Avispa Fukuoka 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima — pre-match prediction — J1 League — April 29, 2026

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J1 League · Regular Season - 13 April 29, 2026 07:00 Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka

Avispa Fukuoka

#19 · 7 pts

2 – 2

Final score

pens 4–3

Sanfrecce Hiroshima

#3 · 26 pts

S. Usui 19'

T. Miki (ast. Y. Maejima) 72'

Y. Tsujioka 120'+1 (pen.)

Y. Kitajima 120'+2 (pen.)

T. Kamijima 120'+5 (pen.)

Y. Hashimoto 120'+6 (pen.)

4' S. Nakano

10' (ast. M. Kato) S. Higashi

(pen.) 120'+1 T. Arslan

(pen.) 120'+2 N. Maeda

(pen.) 120'+3 A. Suzuki

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sanfrecce Hiroshima a 40% win probability (draw 28%, Avispa Fukuoka 30%). The final result was Avispa Fukuoka 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. In 2 previous meetings, Avispa Fukuoka have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

43%

Possession

57%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

S. Nakano⚽

10'

ast. M. Kato · S. Higashi⚽

18'

Y. Nakajima

⚽S. Usui

19'

46'

T. Yamasaki / T. Shiotani ↕

46'

R. Germain / Y. Nakajima ↕

↕ K. Shiihashi / Y. Kitajima

46'

↕ M. Tashiro / T. Oka

46'

59'

N. Maeda / M. Kato ↕

59'

A. Suzuki / K. Kinoshita ↕

T. Kamijima

63'

↕ M. Shigemi / R. Tsuruno

64'

⚽T. Miki · ast. Y. Maejima

72'

75'

T. Arslan / S. Higashi ↕

S. Nago

80'

85'

M. Ohara / R. Germain ↕

↕ Y. Maejima / D. Miya

85'

↕ S. Usui / Y. Michiwaki

85'

Y. Tsujioka

88'

↕ T. Miki / K. Okuno

90'+4

90'+6

M. Ohara

120'+1

(pen.) T. Arslan⚽

⚽Y. Tsujioka (pen.)

120'+1

120'+2

(pen.) N. Maeda⚽

⚽Y. Kitajima (pen.)

120'+2

120'+3

(pen.) A. Suzuki⚽

⚽T. Oka (missed pen.)

120'+3

120'+4

(missed pen.) M. Ohara⚽

⚽D. Miya (missed pen.)

120'+4

120'+5

(missed pen.) T. Yamasaki⚽

⚽T. Kamijima (pen.)

120'+5

120'+6

(missed pen.) N. Arai⚽

⚽Y. Hashimoto (pen.)

120'+6

Pre-match prediction

30.53%

Avispa

28.59%

X ←

40.88%

Sanfrecce

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 28.59% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Avispa

1.28

—

Sanfrecce

1.46

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Machida Zelvia	12	27
2	FC Tokyo	12	27
3	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	12	26
4	Kashiwa Reysol	12	25
5	Vissel Kobe	12	23
6	Kawasaki Frontale	12	22
7	Urawa	12	21
8	Kashima	12	20
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	12	18
10	Fagiano Okayama	12	16
11	Nagoya Grampus	12	14
12	Cerezo Osaka	12	14
13	Shimizu S-pulse	12	14
14	V-varen Nagasaki	12	12
15	Gamba Osaka	12	11
16	Kyoto Sanga	12	10
17	Mito Hollyhock	12	9
18	Tokyo Verdy	12	8
19	Avispa Fukuoka	12	7
20	JEF United Chiba	12	7

