AVS - Moreirense
Taça de Portugal
October 17, 2026 16:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
58.3%
Win
AVS
20.81%
Draw
20.89%
Win
Moreirense
2.35
1.09
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
AVS
58.3%
Probability
Market probabilities
Most likely result
2–1
(9.86%)
1X2 Result
1
58%
X
21%
2
21%
Double Chance
1X
79%
X2
42%
12
79%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
69%
✓ 63.6% hit rate (44 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives AVS a 58% win probability, against 20% for a draw and 20% for Moreirense. Expected goals are 2.4 for AVS and 1.1 for Moreirense (total 3.4), with a 83% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 9.86% probability. In 3 previous meetings, AVS have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Moreirense.
Season Stats
3W
1D
1L
0W
0D
1L
Averages per game
2.4
Goals
0.0
0.6
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
60%
O 1.5
0%
40%
O 2.5
0%
20%
BTTS
0%
80%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 5 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Score Matrix
↕ AVS
Moreirense →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 1 | 7.5% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 8.9% | 9.7% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5 | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
AVS
Attack
33
Defence
71
Form
54
Moreirense
Attack
26
Defence
51
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win AVS vs Moreirense?
The model gives AVS a 58% win probability, 20% for a draw, and 20% for an Moreirense win.
How many goals are expected in AVS vs Moreirense?
Expected goals: AVS 2.4, Moreirense 1.1 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 83%.
What is the most likely score in AVS vs Moreirense?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.86%.