Scottish Championship
· Regular Season - 36
May 01, 2026 20:45
✓Model correct — prediction ST Johnstone
37'
(ast. J. Holt)
K. Fotheringham
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave ST Johnstone a 77% win probability (draw 12%, Ayr Utd 10%). The final result was Ayr Utd 0–1 ST Johnstone. In 3 previous meetings, Ayr Utd have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for ST Johnstone.
Match statistics
Match Events
37'
ast. J. Holt ·
K. Fotheringham⚽
59'
S. Stanton
/
S. Mallan
59'
J. Fowler
/
T. Steven
S. McMann
/ D. Watret
62'
N. McAllister
64'
N. McAllister
/ G. Finney
66'
J. Hislop
/ B. Summers
67'
L. King
/ J. Douglas
76'
80'
M. Boyes
89'
J. Robertson
/
R. Paton
89'
A. Agyeman
/
K. Fotheringham
90'+1
R. Tumilty
/
L. Smith
Pre-match prediction
10.65%
Ayr
12.02%
X
77.33%
ST ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (ST Johnstone)
77.33%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.55
—
—
3.16
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Ayr Utd vs ST Johnstone?
The final score was Ayr Utd 0–1 ST Johnstone.
What did the model predict before Ayr Utd vs ST Johnstone?
The model assigned 10% probability to a Ayr Utd win, 12% to a draw, and 77% to an ST Johnstone win.