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Eredivisie · Regular Season - 29 April 04, 2026 20:45
AZ Alkmaar
#6 · 51 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Fortuna Sittard
#11 · 39 pts
✓Model correct — prediction AZ Alkmaar
M. Meerdink (ast. I. Jensen) 11'
S. Mijnans (ast. D. Kasius) 15'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AZ Alkmaar a 62% win probability (draw 21%, Fortuna Sittard 16%). The final result was AZ Alkmaar 2–0 Fortuna Sittard. In 1 previous meetings, AZ Alkmaar have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fortuna Sittard.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
8
6
Shots on target
4
1.92
Actual xG
0.40
4
Saves
4
55%
Possession
45%
10
Corners
6
15
Tackles
13
0
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽M. Meerdink · ast. I. Jensen
11'
⚽S. Mijnans · ast. D. Kasius
15'
45'+1
Iván Márquez
46'
K. Peterson / K. Sierhuis ↕
46'
S. van Ottele / I. Marquez ↕
54'
Yassin Oukili
65'
69'
Lance Duijvestijn
↕ M. Meerdink / T. Parrott
71'
↕ Weslley Patati / J. Clasie
72'
75'
L. Tunjic / D. Limnios ↕
↕ I. Jensen / A. Oufkir
77'
↕ E. Dijkstra / M. de Wit
77'
77'
S. Bastien / L. Duijvestijn ↕
↕ D. Kasius / S. Maikuma
84'
84'
O. Johnson / P. Brittijn ↕
Pre-match prediction
62.55%
AZ ←
21.29%
X
16.16%
Fortuna
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (AZ Alkmaar) 62.55% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AZ
2.05
1.92
-0.13
Fortuna
1.06
0.40
-0.66
AZ Alkmaar dominated by xG (1.92 vs 0.40). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Roda Roda 1 1
1 Willem II Willem II 1 3
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 33 81
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord 33 62
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 1
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 0
3 Twente Twente 33 58
4 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 33 56
5 Ajax Ajax 33 55
6 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 33 51
7 Utrecht Utrecht 33 50
8 Heerenveen Heerenveen 33 50
9 Groningen Groningen 33 45
10 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 33 43
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 33 39
12 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 33 38
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 33 37
14 Excelsior Excelsior 33 35
15 Telstar Telstar 33 34
16 FC Volendam FC Volendam 33 32
17 NAC Breda NAC Breda 33 28
18 Heracles Heracles 33 19
Lineups
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 3-4-3
41
G 7.50
23 Billy van Duijl Billy van Duijl D 6.70
5 Alexandre Penetra Alexandre Penetra D 7.00
3
D 7.30
22 Elijah Dijkstra Elijah Dijkstra 77' M 7.30
26 K. Smit K. Smit M 6.90
10 S. Mijnans S. Mijnans 1 ⚽ M 7.90
30
D. Kasius 1 👟 84' M 7.20
17 I. Jensen I. Jensen 1 👟 77' F 7.00
35 Mexx Meerdink Mexx Meerdink 1 ⚽ 71' F 7.70
7 Weslley Patati Weslley Patati 72' F 7.70
Bench
24
A. Oufkir 13' F 6.50
11 I. Sadiq I. Sadiq F
8 Jordy Clasie Jordy Clasie 18' M 6.90
20 Kasper Boogaard Kasper Boogaard M
33 Matěj Šín Matěj Šín M
15 Mateo Chávez Mateo Chávez D
34 M. de Wit M. de Wit 13' D 7.00
2 Seiya Maikuma Seiya Maikuma 12' D 6.90
9 T. Parrott T. Parrott 19' F 6.30
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.70
8
J. Dahlhaus D 6.70
4
S. Adewoye D 6.30
44
I. Marquez 45' D 6.00
21
D 6.30
5 Yassin Oukili Yassin Oukili M 6.70
23 P. Brittijn P. Brittijn 84' M 6.20
9 K. Sierhuis K. Sierhuis 45' M 6.20
70 Lance Duijvestijn Lance Duijvestijn 77' M 6.30
18 Dimitris Limnios Dimitris Limnios 75' M 6.20
19
P. Gladon F 7.00
Bench
7 Kristoffer Peterson Kristoffer Peterson 45' F 6.70
6 Syb Van Ottele Syb Van Ottele 45' D 7.20
Best on the pitch
S. Mijnans
S. Mijnans
M · AZ
7.90
1 ⚽
4 shots · 37 pass
Weslley Patati
Weslley Patati
F · AZ
7.70
1 shots · 27 pass
Mexx Meerdink
Mexx Meerdink
F · AZ
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 10 pass
G · AZ
7.50
· 19 pass
D · AZ
7.30
1 shots · 56 pass
Elijah Dijkstra
Elijah Dijkstra
M · AZ
7.30
· 33 pass
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 7.50 — — — 19 9% — — —
Billy van Duijl D 90 6.70 — — — 63 48% 1 — —
Alexandre Penetra D 90 7.00 — — 1 46 35% 1 — —
D 90 7.30 — — 1 56 52% — — —
Elijah Dijkstra M 77 7.30 — — — 33 29% 2 — —
K. Smit M 90 6.90 — — — 58 52% 2 — —
S. Mijnans M 90 7.90 1 — 4 37 30% 2 — —
D. Kasius M 84 7.20 — 1 1 42 36% 2 — —
I. Jensen F 77 7.00 — 1 — 23 20% 1 — —
Mexx Meerdink F 71 7.70 1 — 2 10 5% — — —
Weslley Patati F 72 7.70 — — 1 27 25% 2 — —
A. Oufkir F 13 6.50 — — — 7 6% 1 — —
Jordy Clasie M 18 6.90 — — 1 11 10% 1 — —
M. de Wit D 13 7.00 — — — 10 9% — — —
Seiya Maikuma D 12 6.90 — — — 2 2% — — —
T. Parrott F 19 6.30 — — — 8 7% — — —
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 90 6.70 — — — 37 19% — — —
J. Dahlhaus D 90 6.70 — — — 33 26% 1 — —
S. Adewoye D 90 6.30 — — — 40 37% 2 — —
I. Marquez D 45 6.00 — — — 14 9% — 1 —
D 90 6.30 — — — 54 43% 2 — —
Yassin Oukili M 90 6.70 — — — 21 16% 4 1 —
P. Brittijn M 84 6.20 — — — 33 25% 1 — —
K. Sierhuis M 45 6.20 — — 1 12 8% — — —
Lance Duijvestijn M 77 6.30 — — 3 26 17% 2 1 —
Dimitris Limnios M 75 6.20 — — 1 21 11% — — —
P. Gladon F 90 7.00 — — 3 25 13% — — —
Kristoffer Peterson F 45 6.70 — — — 12 7% — — —
Syb Van Ottele D 45 7.20 — — — 28 22% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard?
The final score was AZ Alkmaar 2–0 Fortuna Sittard.
What did the model predict before AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard?
The model assigned 62% probability to a AZ Alkmaar win, 21% to a draw, and 16% to an Fortuna Sittard win.