← Primeira Liga
Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 31 April 26, 2026 23:30
AVS
#18 · 20 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Sporting CP
#2 · 79 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Sporting CP, result Pareggio
Pedro Lima 66' (pen.)
47' (ast. G. Vagiannidis) R. Nel

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting CP a 71% win probability (draw 17%, AVS 10%). The final result was AVS 1–1 Sporting CP. In 2 previous meetings, AVS have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Sporting CP.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
17
4
Shots on target
8
1.66
Actual xG
3.36
7
Saves
3
25%
Possession
75%
0
Corners
9
15
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
G. Mendonca
12'
T. Akinsola
45'+6
47'
ast. G. Vagiannidis · R. Nel⚽
57'
L. Suarez / R. Nel ↕
57'
G. Catamo / G. Quenda ↕
⚽Pedro Lima (pen.)
66'
↕ G. Mendonca / T. Galletto
73'
74'
M. Araujo / R. Mangas ↕
74'
Luis Guilherme / Pote ↕
↕ G. Neiva / O. Perea
74'
84'
D. Braganca / G. Kochorashvili ↕
↕ D. Duarte / Nene
84'
↕ Pedro Lima / G. Molina
84'
↕ T. Akinsola / Ponck
90'+2
Adriel
90'+6
90'+7
D. Braganca
Pre-match prediction
10.9%
AVS
17.63%
X ←
71.47%
Sporting
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 17.63% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AVS
0.57
1.66
+1.09
Sporting
2.08
3.36
+1.28
Sporting CP dominated by xG (3.36 vs 1.66). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 33 85
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 33 79
3 Benfica Benfica 33 77
4 SC Braga SC Braga 33 58
5 Famalicao Famalicao 33 53
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 33 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 33 42
8 Guimaraes Guimaraes 33 42
9 Estoril Estoril 33 39
10 Arouca Arouca 33 39
11 Alverca Alverca 33 39
12 Santa Clara Santa Clara 33 36
13 Rio Ave Rio Ave 33 35
14 Nacional Nacional 33 31
15 Estrela Estrela 33 29
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 33 29
17 Tondela Tondela 33 28
18 AVS AVS 33 20
Lineups
AVS AVS 4-3-3
1 Adriel Adriel G 8.90
12 Daniel Rivas Daniel Rivas D 6.90
3 Paulo Vitor Paulo Vitor D 6.90
42 Cristian Castro Cristian Castro D 7.00
97
D 6.30
8 Pedro Lima Pedro Lima 1 ⚽ 84' M 7.30
70
M 7.30
23 Gustavo Mendonca Gustavo Mendonca 73' M 6.20
21 Guilherme Neiva Guilherme Neiva 74' F 6.60
20 Diego Duarte Diego Duarte 84' F 7.20
11 Tunde Akinsola Tunde Akinsola 89' F 7.00
Bench
14 Óscar Perea Óscar Perea 16' F 6.30
26 Ponck Ponck 8' D 6.50
93 Simão Simão G
19 T. Galletto T. Galletto 17' M 6.30
Sporting CP Sporting CP 4-2-3-1
1 Rui Silva Rui Silva G 7.20
91 Ricardo Mangas Ricardo Mangas 74' D 6.70
6
Z. Debast D 8.50
26 Ousmane Diomande Ousmane Diomande D 7.50
13
Giorgos Vagiannidis 1 👟 D 7.00
14 Giorgi Kochorashvili Giorgi Kochorashvili 84' M 7.50
5 Hidemasa Morita Hidemasa Morita M 6.30
8 Pote Pote 74' M 6.30
17 Trincão Trincão M 6.90
7 Geovany Quenda Geovany Quenda 57' M 6.90
90 Rafael Nel Rafael Nel 1 ⚽ 57' F 6.90
Bench
23 Daniel Bragança Daniel Bragança 16' M 6.90
73 Eduardo Felicíssimo Eduardo Felicíssimo M
10 Geny Catamo Geny Catamo 33' M 6.90
97 L. Suárez L. Suárez 33' F 6.30
31 Luís Guilherme Luís Guilherme 16' F 6.70
20 M. Araújo M. Araújo 16' M 6.30
72 Quaresma Quaresma D
70 Salvador Blopa Salvador Blopa D
Best on the pitch
Adriel
Adriel
G · AVS
8.90
· 28 pass
Z. Debast
D · Sporting
8.50
1 shots · 91 pass
Giorgi Kochorashvili
Giorgi Kochorashvili
M · Sporting
7.50
· 69 pass
Ousmane Diomande
Ousmane Diomande
D · Sporting
7.50
1 shots · 76 pass
Pedro Lima
Pedro Lima
M · AVS
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 19 pass
M · AVS
7.30
· 24 pass
AVS AVS — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Adriel G 90 8.90 — — — 28 12% — 1 —
Daniel Rivas D 90 6.90 — — — 10 8% 2 — —
Paulo Vitor D 90 6.90 — — — 18 11% — — —
Cristian Castro D 90 7.00 — — — 18 11% 1 — —
D 90 6.30 — — — 18 16% 3 — —
Pedro Lima M 84 7.30 1 — 2 19 11% 2 — —
M 90 7.30 — — — 24 19% 3 — —
Gustavo Mendonca M 73 6.20 — — — 24 20% — 1 —
Guilherme Neiva F 74 6.60 — — 1 7 4% 1 — —
Diego Duarte F 84 7.20 — — 1 9 7% 1 — —
Tunde Akinsola F 89 7.00 — — 1 8 7% 1 1 —
Óscar Perea F 16 6.30 — — 1 5 3% — — —
Ponck D 8 6.50 — — — — — — — —
T. Galletto M 17 6.30 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
Sporting CP Sporting CP — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rui Silva G 90 7.20 — — — 22 19% — — —
Ricardo Mangas D 74 6.70 — — — 39 35% — — —
Z. Debast D 90 8.50 — — 1 91 85% 3 — —
Ousmane Diomande D 90 7.50 — — 1 76 67% 1 — —
Giorgos Vagiannidis D 90 7.00 — 1 1 52 41% 2 — —
Giorgi Kochorashvili M 84 7.50 — — — 69 65% 3 — —
Hidemasa Morita M 90 6.30 — — 1 62 55% 2 — —
Pote M 74 6.30 — — 2 30 18% — — —
Trincão M 90 6.90 — — 2 54 50% 1 — —
Geovany Quenda M 57 6.90 — — 2 32 28% 2 — —
Rafael Nel F 57 6.90 1 — 1 6 6% — — —
Daniel Bragança M 16 6.90 — — — 8 6% 1 1 —
Geny Catamo M 33 6.90 — — 2 22 17% — — —
L. Suárez F 33 6.30 — — 2 6 5% — — —
Luís Guilherme F 16 6.70 — — 1 15 14% — — —
M. Araújo M 16 6.30 — — 1 12 10% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AVS vs Sporting CP?
The final score was AVS 1–1 Sporting CP.
What did the model predict before AVS vs Sporting CP?
The model assigned 10% probability to a AVS win, 17% to a draw, and 71% to an Sporting CP win.