Scottish Championship · Regular Season - 33 April 11, 2026 16:00 Somerset Park, Ayr

Ayr Utd

#6 · 11 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Arbroath

#7 · 11 pts

J. Murphy 77'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Arbroath a 43% win probability (draw 31%, Ayr Utd 24%). The final result was Ayr Utd 1–0 Arbroath. In 4 previous meetings, Ayr Utd have won 1 times, with 3 draws and 0 wins for Arbroath.

Match statistics

Match Events

J. Murphy

42'

↕ L. King / S. Want

46'

62'

T. Beadling

M. Rus

63'

64'

J. MacIntyre / V. Enem ↕

64'

R. Flynn / T. Beadling ↕

64'

G. Reilly / S. Robinson ↕

68'

J. Wilkie

⚽J. Murphy

77'

82'

D. Mebude / H. Cochrane ↕

↕ B. Summers / L. McRoberts

82'

S. Bannigan

87'

↕ M. Rus / D. Watret

90'+1

↕ J. Murphy / J. Hislop

90'+3

Pre-match prediction

24.97%

Ayr ←

31.26%

X

43.77%

Arbroath

we assigned to the actual result (Ayr Utd) 24.97% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Ayr

0.64

—

—

Arbroath

1.44

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Stenhousemuir	8	22
2	Raith Rovers	9	17
3	Partick	8	15
4	Livingston	9	13
5	Dunfermline	7	12
6	Ayr Utd	9	11
7	Arbroath	9	11
8	Inverness CT	8	10
9	Queen's Park	8	4
10	Morton	9	1