Primeira Liga
· Regular Season - 31
April 26, 2026 21:30
Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, Vila das Aves
✗Model wrong — prediction Sporting CP, result Draw
Pedro Lima
66'
(pen.)
47'
(ast. G. Vagiannidis)
R. Nel
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting CP a 71% win probability (draw 17%, AVS 10%). The final result was AVS 1–1 Sporting CP. In 2 previous meetings, AVS have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Sporting CP.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
17
4
Shots on target
8
1.66
Actual xG
3.36
7
Saves
3
25%
Possession
75%
0
Corners
9
15
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
G. Mendonca
12'
T. Akinsola
45'+6
47'
ast. G. Vagiannidis ·
R. Nel⚽
57'
L. Suarez
/
R. Nel
57'
G. Catamo
/
G. Quenda
⚽Pedro Lima
(pen.)
66'
G. Mendonca
/ T. Galletto
73'
74'
M. Araujo
/
R. Mangas
74'
Luis Guilherme
/
Pote
G. Neiva
/ O. Perea
74'
84'
D. Braganca
/
G. Kochorashvili
D. Duarte
/ Nene
84'
Pedro Lima
/ G. Molina
84'
T. Akinsola
/ Ponck
90'+2
Adriel
90'+6
90'+7
D. Braganca
Pre-match prediction
10.9%
AVS
17.63%
X ←
71.47%
Sporting
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
17.63%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.57
1.66
+1.09
2.08
3.36
+1.28
Sporting CP dominated by xG (3.36 vs 1.66).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Adriel
G
12
Daniel Rivas
D
3
Paulo Vitor
D
Paulo Vitor
D
42
Cristian Castro
D
Cristian Castro
D
97
D
8
Pedro Lima
1 ⚽
84'
M
Pedro Lima
1 ⚽
84'
M
70
M
23
Gustavo Mendonca
73'
M
Gustavo Mendonca
73'
M
21
Guilherme Neiva
74'
F
20
Diego Duarte
84'
F
Diego Duarte
84'
F
11
Tunde Akinsola
89'
F
Bench
14
Óscar Perea
16'
F
Óscar Perea
16'
F
26
Ponck
8'
D
Ponck
8'
D
93
Simão
G
Simão
G
19
T. Galletto
17'
M
T. Galletto
17'
M
1
Rui Silva
G
Rui Silva
G
91
Ricardo Mangas
74'
D
Ricardo Mangas
74'
D
6
Zeno Debast
D
Zeno Debast
D
26
Ousmane Diomande
D
Ousmane Diomande
D
13
Georgios Vagiannidis
1 👟
D
Georgios Vagiannidis
1 👟
D
14
Giorgi Kochorashvili
84'
M
5
Hidemasa Morita
M
Hidemasa Morita
M
8
Pote
74'
M
Pote
74'
M
17
Francisco Trincão
M
Francisco Trincão
M
7
Geovany Quenda
57'
M
Geovany Quenda
57'
M
90
Rafael Nel
1 ⚽
57'
F
Rafael Nel
1 ⚽
57'
F
Bench
23
Daniel Bragança
16'
M
Daniel Bragança
16'
M
73
Eduardo Felicíssimo
M
72
Eduardo Quaresma
D
Eduardo Quaresma
D
10
Geny Catamo
33'
M
Geny Catamo
33'
M
97
L. Suárez
33'
F
L. Suárez
33'
F
31
Luis Guilherme
16'
F
Luis Guilherme
16'
F
20
M. Araújo
16'
M
M. Araújo
16'
M
70
Salvador Blopa
D
Salvador Blopa
D
Best on the pitch
Adriel
G · AVS
8.90
· 28 pass
Zeno Debast
D · Sporting
8.50
1 shots
· 91 pass
Giorgi Kochorashvili
M · Sporting
7.50
· 69 pass
Ousmane Diomande
D · Sporting
7.50
1 shots
· 76 pass
Pedro Lima
M · AVS
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
M · AVS
7.30
· 24 pass
AVS — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adriel | G | 90 | 8.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel Rivas | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Paulo Vitor | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Cristian Castro | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | 3 | — | — | |
| Pedro Lima | M | 84 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 3 | — | — | |
| Gustavo Mendonca | M | 73 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 24 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| Guilherme Neiva | F | 74 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Diego Duarte | F | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Tunde Akinsola | F | 89 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Óscar Perea | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Ponck | D | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Galletto | M | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
Sporting CP — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rui Silva | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Mangas | D | 74 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Zeno Debast | D | 90 | 8.50 | — | — | 1 | 91 | 85% | 3 | — | — |
| Ousmane Diomande | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 76 | 67% | 1 | — | — |
| Georgios Vagiannidis | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | 1 | 1 | 52 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Giorgi Kochorashvili | M | 84 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 69 | 65% | 3 | — | — |
| Hidemasa Morita | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 55% | 2 | — | — |
| Pote | M | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Trincão | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 54 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Geovany Quenda | M | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Rafael Nel | F | 57 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Bragança | M | 16 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Geny Catamo | M | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 17% | — | — | — |
| L. Suárez | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Luis Guilherme | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 14% | — | — | — |
| M. Araújo | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AVS vs Sporting CP?
The final score was AVS 1–1 Sporting CP.
What did the model predict before AVS vs Sporting CP?
The model assigned 10% probability to a AVS win, 17% to a draw, and 71% to an Sporting CP win.