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J1 League · Regular Season - 11 October 21, 2026 12:00 Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka
Avispa Fukuoka
#19 · 7 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Gamba Osaka
#15 · 11 pts
Yu Hashimoto 75'
50' (ast. Ryoya Yamashita) Welton
77' (ast. Issam Jebali) Takashi Usami
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Avispa Fukuoka a 36% win probability (draw 36%, Gamba Osaka 27%). The final result was Avispa Fukuoka 1–2 Gamba Osaka. In 2 previous meetings, Avispa Fukuoka have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Gamba Osaka.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
7
3
Shots on target
3
0.75
Actual xG
0.60
1
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
3
Corners
6
12
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
Yuma Tsujioka
27'
Kokoro Maeda
44'
Masato Yuzawa
46'
50'
ast. Ryoya Yamashita · Welton⚽
↕ Masato Yuzawa / Yu Hashimoto
63'
↕ Yuji Kitajima / Shohei Takemoto
63'
72'
Issam Jebali / Yusei Toshida ↕
⚽Yu Hashimoto
75'
↕ Masato Shigemi / Werik Popo
75'
77'
ast. Issam Jebali · Takashi Usami⚽
79'
Takeru Kishimoto / Welton ↕
84'
Shogo Sasaki / Takashi Usami ↕
84'
Ryotaro Meshino / Soya Fujiwara ↕
87'
Rin Mito
↕ Yuma Tsujioka / Daiki Miya
90'+1
↕ Yota Maejima / Shintaro Nago
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
36.49%
Avispa
36.04%
X
27.47%
Gamba ←
we assigned to the actual result (Gamba Osaka) 27.47% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Avispa
0.77
0.75
-0.02
Gamba
0.53
0.60
+0.07
xG dominance was balanced (0.75 – 0.60). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Machida Zelvia Machida Zelvia 12 27
2 FC Tokyo FC Tokyo 12 27
3 Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 26
4 Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol 12 25
5 Vissel Kobe Vissel Kobe 12 23
6 Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 12 22
7 Urawa Urawa 12 21
8 Kashima Kashima 12 20
9 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 12 18
10 Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 12 16
11 Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus 12 14
12 Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 12 14
13 Shimizu S-pulse Shimizu S-pulse 12 14
14 V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki 12 12
15 Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 12 11
16 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 12 10
17 Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 12 9
18 Tokyo Verdy Tokyo Verdy 12 8
19 Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 12 7
20 JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 12 7
Lineups
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka 3-4-2-1
24 Y. Obata Y. Obata G 5.70
15 Y. Tsujioka Y. Tsujioka 89' D 6.27
5 T. Kamijima T. Kamijima D 6.59
16 T. Oka T. Oka D 6.66
29 Y. Maejima Y. Maejima 89' M 6.01
11 T. Miki T. Miki M 6.37
55 K. Maeda K. Maeda M 6.25
2 M. Yuzawa M. Yuzawa 63' M 5.71
25 Y. Kitajima Y. Kitajima 63' M 5.83
6 M. Shigemi M. Shigemi 75' M 6.19
13 S. Morooka S. Morooka F 6.36
