✓Model correct — prediction AZ Alkmaar
M. Meerdink
(ast. I. Jensen)
11'
S. Mijnans
(ast. D. Kasius)
15'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AZ Alkmaar a 62% win probability (draw 21%, Fortuna Sittard 16%). The final result was AZ Alkmaar 2–0 Fortuna Sittard. In 2 previous meetings, AZ Alkmaar have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fortuna Sittard.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
4
1.92
Actual xG
0.40
4
Saves
4
55%
Possession
45%
10
Corners
6
15
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽M. Meerdink
· ast. I. Jensen
11'
⚽S. Mijnans
· ast. D. Kasius
15'
45'+1
Iván Márquez
46'
K. Peterson
/
K. Sierhuis
46'
S. van Ottele
/
I. Marquez
54'
Yassin Oukili
65'
69'
Lance Duijvestijn
M. Meerdink
/ T. Parrott
71'
Weslley Patati
/ J. Clasie
72'
75'
L. Tunjic
/
D. Limnios
I. Jensen
/ A. Oufkir
77'
E. Dijkstra
/ M. de Wit
77'
77'
S. Bastien
/
L. Duijvestijn
D. Kasius
/ S. Maikuma
84'
84'
O. Johnson
/
P. Brittijn
Pre-match prediction
62.55%
AZ ←
21.29%
X
16.16%
Fortuna
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (AZ Alkmaar)
62.55%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.05
1.92
-0.13
1.06
0.40
-0.66
AZ Alkmaar dominated by xG (1.92 vs 0.40).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
41
G
23
B. van Duijl
D
B. van Duijl
D
5
Alexandre Penetra
D
Alexandre Penetra
D
3
D
22
E. Dijkstra
77'
M
E. Dijkstra
77'
M
26
K. Smit
M
K. Smit
M
10
S. Mijnans
1 ⚽
M
S. Mijnans
1 ⚽
M
30
D. Kasius
1 👟
84'
M
D. Kasius
1 👟
84'
M
17
I. Jensen
1 👟
77'
F
I. Jensen
1 👟
77'
F
35
M. Meerdink
1 ⚽
71'
F
M. Meerdink
1 ⚽
71'
F
7
Weslley Patati
72'
F
Weslley Patati
72'
F
Bench
24
A. Oufkir
13'
F
A. Oufkir
13'
F
11
I. Sadiq
F
I. Sadiq
F
8
J. Clasie
18'
M
J. Clasie
18'
M
20
Kasper Boogaard
M
Kasper Boogaard
M
15
M. Chávez
D
M. Chávez
D
34
M. de Wit
13'
D
M. de Wit
13'
D
33
M. Šín
M
M. Šín
M
2
S. Maikuma
12'
D
S. Maikuma
12'
D
9
T. Parrott
19'
F
T. Parrott
19'
F
1
G
8
Jasper Dahlhaus
D
Jasper Dahlhaus
D
4
S. Adewoye
D
S. Adewoye
D
44
Iván Márquez
45'
D
Iván Márquez
45'
D
21
D
5
Y. Oukili
M
Y. Oukili
M
23
Philip Brittijn
84'
M
Philip Brittijn
84'
M
9
K. Sierhuis
45'
M
K. Sierhuis
45'
M
70
L. Duijvestijn
77'
M
L. Duijvestijn
77'
M
18
D. Limnios
75'
M
19
P. Gladon
F
P. Gladon
F
Bench
7
Kristoffer Peterson
45'
F
Kristoffer Peterson
45'
F
6
Syb Van Ottele
45'
D
Syb Van Ottele
45'
D
Best on the pitch
S. Mijnans
M · AZ
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 37 pass
Weslley Patati
F · AZ
7.70
1 shots
· 27 pass
M. Meerdink
F · AZ
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 10 pass
G · AZ
7.50
· 19 pass
D · AZ
7.30
1 shots
· 56 pass
E. Dijkstra
M · AZ
7.30
· 33 pass
AZ Alkmaar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 9% | — | — | — | |
| B. van Duijl | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 63 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexandre Penetra | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 46 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 52% | — | — | — | |
| E. Dijkstra | M | 77 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Smit | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 58 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Mijnans | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 4 | 37 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Kasius | M | 84 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 42 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Jensen | F | 77 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Meerdink | F | 71 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Weslley Patati | F | 72 | 7.70 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Oufkir | F | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Clasie | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| M. de Wit | D | 13 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| S. Maikuma | D | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| T. Parrott | F | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
Fortuna Sittard — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Jasper Dahlhaus | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 33 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Adewoye | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Iván Márquez | D | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 43% | 2 | — | — | |
| Y. Oukili | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | 4 | 1 | — |
| Philip Brittijn | M | 84 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 33 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| K. Sierhuis | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| L. Duijvestijn | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Limnios | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 11% | — | — | — |
| P. Gladon | F | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Kristoffer Peterson | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Syb Van Ottele | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard?
The final score was AZ Alkmaar 2–0 Fortuna Sittard.
What did the model predict before AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard?
The model assigned 62% probability to a AZ Alkmaar win, 21% to a draw, and 16% to an Fortuna Sittard win.