J. Clasie
13'
P. Koopmeiners
(ast. R. Owusu-Oduro)
90'+5
(og)
32'
R. Owusu-Oduro
55'
(ast. K. Hlynsson)
S. Lammers
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AZ Alkmaar a 47% win probability (draw 26%, Twente 26%). The final result was AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Twente. In 2 previous meetings, AZ Alkmaar have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Twente.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
2
1.38
Actual xG
0.46
2
Saves
1
58%
Possession
42%
4
Corners
3
17
Tackles
19
Match Events
⚽J. Clasie
13'
32'
(og)
R. Owusu-Oduro⚽
55'
ast. K. Hlynsson ·
S. Lammers⚽
J. Clasie
/ P. Koopmeiners
60'
I. Jensen
/ Weslley Patati
69'
71'
M. Kjolo
/
T. van den Belt
71'
A. Verschueren
/
D. Rots
79'
R. van Wolfswinkel
/
S. Lammers
79'
M. Pjaca
/
S. Orjasaeter
R. Daal
/ B. Kovacs
80'
Penetra
/ M. Meerdink
80'
83'
R. Propper
/
K. Hlynsson
⚽P. Koopmeiners
· ast. R. Owusu-Oduro
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
47.44%
AZ
26.54%
X ←
26.01%
Twente
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.54%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.79
1.38
-0.41
1.19
0.46
-0.73
AZ Alkmaar dominated by xG (1.38 vs 0.46).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
R. Owusu-Oduro
1 ⚽
1 👟
G
R. Owusu-Oduro
1 ⚽
1 👟
G
34
M. de Wit
D
M. de Wit
D
5
Alexandre Penetra
80'
D
Alexandre Penetra
80'
D
3
D
22
E. Dijkstra
D
E. Dijkstra
D
8
J. Clasie
1 ⚽
60'
M
J. Clasie
1 ⚽
60'
M
26
K. Smit
M
K. Smit
M
27
R. Daal
80'
M
R. Daal
80'
M
10
S. Mijnans
M
S. Mijnans
M
17
I. Jensen
69'
M
I. Jensen
69'
M
9
T. Parrott
F
T. Parrott
F
Bench
24
A. Oufkir
F
A. Oufkir
F
45
B. Kovacs
15'
F
B. Kovacs
15'
F
11
I. Sadiq
F
20
K. Boogaard
M
K. Boogaard
M
15
M. Chávez
D
M. Chávez
D
35
M. Meerdink
15'
F
M. Meerdink
15'
F
33
M. Šín
M
M. Šín
M
6
P. Koopmeiners
1 ⚽
35'
M
P. Koopmeiners
1 ⚽
35'
M
18
R. Ichihara
D
R. Ichihara
D
2
S. Maikuma
D
S. Maikuma
D
7
Weslley Patati
26'
F
Weslley Patati
26'
F
1
G
39
M. Rots
D
M. Rots
D
43
R. Nijstad
D
R. Nijstad
D
23
Stav Lemkin
D
28
B. van Rooij
D
B. van Rooij
D
20
T. van den Belt
71'
M
T. van den Belt
71'
M
6
R. Zerrouki
M
R. Zerrouki
M
27
S. Ørjasæter
79'
M
S. Ørjasæter
79'
M
14
Kristian Hlynsson
1 👟
83'
M
Kristian Hlynsson
1 👟
83'
M
11
D. Rots
71'
M
D. Rots
71'
M
10
Sam Lammers
1 ⚽
79'
F
Sam Lammers
1 ⚽
79'
F
Bench
9
R. van Wolfswinkel
16'
F
R. van Wolfswinkel
16'
F
8
T. Booth
F
T. Booth
F
Best on the pitch
J. Clasie
M · AZ
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 38 pass
Sam Lammers
F · Twente
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 21 pass
M. de Wit
D · AZ
7.20
1 shots
· 58 pass
M. Rots
D · Twente
7.20
· 43 pass
B. van Rooij
D · Twente
7.20
· 36 pass
E. Dijkstra
D · AZ
7.00
· 47 pass
AZ Alkmaar — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Owusu-Oduro | G | 95 | 6.30 | 1 | 1 | — | 36 | 24% | — | — | — |
| M. de Wit | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 58 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Alexandre Penetra | D | 80 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 77 | 66% | — | — | — |
| D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 69 | 61% | 2 | — | — | |
| E. Dijkstra | D | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 47 | 44% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Clasie | M | 60 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 38 | 33% | — | — | — |
| K. Smit | M | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 60 | 51% | — | — | — |
| R. Daal | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Mijnans | M | 95 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 43 | 29% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Jensen | M | 69 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Parrott | F | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 21 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Kovacs | F | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
| M. Meerdink | F | 15 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| P. Koopmeiners | M | 35 | 7.00 | 1 | — | — | 24 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| Weslley Patati | F | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
Twente — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| M. Rots | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 43 | 30% | 3 | — | — |
| R. Nijstad | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 48 | 46% | — | — | — |
| Stav Lemkin | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 43 | 39% | — | — | — |
| B. van Rooij | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 28% | 8 | — | — |
| T. van den Belt | M | 71 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Zerrouki | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 42 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Ørjasæter | M | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Kristian Hlynsson | M | 83 | 6.60 | — | 1 | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Rots | M | 71 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Sam Lammers | F | 79 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 21 | 13% | — | — | — |
| R. van Wolfswinkel | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
The final score was AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Twente.
What did the model predict before AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
The model assigned 47% probability to a AZ Alkmaar win, 26% to a draw, and 26% to an Twente win.