Bench
38 D. Miya D. Miya 1' D 6.09
34 K. Shiihashi K. Shiihashi M 0.00
33 K. Yamawaki K. Yamawaki D 0.00
37 M. Tashiro M. Tashiro D 0.00
52 Shohei Takemoto Shohei Takemoto 27' M 5.58
14 S. Nago S. Nago 1' M 6.04
1 T. Nagaishi T. Nagaishi G 0.00
9 Werik Popó Werik Popó 15' F 6.53
47 Y. Hashimoto Y. Hashimoto 1 ⚽ 27' D 7.65
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka 4-2-3-1
22 J. Ichimori J. Ichimori G 6.12
21 R. Hatsuse R. Hatsuse D 6.76
2 S. Fukuoka S. Fukuoka D 6.91
4 S. Nakatani S. Nakatani D 6.59
28 S. Fujiwara S. Fujiwara 84' D 6.21
13 S. Abe S. Abe M 6.62
27 R. Mito R. Mito M 6.25
97 Welton Felipe Welton Felipe 1 ⚽ 79' M 8.11
7 T. Usami T. Usami 1 ⚽ 84' M 8.20
17 R. Yamashita R. Yamashita 1 👟 M 7.05
41 Y. Toshida Y. Toshida 72' F 6.41
Bench
20 E. Adams E. Adams M 0.00
11 I. Jebali I. Jebali 1 👟 18' F 6.68
1 M. Higashiguchi M. Higashiguchi G 0.00
8 R. Meshino R. Meshino 6' F 6.52
47 S. Nakano S. Nakano D 0.00
67 S. Sasaki S. Sasaki 6' D 6.28
15 T. Kishimoto T. Kishimoto 11' D 6.30
24 T. Ogashiwa T. Ogashiwa F 0.00
16 T. Suzuki T. Suzuki M 0.00
Best on the pitch
T. Usami
T. Usami
M · Gamba
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 63 pass
Welton Felipe
Welton Felipe
M · Gamba
8.11
1 ⚽
2 shots · 22 pass
Y. Hashimoto
Y. Hashimoto
D · Avispa
7.65
1 ⚽
1 shots · 19 pass
R. Yamashita
R. Yamashita
M · Gamba
7.05
1 👟
· 22 pass
S. Fukuoka
S. Fukuoka
D · Gamba
6.91
· 36 pass
R. Hatsuse
R. Hatsuse
D · Gamba
6.76
2 shots · 51 pass
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Y. Obata G 90 5.70 — — 0 25 18% 0 — —
Y. Tsujioka D 89 6.27 — — 2 52 40% 0 1 —
T. Kamijima D 90 6.59 — — 0 51 40% 0 — —
T. Oka D 90 6.66 — — 1 40 37% 2 — —
Y. Maejima M 89 6.01 — — 0 34 27% 3 — —
T. Miki M 90 6.37 — — 3 63 53% 1 — —
K. Maeda M 90 6.25 — — 2 51 47% 0 1 —
M. Yuzawa M 63 5.71 — — 0 11 9% 0 1 —
Y. Kitajima M 63 5.83 — — 0 16 12% 2 — —
M. Shigemi M 75 6.19 — — 2 13 7% 1 — —
S. Morooka F 90 6.36 — — 1 21 18% 2 — —
D. Miya D 1 6.09 — — 0 4 0% 0 — —
Shohei Takemoto M 27 5.58 — — 1 6 4% 1 — —
S. Nago M 1 6.04 — — 0 2 2% 0 — —
Werik Popó F 15 6.53 — — 1 6 4% 0 — —
Y. Hashimoto D 27 7.65 1 — 1 19 16% 0 — —
Gamba Osaka Gamba Osaka — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Ichimori G 90 6.12 — — 0 22 3% 0 — —
R. Hatsuse D 90 6.76 — — 2 51 47% 0 — —
S. Fukuoka D 90 6.91 — — 0 36 32% 0 — —
S. Nakatani D 90 6.59 — — 0 40 34% 0 — —
S. Fujiwara D 84 6.21 — — 0 46 38% 2 — —
S. Abe M 90 6.62 — — 0 73 64% 3 — —
R. Mito M 90 6.25 — — 1 28 20% 4 1 —
Welton Felipe M 79 8.11 1 — 2 22 20% 2 — —
T. Usami M 84 8.20 1 — 1 63 57% 1 — —
R. Yamashita M 90 7.05 — 1 0 22 18% 1 — —
Y. Toshida F 72 6.41 — — 1 11 3% 0 — —
I. Jebali F 18 6.68 — 1 0 5 4% 2 — —
R. Meshino F 6 6.52 — — 0 7 5% 0 — —
S. Sasaki D 6 6.28 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
T. Kishimoto D 11 6.30 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka?
The final score was Avispa Fukuoka 1–2 Gamba Osaka.
What did the model predict before Avispa Fukuoka vs Gamba Osaka?
The model assigned 36% probability to a Avispa Fukuoka win, 36% to a draw, and 27% to an Gamba Osaka win.