Conference League
· Quarter-finals
April 16, 2026 18:45
I. Jensen
73'
M. Sin
(ast. B. Kovacs)
80'
58'
(ast. Kaua Elias)
Alisson
83'
(ast. Lucas Ferreira)
Luca Meirelles
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AZ Alkmaar a 38% win probability (draw 28%, Shakhtar Donetsk 33%). The final result was AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Shakhtar Donetsk. In 1 previous meetings, AZ Alkmaar have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Shakhtar Donetsk.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
11
3
Shots on target
6
0.79
Actual xG
1.47
4
Saves
1
54%
Possession
46%
3
Corners
3
21
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
24'
Isaque Silva
M. Chavez Garcia
31'
B. van Duijl
33'
K. Boogaard
35'
I. Sadiq
45'+2
M. Chavez Garcia
/ I. Jensen
46'
S. Maikuma
/ A. Oufkir
46'
58'
ast. Kaua Elias ·
Alisson⚽
61'
Eguinaldo
/
Alisson
61'
Marlon Gomes
/
Isaque Silva
M. Meerdink
/ B. Kovacs
63'
B. van Duijl
/ R. Robbemond
63'
70'
Lucas Ferreira
/
Newerton
70'
Luca Meirelles
/
Kaua Elias
71'
V. Tobias
L. Echteld
71'
⚽I. Jensen
73'
78'
Eguinaldo
⚽M. Sin
· ast. B. Kovacs
80'
83'
ast. Lucas Ferreira ·
Luca Meirelles⚽
85'
M. Matviienko
89'
A. Bondarenko
/
O. Ocheretko
Weslley Patati
/ M. Menu
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
38.17%
AZ
28.66%
X ←
33.17%
Shakhtar
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.66%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.48
0.79
-0.69
1.23
1.47
+0.24
Shakhtar Donetsk dominated by xG (1.47 vs 0.79).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
41
G
23
Billy van Duijl
63'
D
Billy van Duijl
63'
D
4
D
18
Rion Ichihara
D
Rion Ichihara
D
15
Mateo Chávez
45'
M
Mateo Chávez
45'
M
33
Matěj Šín
1 ⚽
M
Matěj Šín
1 ⚽
M
74
Kasper Boogaard
M
Kasper Boogaard
M
2
Seiya Maikuma
45'
M
Seiya Maikuma
45'
M
7
Weslley Patati
89'
F
Weslley Patati
89'
F
11
I. Sadiq
F
I. Sadiq
F
35
Mexx Meerdink
63'
F
Mexx Meerdink
63'
F
Bench
5
Alexandre Penetra
D
Alexandre Penetra
D
24
A. Oufkir
45'
F
45
Bendegúz Kovács
1 👟
27'
F
Bendegúz Kovács
1 👟
27'
F
22
Elijah Dijkstra
D
Elijah Dijkstra
D
17
I. Jensen
1 ⚽
45'
F
I. Jensen
1 ⚽
45'
F
26
K. Smit
M
K. Smit
M
46
Mathijs Menu
1'
D
56
Rio Robbemond
27'
M
1
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro
G
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro
G
10
S. Mijnans
M
S. Mijnans
M
9
T. Parrott
F
T. Parrott
F
31
G
13
Pedro Henrique
D
22
Mykola Matvienko
D
5
Valerii Bondar
D
17
Vinícius Tobias
D
Vinícius Tobias
D
29
Yehor Nazaryna
M
11
Newerton Palmares
70'
M
14
Isaque
61'
M
27
Oleg Ocheretko
89'
M
30
Alisson
1 ⚽
61'
M
19
Kauã Elias
1 👟
70'
F
Bench
18
Alaa Ghram
D
21
Artem Bondarenko
1'
M
7
Eguinaldo
29'
M
16
Irakli Azarovi
D
2
Lassina Traoré
F
49
Luca Meirelles
1 ⚽
20'
F
37
Lucas Ferreira
1 👟
20'
M
4
Marlon
D
6
Marlon Gomes
29'
M
68
Prosper Obah
M
26
Y. Konoplya
D
Best on the pitch
I. Jensen
F · AZ
8.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
Alisson
M · Shakhtar
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
Luca Meirelles
F · Shakhtar
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 6 pass
Matěj Šín
M · AZ
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 31 pass
D · AZ
7.00
· 60 pass
Newerton Palmares
M · Shakhtar
6.90
1 shots
· 9 pass
AZ Alkmaar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Billy van Duijl | D | 63 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 21% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 60 | 50% | 3 | — | — | |
| Rion Ichihara | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 52% | 2 | — | — |
| Mateo Chávez | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Matěj Šín | M | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 31 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Kasper Boogaard | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 34% | — | 1 | — |
| Seiya Maikuma | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| Weslley Patati | F | 89 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| I. Sadiq | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Mexx Meerdink | F | 63 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| A. Oufkir | F | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Bendegúz Kovács | F | 27 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| I. Jensen | F | 45 | 8.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Mathijs Menu | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rio Robbemond | M | 27 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 3 | — | — |
Shakhtar Donetsk — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 39 | 21% | — | — | — | |
| Pedro Henrique | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Mykola Matvienko | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 52 | 42% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Valerii Bondar | D | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Vinícius Tobias | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Yehor Nazaryna | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 42 | 34% | 2 | — | — |
| Newerton Palmares | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Isaque | M | 61 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Oleg Ocheretko | M | 89 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Alisson | M | 61 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Kauã Elias | F | 70 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Artem Bondarenko | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Eguinaldo | M | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Luca Meirelles | F | 20 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Ferreira | M | 20 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Marlon Gomes | M | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
The final score was AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Shakhtar Donetsk.
What did the model predict before AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk?
The model assigned 38% probability to a AZ Alkmaar win, 28% to a draw, and 33% to an Shakhtar Donetsk win.