Lineups

Avispa Fukuoka 3-4-2-1

K. Fujita G 5.90

Y. Tsujioka 1 ⚽ D 7.00

M. Tashiro 45' D 6.30

T. Kamijima 1 ⚽ D 7.20

Y. Maejima 1 👟 85' M 6.30

T. Miki 1 ⚽ M 7.90

K. Shiihashi 45' M 6.60

Y. Hashimoto 1 ⚽ M 6.30

S. Nago 80' F 6.60

M. Shigemi 64' F 6.50

S. Usui 1 ⚽ 85' F 7.20

Bench

A. Sani Brown F

D. Miya 17' D 6.70

K. Okuno 8' M 6.30

K. Yamawaki D

T. Oka 57' D 7.50

Y. Kitajima 1 ⚽ 57' M 7.00

Yutaka Michiwaki 17' F 6.50

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 3-4-2-1

G 6.30

S. Sasaki D 7.50

H. Araki D 6.00

S. Nakano 1 ⚽ D 7.90

S. Higashi 1 ⚽ 75' M 7.90

T. Matsumoto M 6.90

T. Shiotani 45' M 6.30

N. Arai M 7.20

Y. Nakajima 45' F 6.30

M. Kato 1 👟

K. Kinoshita 59' F 6.30

Bench

A. Suzuki 1 ⚽ 43' F 6.20

Motoki Ohara 17' M 6.60

N. Maeda 1 ⚽ 43' F 6.30

R. Germain 40' F 6.60

Taichi Yamasaki 57' D 6.20

T. Arslan 1 ⚽ 27' M 7.00

Best on the pitch

T. Miki

M · Avispa

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 54 pass

S. Higashi

M · Sanfrecce

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 25 pass

S. Nakano

D · Sanfrecce

7.90

1 ⚽

1 shots · 63 pass

T. Oka

D · Avispa

7.50

· 15 pass

S. Sasaki

D · Sanfrecce

7.50

· 69 pass

T. Kamijima

D · Avispa

7.20

1 ⚽

· 23 pass

Avispa Fukuoka — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
K. Fujita	G	102	5.90	—	—	—	34	11%	—	—	—
Y. Tsujioka	D	102	7.00	1	—	1	36	32%	2	1	—
M. Tashiro	D	45	6.30	—	—	—	14	10%	—	—	—
T. Kamijima	D	102	7.20	1	—	—	23	16%	2	1	—
Y. Maejima	M	85	6.30	—	1	—	27	21%	1	—	—
T. Miki	M	94	7.90	1	—	1	54	47%	3	—	—
K. Shiihashi	M	45	6.60	—	—	1	33	28%	3	—	—
Y. Hashimoto	M	102	6.30	1	—	—	27	20%	—	—	—
S. Nago	F	80	6.60	—	—	—	27	21%	—	—	1
M. Shigemi	F	64	6.50	—	—	—	26	24%	2	—	—
S. Usui	F	85	7.20	1	—	2	19	17%	2	—	—
D. Miya	D	17	6.70	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
K. Okuno	M	8	6.30	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
T. Oka	D	57	7.50	—	—	—	15	9%	—	—	—
Y. Kitajima	M	57	7.00	1	—	—	22	19%	—	—	—
Yutaka Michiwaki	F	17	6.50	—	—	—	2	—	—	—	—

Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	102	6.30	—	—	—	30	18%	—	—	—
S. Sasaki	D	102	7.50	—	—	—	69	61%	2	—	—
H. Araki	D	102	6.00	—	—	1	58	47%	—	—	—
S. Nakano	D	102	7.90	1	—	1	63	51%	—	—	—
S. Higashi	M	75	7.90	1	—	1	25	17%	1	—	—
T. Matsumoto	M	102	6.90	—	—	—	39	32%	3	—	—
T. Shiotani	M	45	6.30	—	—	1	21	20%	1	—	—
N. Arai	M	102	7.20	—	—	—	54	46%	—	—	—
Y. Nakajima	F	45	6.30	—	—	—	19	16%	1	1	—
M. Kato		—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
K. Kinoshita	F	59	6.30	—	—	—	14	10%	1	—	—
A. Suzuki	F	43	6.20	1	—	1	5	4%	—	—	—
Motoki Ohara	M	17	6.60	—	—	—	13	11%	—	1	—
N. Maeda	F	43	6.30	1	—	—	6	6%	—	—	—
R. Germain	F	40	6.60	—	—	—	11	7%	3	—	—
Taichi Yamasaki	D	57	6.20	—	—	—	21	14%	—	—	—
T. Arslan	M	27	7.00	1	—	1	4	4%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

The final score was Avispa Fukuoka 2–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

What did the model predict before Avispa Fukuoka vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

The model assigned 30% probability to a Avispa Fukuoka win, 28% to a draw, and 40% to an Sanfrecce Hiroshima win.