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| H. Omori | D | 90 | 6.86 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 55% | 4 | — | — |
| T. Yamane | M | 56 | 6.26 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Kamiya | M | 45 | 5.58 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Oberdan | M | 90 | 6.59 | — | — | 1 | 71 | 66% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Shirai | M | 78 | 7.02 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Na Sang-Ho | M | 81 | 5.67 | — | — | 2 | 27 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Kawano | M | 45 | 6.05 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Léo Gaúcho | F | 90 | 6.12 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Esaka | M | 45 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 27 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Miyamoto | M | 45 | 5.65 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Matsumoto | M | 12 | 5.88 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Browne | M | 34 | 5.79 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 8% | 0 | 1 | — |
| R. Sato | F | 9 | 6.38 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama?
The final score was Avispa Fukuoka 2–1 Fagiano Okayama.
What did the model predict before Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama?
The model assigned 33% probability to a Avispa Fukuoka win, 34% to a draw, and 32% to an Fagiano Okayama win.