Scottish Championship · Regular Season - 10 October 10, 2026 16:00 Somerset Park, Ayr

Ayr Utd

#7 · 12 pts

1 – 1

Final score

Dunfermline

#4 · 21 pts

K. Holt (ast. O. Whyte) 58'

(pen.) 54' J. Cooper

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Ayr Utd a 36% win probability (draw 30%, Dunfermline 33%). The final result was Ayr Utd 1–1 Dunfermline. In 5 previous meetings, Ayr Utd have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Dunfermline.

Match statistics

Match Events

39'

A. Amade

54'

(pen.) J. Cooper⚽

⚽K. Holt · ast. O. Whyte

58'

58'

O. Adams

R. Lyon

62'

63'

O. Shaw / O. Adams ↕

↕ N. McAllister / B. Summers

66'

↕ O. Stirton / J. Landers

77'

↕ R. Lyon / M. Rus

78'

↕ E. Walker / J. Murphy

78'

78'

C. Morrison / A. Tod ↕

78'

K. Bray / A. Oyirwoth ↕

O. Whyte

82'

83'

O. Shaw

90'+2

D. Lobban

Pre-match prediction

36.0%

Ayr

30.23%

X ←

33.77%

Dunfermline

we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 30.23% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Ayr

1.22

—

—

Dunfermline

1.03

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Partick	12	25
2	Stenhousemuir	12	23
3	Raith Rovers	12	21
4	Dunfermline	12	21
5	Inverness CT	12	19
6	Livingston	12	17
7	Ayr Utd	11	12
8	Arbroath	12	11
9	Morton	11	7
10	Queen's Park	12	7