Scottish Championship · Regular Season - 36 May 01, 2026 20:45 Somerset Park, Ayr

Ayr Utd

#7 · 12 pts

0 – 1

Final score

ST Johnstone

✓Model correct — prediction ST Johnstone

37' (ast. J. Holt) K. Fotheringham

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave ST Johnstone a 77% win probability (draw 12%, Ayr Utd 10%). The final result was Ayr Utd 0–1 ST Johnstone. In 3 previous meetings, Ayr Utd have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for ST Johnstone.

Match statistics

Match Events

37'

ast. J. Holt · K. Fotheringham⚽

59'

S. Stanton / S. Mallan ↕

59'

J. Fowler / T. Steven ↕

↕ S. McMann / D. Watret

62'

N. McAllister

64'

↕ N. McAllister / G. Finney

66'

↕ J. Hislop / B. Summers

67'

↕ L. King / J. Douglas

76'

80'

M. Boyes

89'

J. Robertson / R. Paton ↕

89'

A. Agyeman / K. Fotheringham ↕

90'+1

R. Tumilty / L. Smith ↕

Pre-match prediction

10.65%

Ayr

12.02%

X

77.33%

ST ←

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (ST Johnstone) 77.33% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Ayr

0.55

—

—

ST

3.16

—

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Partick	12	25
2	Stenhousemuir	12	23
3	Raith Rovers	12	21
4	Dunfermline	12	21
5	Inverness CT	12	19
6	Livingston	12	17
7	Ayr Utd	11	12
8	Arbroath	12	11
9	Morton	11	7
10	Queen's Park	12	7