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AZ Alkmaar - Dinamo Zagreb

Europa League January 21, 2027 21:00
AZ Alkmaar
#10 · 6 pts
vs
Dinamo Zagreb
#18 · 4 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
53.05%
Win
AZ Alkmaar
22.11%
Draw
24.84%
Win
Dinamo Zagreb
2.78
Expected xG
1.53

Market probabilities

Most likely result 2–1 (8.87%)
1X2 Result ✓ 65.4% hit rate (26 picks)
1 53%
X 22%
2 25%
Double Chance ✓ 92.3% hit rate (26 picks)
1X 75%
X2 47%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 72%
✓ 68.4% hit rate (79 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives AZ Alkmaar a 53% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 24% for Dinamo Zagreb. Expected goals are 2.8 for AZ Alkmaar and 1.5 for Dinamo Zagreb (total 4.3), with a 85% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 2–1 at 8.87% probability.

Season Stats

AZ Alkmaar
2W 0D 1L
Dinamo Zagreb
4W 3D 6L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
1.5
0.7
Conceded
2.0
6.0
Shots OT
4.0
5.3
Corners
4.8
58%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
85%
67%
O 2.5
69%
33%
BTTS
62%
33%
Clean Sht
15%
ℹ Based on the last 13 matches in Europa League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
75%
BTTS
AZ Alkmaar
1W 0D 0L · at home
Dinamo Zagreb
1W 3D 2L · away
2.0
gls/g
1.2
1.0
Conceded
1.8
100%
Win %
17%
100%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
83%
100%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
50%
100%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
17%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ AZ Alkmaar Dinamo Zagreb →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.3% 2.1% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.7% 5.7% 4.4% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
2 5.2% 8.0% 6.1% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4%
3 4.8% 7.4% 5.6% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
4 3.3% 5.1% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
5 1.8% 2.8% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%

Recent form

AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
W Ararat-Armenia 0–4
W Hapoel Beer Sheva 2–1
L Sunderland 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
L NEC Nijmegen 2–4
W Anderlecht 1–0
D Hapoel Beer Sheva 0–0
D Genk 3–3
L Genk 1–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 20%

Playing profile

AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
Attack
45
Defence
63
Form
47
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
Attack
53
Defence
57
Form
43
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Benfica Benfica 3 9
2 Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen 3 9
3 Bournemouth Bournemouth 3 9
4 Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC 3 9
5 Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus 3 9
6 Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 3 7
7 Juventus Juventus 3 7
8 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3 7
9 Sunderland Sunderland 3 7
10 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3 6
11 Omonia Nicosia Omonia Nicosia 3 6
12 Lyon Lyon 3 6
13 Rennes Rennes 3 5
14 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 3 4
15 Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 3 4
16 Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 3 4
17 Levski Sofia Levski Sofia 3 4
18 Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb 3 4
19 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 3 4
20 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 3 4
21 Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull Salzburg 3 4
22 Anderlecht Anderlecht 3 3
23 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim 3 3
24 AC Milan AC Milan 3 3
25 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 3 3
26 OFI OFI 3 3
27 Jagiellonia Jagiellonia 3 3
28 Torreense Torreense 3 3
29 Celje Celje 3 1
30 Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva 3 1
31 Lillestrom Lillestrom 3 1
32 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 3 1
33 Plzen Plzen 3 0
34 Marseille Marseille 3 0
35 Celtic Celtic 3 0
36 Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia 3 0
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The model gives AZ Alkmaar a 53% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 24% for an Dinamo Zagreb win.
How many goals are expected in AZ Alkmaar vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Expected goals: AZ Alkmaar 2.8, Dinamo Zagreb 1.5 (total 4.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 85%.
What is the most likely score in AZ Alkmaar vs Dinamo Zagreb?
2–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 8.87%.