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AZ Alkmaar - Jong AZ

Friendlies Clubs June 27, 2026 17:00
vs
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.33%
Win
AZ Alkmaar
33.33%
Draw
33.33%
Win
Jong AZ
1.71
Expected xG
1.17

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.2%)
1X2 Result
1 33%
X 33%
2 33%
Double Chance
1X 67%
X2 67%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives AZ Alkmaar a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Jong AZ. Expected goals are 1.7 for AZ Alkmaar and 1.2 for Jong AZ (total 2.9), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.2% probability.

Score Matrix

↕ AZ Alkmaar Jong AZ →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.6% 6.6% 3.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.6% 11.2% 6.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.6% 5.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 4.7% 5.5% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% —
5 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% —

Recent form

W Olympiakos Piraeus 3–2
W Genk 4–0
D Zulte Waregem 1–1
L Anderlecht 0–1
W Almere City FC 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 31%
W Ijsselmeervogels 1–7
W Quick Boys 1–4
W Sparta Rotterdam II 2–3
W Jong Ajax 3–0
W FC Volendam 3–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 15%

Playing profile

AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
Attack
50
Defence
71
Form
62
Jong AZ Jong AZ
Attack
71
Defence
75
Form
76
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Jong AZ?
The model gives AZ Alkmaar a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Jong AZ win.
How many goals are expected in AZ Alkmaar vs Jong AZ?
Expected goals: AZ Alkmaar 1.7, Jong AZ 1.2 (total 2.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in AZ Alkmaar vs Jong AZ?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.2%.