✗Model wrong — prediction FC Porto, result AVS wins
Roni
23'
Roni
(ast. G. Neiva)
58'
A. Santos
(ast. T. Akinsola)
80'
53'
(ast. B. Sainz)
D. Gul
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave FC Porto a 66% win probability (draw 19%, AVS 13%). The final result was AVS 3–1 FC Porto. In 1 previous meetings, AVS have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for FC Porto.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
10
5
Shots on target
4
0.75
Actual xG
3.06
4
Saves
2
31%
Possession
69%
3
Corners
7
20
Tackles
8
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Roni
23'
Mateus Pivo
/ T. Galletto
49'
53'
ast. B. Sainz ·
D. Gul⚽
⚽Roni
· ast. G. Neiva
58'
Roni
59'
59'
V. Froholdt
/
S. Fofana
59'
William Gomes
/
B. Sainz
61'
D. Prpic
68'
O. Pietuszewski
/
Pepe
68'
T. Silva
/
A. Varela
G. Neiva
/ Tomane
68'
76'
G. Mendonca
/ A. Santos
77'
⚽A. Santos
· ast. T. Akinsola
80'
81'
G. Veiga
/
R. Mora
Pedro Lima
85'
90'+2
D. Prpic
90'+2
D. Prpic
Pre-match prediction
13.46%
AVS ←
19.7%
X
66.84%
FC
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (AVS)
13.46%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.70
0.75
+0.05
1.90
3.06
+1.16
FC Porto dominated by xG (3.06 vs 0.75).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Adriel
G
Adriel
G
12
L. Rivas
D
3
Paulo Vitor
D
Paulo Vitor
D
42
C. Devenish
D
C. Devenish
D
97
Matheus Pivô
49'
D
70
Roni
2 ⚽
M
8
Pedro Lima
M
Pedro Lima
M
23
Gustavo Mendonca
76'
M
Gustavo Mendonca
76'
M
21
Guilherme Neiva
1 👟
68'
F
20
Diego Duarte
F
Diego Duarte
F
11
Tunde Akinsola
1 👟
F
Tunde Akinsola
1 👟
F
Bench
33
Aderllan Santos
1 ⚽
16'
D
Aderllan Santos
1 ⚽
16'
D
25
Andre Green
F
Andre Green
F
27
Ángel Algobia
M
26
Carlos Ponck
D
14
Ó. Perea
F
Ó. Perea
F
88
Pedro Trigueira
G
Pedro Trigueira
G
93
Simão
G
19
T. Galletto
43'
M
T. Galletto
43'
M
7
Tómané
24'
F
14
Cláudio Ramos
G
Cláudio Ramos
G
74
Francisco Moura
D
Francisco Moura
D
21
D. Prpić
D
D. Prpić
D
3
Thiago Silva
D
Thiago Silva
D
20
Alberto Baio
D
Alberto Baio
D
42
S. Fofana
59'
M
S. Fofana
59'
M
22
A. Varela
68'
M
A. Varela
68'
M
17
Borja Sainz
1 👟
59'
M
Borja Sainz
1 👟
59'
M
86
Rodrigo Mora
81'
M
Rodrigo Mora
81'
M
11
Pepê Aquino
68'
M
Pepê Aquino
68'
M
27
D. Gül
1 ⚽
F
D. Gül
1 ⚽
F
Bench
99
Diogo Costa
G
Diogo Costa
G
10
Gabri Veiga
11'
M
Gabri Veiga
11'
M
4
J. Kiwior
D
J. Kiwior
D
77
O. Pietuszewski
24'
F
O. Pietuszewski
24'
F
13
P. Rosario
M
P. Rosario
M
58
Tiago Silva
24'
M
29
T. Moffi
F
T. Moffi
F
8
Victor Mow Froholdt
33'
M
Victor Mow Froholdt
33'
M
7
William
33'
F
William
33'
F
Best on the pitch
Roni
M · AVS
9.20
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 29 pass
Aderllan Santos
D · AVS
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
Tunde Akinsola
F · AVS
7.90
1 👟
· 14 pass
Adriel
G · AVS
7.30
· 34 pass
C. Devenish
D · AVS
7.30
· 24 pass
Paulo Vitor
D · AVS
7.20
1 shots
· 26 pass
AVS — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adriel | G | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 34 | 8% | — | — | — |
| L. Rivas | D | 92 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
| Paulo Vitor | D | 92 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Devenish | D | 92 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Pivô | D | 49 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Roni | M | 92 | 9.20 | 2 | — | 2 | 29 | 24% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Pedro Lima | M | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 21% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Mendonca | M | 76 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 11% | 5 | — | — |
| Guilherme Neiva | F | 68 | 6.20 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Duarte | F | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Tunde Akinsola | F | 92 | 7.90 | — | 1 | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Aderllan Santos | D | 16 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Galletto | M | 43 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Tómané | F | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
FC Porto — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cláudio Ramos | G | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 25 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Moura | D | 92 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Prpić | D | 92 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 107 | 95% | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Thiago Silva | D | 92 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 86 | 81% | — | — | — |
| Alberto Baio | D | 92 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Fofana | M | 59 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| A. Varela | M | 68 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Borja Sainz | M | 59 | 6.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Mora | M | 81 | 6.00 | — | — | 3 | 19 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Pepê Aquino | M | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 24% | — | — | — |
| D. Gül | F | 92 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Gabri Veiga | M | 11 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| O. Pietuszewski | F | 24 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Tiago Silva | M | 24 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Victor Mow Froholdt | M | 33 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| William | F | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AVS vs FC Porto?
The final score was AVS 3–1 FC Porto.
What did the model predict before AVS vs FC Porto?
The model assigned 13% probability to a AVS win, 19% to a draw, and 66% to an FC Porto win.