Skip to main content
← Europa League

AZ Alkmaar - Dinamo Zagreb

Europa League January 21, 2027 21:00
AZ Alkmaar
#3 · 0 pts
vs
Dinamo Zagreb
#12 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
53.05%
Win
AZ Alkmaar
22.11%
Draw
24.84%
Win
Dinamo Zagreb
2.78
Expected xG
1.53

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.87%)
1X2 Result
1 53%
X 22%
2 25%
Double Chance ✓ 100.0% hit rate (10 picks)
1X 75%
X2 47%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 72%
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch prediction gives AZ Alkmaar a 53% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Dinamo Zagreb. Expected goals are 2.8 for AZ Alkmaar and 1.5 for Dinamo Zagreb (total 4.3), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.87% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ AZ Alkmaar Dinamo Zagreb →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.3% 2.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.7% 5.7% 4.4% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
2 5.2% 8.0% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.8% 7.4% 5.6% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
4 3.3% 5.1% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
5 1.8% 2.8% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
No data available
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
D Genk 3–3
L Genk 1–3
L FC Midtjylland 2–0
W FCSB 4–1
L Real Betis 1–3

Playing profile

AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
Attack
74
Defence
72
Form
78
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
Attack
48
Defence
57
Form
46
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Anderlecht Anderlecht 0 0
2 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 0 0
3 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0 0
4 Benfica Benfica 0 0
5 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 0 0
6 Bournemouth Bournemouth 0 0
7 Celje Celje 0 0
8 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
9 Celtic Celtic 0 0
10 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 0 0
11 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 0 0
12 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 0 0
13 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 0 0
14 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 0 0
15 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 0 0
16 Juventus Juventus 0 0
17 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0 0
18 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 0 0
19 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 0 0
20 Lillestrom Lillestrom 0 0
21 Lyon Lyon 0 0
22 Marseille Marseille 0 0
23 AC Milan AC Milan 0 0
24 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 0 0
25 OFI OFI 0 0
26 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 0 0
27 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 0 0
28 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
29 Rennes Rennes 0 0
30 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 0 0
31 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 0 0
32 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0 0
33 Sunderland Sunderland 0 0
34 Torreense Torreense 0 0
35 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 0 0
36 Plzen Plzen 0 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The model gives AZ Alkmaar a 53% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 24% for an Dinamo Zagreb win.
How many goals are expected in AZ Alkmaar vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Expected goals: AZ Alkmaar 2.8, Dinamo Zagreb 1.5 (total 4.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in AZ Alkmaar vs Dinamo Zagreb?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.87%.