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Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 31 April 26, 2026 21:30 Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves, Vila das Aves
AVS
#18 · 21 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Sporting CP
#2 · 82 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Sporting CP, result Draw
Pedro Lima 66' (pen.)
47' (ast. G. Vagiannidis) R. Nel
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sporting CP a 71% win probability (draw 17%, AVS 10%). The final result was AVS 1–1 Sporting CP. In 2 previous meetings, AVS have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Sporting CP.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
17
4
Shots on target
8
1.66
Actual xG
3.36
7
Saves
3
25%
Possession
75%
0
Corners
9
15
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
G. Mendonca
12'
T. Akinsola
45'+6
47'
ast. G. Vagiannidis · R. Nel⚽
57'
L. Suarez / R. Nel ↕
57'
G. Catamo / G. Quenda ↕
⚽Pedro Lima (pen.)
66'
↕ G. Mendonca / T. Galletto
73'
74'
M. Araujo / R. Mangas ↕
74'
Luis Guilherme / Pote ↕
↕ G. Neiva / O. Perea
74'
84'
D. Braganca / G. Kochorashvili ↕
↕ D. Duarte / Nene
84'
↕ Pedro Lima / G. Molina
84'
↕ T. Akinsola / Ponck
90'+2
Adriel
90'+6
90'+7
D. Braganca
Pre-match prediction
10.9%
AVS
17.63%
X ←
71.47%
Sporting
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 17.63% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AVS
0.57
1.66
+1.09
Sporting
2.08
3.36
+1.28
Sporting CP dominated by xG (3.36 vs 1.66). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Porto FC Porto 34 88
2 Sporting CP Sporting CP 34 82
3 Benfica Benfica 34 80
4 SC Braga SC Braga 34 59
5 Famalicao Famalicao 34 56
6 GIL Vicente GIL Vicente 34 50
7 Moreirense Moreirense 34 43
8 Arouca Arouca 34 42
9 Guimaraes Guimaraes 34 42
10 Estoril Estoril 34 39
11 Alverca Alverca 34 39
12 Rio Ave Rio Ave 34 36
13 Santa Clara Santa Clara 34 36
14 Nacional Nacional 34 34
15 Estrela Estrela 34 30
16 Casa Pia Casa Pia 34 30
17 Tondela Tondela 34 28
18 AVS AVS 34 21
Lineups
AVS AVS 4-3-3
1 Adriel Adriel G 8.90
12 Daniel Rivas Daniel Rivas D 6.90
3 Paulo Vitor Paulo Vitor D 6.90
42 C. Devenish C. Devenish D 7.00
97
D 6.30
8 Pedro Lima Pedro Lima 1 ⚽ 84' M 7.30
70
M 7.30
23 Gustavo Mendonca Gustavo Mendonca 73' M 6.20
21 Guilherme Neiva Guilherme Neiva 74' F 6.60
20 Diego Duarte Diego Duarte 84' F 7.20
11 Tunde Akinsola Tunde Akinsola 89' F 7.00
Bench
14 Óscar Perea Óscar Perea 16' F 6.30
26 Ponck Ponck 8' D 6.50
93 Simão Simão G
19 T. Galletto T. Galletto 17' M 6.30
Sporting CP Sporting CP 4-2-3-1
1 Rui Silva Rui Silva G 7.20
91 Ricardo Mangas Ricardo Mangas 74' D 6.70
6
Z. Debast D 8.50
26 O. Diomande O. Diomande D 7.50
13 Georgios Vagiannidis Georgios Vagiannidis 1 👟 D 7.00
14
Giorgi Kochorashvili 84' M 7.50
5 Hidemasa Morita Hidemasa Morita M 6.30
8 Pote Pote 74' M 6.30
17 Francisco Trincão Francisco Trincão M 6.90
7 Geovany Quenda Geovany Quenda 57' M 6.90
90 Rafael Nel Rafael Nel 1 ⚽ 57' F 6.90
Bench
23 Daniel Bragança Daniel Bragança 16' M 6.90
73 Eduardo Felicíssimo Eduardo Felicíssimo M
72 Eduardo Quaresma Eduardo Quaresma D
10 Geny Catamo Geny Catamo 33' M 6.90
97 L. Suárez L. Suárez 33' F 6.30
31 Luis Guilherme Luis Guilherme 16' F 6.70
20 M. Araújo M. Araújo 16' M 6.30
70 Salvador Blopa Salvador Blopa D
Best on the pitch
Adriel
Adriel
G · AVS
8.90
· 28 pass
Z. Debast
D · Sporting
8.50
1 shots · 91 pass
Giorgi Kochorashvili
M · Sporting
7.50
· 69 pass
O. Diomande
O. Diomande
D · Sporting
7.50
1 shots · 76 pass
Pedro Lima
Pedro Lima
M · AVS
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots · 19 pass
M · AVS
7.30
· 24 pass
AVS AVS — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Adriel G 90 8.90 — — — 28 12% — 1 —
Daniel Rivas D 90 6.90 — — — 10 8% 2 — —
Paulo Vitor D 90 6.90 — — — 18 11% — — —
C. Devenish D 90 7.00 — — — 18 11% 1 — —
D 90 6.30 — — — 18 16% 3 — —
Pedro Lima M 84 7.30 1 — 2 19 11% 2 — —
M 90 7.30 — — — 24 19% 3 — —
Gustavo Mendonca M 73 6.20 — — — 24 20% — 1 —
Guilherme Neiva F 74 6.60 — — 1 7 4% 1 — —
Diego Duarte F 84 7.20 — — 1 9 7% 1 — —
Tunde Akinsola F 89 7.00 — — 1 8 7% 1 1 —
Óscar Perea F 16 6.30 — — 1 5 3% — — —
Ponck D 8 6.50 — — — — — — — —
T. Galletto M 17 6.30 — — — 1 1% 1 — —
Sporting CP Sporting CP — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rui Silva G 90 7.20 — — — 22 19% — — —
Ricardo Mangas D 74 6.70 — — — 39 35% — — —
Z. Debast D 90 8.50 — — 1 91 85% 3 — —
O. Diomande D 90 7.50 — — 1 76 67% 1 — —
Georgios Vagiannidis D 90 7.00 — 1 1 52 41% 2 — —
Giorgi Kochorashvili M 84 7.50 — — — 69 65% 3 — —
Hidemasa Morita M 90 6.30 — — 1 62 55% 2 — —
Pote M 74 6.30 — — 2 30 18% — — —
Francisco Trincão M 90 6.90 — — 2 54 50% 1 — —
Geovany Quenda M 57 6.90 — — 2 32 28% 2 — —
Rafael Nel F 57 6.90 1 — 1 6 6% — — —
Daniel Bragança M 16 6.90 — — — 8 6% 1 1 —
Geny Catamo M 33 6.90 — — 2 22 17% — — —
L. Suárez F 33 6.30 — — 2 6 5% — — —
Luis Guilherme F 16 6.70 — — 1 15 14% — — —
M. Araújo M 16 6.30 — — 1 12 10% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AVS vs Sporting CP?
The final score was AVS 1–1 Sporting CP.
What did the model predict before AVS vs Sporting CP?
The model assigned 10% probability to a AVS win, 17% to a draw, and 71% to an Sporting CP win.