Conference League
· Quarter-finals
April 16, 2026 18:45
I. Jensen
73'
M. Sin
(ast. B. Kovacs)
80'
58'
(ast. Kaua Elias)
Alisson
83'
(ast. Lucas Ferreira)
Luca Meirelles
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AZ Alkmaar a 38% win probability (draw 28%, Shakhtar Donetsk 33%). The final result was AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Shakhtar Donetsk. In 1 previous meetings, AZ Alkmaar have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Shakhtar Donetsk.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
6
0.79
Actual xG
1.47
4
Saves
1
54%
Possession
46%
3
Corners
3
21
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
24'
Isaque Silva
M. Chavez Garcia
31'
B. van Duijl
33'
K. Boogaard
35'
I. Sadiq
45'+2
M. Chavez Garcia
/ I. Jensen
46'
S. Maikuma
/ A. Oufkir
46'
58'
ast. Kaua Elias ·
Alisson⚽
61'
Eguinaldo
/
Alisson
61'
Marlon Gomes
/
Isaque Silva
M. Meerdink
/ B. Kovacs
63'
B. van Duijl
/ R. Robbemond
63'
70'
Lucas Ferreira
/
Newerton
70'
Luca Meirelles
/
Kaua Elias
71'
V. Tobias
L. Echteld
71'
⚽I. Jensen
73'
78'
Eguinaldo
⚽M. Sin
· ast. B. Kovacs
80'
83'
ast. Lucas Ferreira ·
Luca Meirelles⚽
85'
M. Matviienko
89'
A. Bondarenko
/
O. Ocheretko
Weslley Patati
/ M. Menu
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
38.17%
AZ
28.66%
X ←
33.17%
Shakhtar
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.66%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
0.79
-0.69
1.23
1.47
+0.24
Shakhtar Donetsk dominated by xG (1.47 vs 0.79).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
41
G
23
B. van Duijl
63'
D
B. van Duijl
63'
D
4
D
18
Rion Ichihara
D
Rion Ichihara
D
15
Mateo Chávez
45'
M
Mateo Chávez
45'
M
33
M. Šín
1 ⚽
M
M. Šín
1 ⚽
M
74
K. Boogaard
M
K. Boogaard
M
2
S. Maikuma
45'
M
S. Maikuma
45'
M
7
Weslley Patati
89'
F
Weslley Patati
89'
F
11
I. Sadiq
F
35
M. Meerdink
63'
F
M. Meerdink
63'
F
Bench
5
Alexandre Penetra
D
Alexandre Penetra
D
24
A. Oufkir
45'
F
A. Oufkir
45'
F
45
B. Kovacs
1 👟
27'
F
B. Kovacs
1 👟
27'
F
22
E. Dijkstra
D
E. Dijkstra
D
17
I. Jensen
1 ⚽
45'
F
I. Jensen
1 ⚽
45'
F
26
K. Smit
M
K. Smit
M
46
Mathijs Menu
1'
D
Mathijs Menu
1'
D
1
R. Owusu-Oduro
G
R. Owusu-Oduro
G
56
R. Robbemond
27'
M
R. Robbemond
27'
M
10
S. Mijnans
M
S. Mijnans
M
9
T. Parrott
F
T. Parrott
F
31
G
13
Pedro Henrique
D
22
M. Matvienko
D
M. Matvienko
D
5
V. Bondar
D
V. Bondar
D
17
Vinícius Tobias
D
29
E. Nazaryna
M
E. Nazaryna
M
11
Newerton Palmares
70'
M
14
Isaque
61'
M
27
O. Ocheretko
89'
M
O. Ocheretko
89'
M
30
Alisson Santana
1 ⚽
61'
M
19
Kauã Elias
1 👟
70'
F
Bench
21
A. Bondarenko
1'
M
A. Bondarenko
1'
M
18
A. Ghram
D
A. Ghram
D
7
Eguinaldo
29'
M
Eguinaldo
29'
M
16
I. Azarovi
D
I. Azarovi
D
2
L. Traoré
F
L. Traoré
F
49
Luca Meirelles
1 ⚽
20'
F
37
Lucas Ferreira
1 👟
20'
M
4
Marlon
D
6
Marlon Gomes
29'
M
68
Prosper Obah
M
26
Y. Konoplya
D
Best on the pitch
I. Jensen
F · AZ
8.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
Alisson Santana
M · Shakhtar
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
Luca Meirelles
F · Shakhtar
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 6 pass
M. Šín
M · AZ
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
D · AZ
7.00
· 60 pass
Newerton Palmares
M · Shakhtar
6.90
1 shots
· 9 pass
AZ Alkmaar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| B. van Duijl | D | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 60 | 50% | 3 | — | — | |
| Rion Ichihara | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| Mateo Chávez | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Šín | M | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| K. Boogaard | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Maikuma | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| Weslley Patati | F | 89 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| I. Sadiq | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Meerdink | F | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| A. Oufkir | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Kovacs | F | 27 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| I. Jensen | F | 45 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Mathijs Menu | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Robbemond | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
Shakhtar Donetsk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| Pedro Henrique | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | — | — | — |
| M. Matvienko | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 42% | 2 | 1 | — |
| V. Bondar | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Vinícius Tobias | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| E. Nazaryna | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 42 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Newerton Palmares | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Isaque | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| O. Ocheretko | M | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Alisson Santana | M | 61 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Kauã Elias | F | 70 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bondarenko | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Eguinaldo | M | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Luca Meirelles | F | 20 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ferreira | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Marlon Gomes | M | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
The final score was AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Shakhtar Donetsk.
What did the model predict before AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
The model assigned 38% probability to a AZ Alkmaar win, 28% to a draw, and 33% to an Shakhtar Donetsk win.