← Eredivisie
Eredivisie · Regular Season - 32 May 03, 2026 16:45
AZ Alkmaar
#6 · 51 pts
2 – 2
Final score
Twente
#3 · 58 pts
J. Clasie 13'
P. Koopmeiners (ast. R. Owusu-Oduro) 90'+5
(og) 32' R. Owusu-Oduro
55' (ast. K. Hlynsson) S. Lammers

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave AZ Alkmaar a 47% win probability (draw 26%, Twente 26%). The final result was AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Twente. In 2 previous meetings, AZ Alkmaar have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Twente.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
3
Shots on target
2
1.38
Actual xG
0.46
2
Saves
1
58%
Possession
42%
4
Corners
3
17
Tackles
19
Match Events
⚽J. Clasie
13'
32'
(og) R. Owusu-Oduro⚽
55'
ast. K. Hlynsson · S. Lammers⚽
↕ J. Clasie / P. Koopmeiners
60'
↕ I. Jensen / Weslley Patati
69'
71'
M. Kjolo / T. van den Belt ↕
71'
A. Verschueren / D. Rots ↕
79'
R. van Wolfswinkel / S. Lammers ↕
79'
M. Pjaca / S. Orjasaeter ↕
↕ R. Daal / B. Kovacs
80'
↕ Penetra / M. Meerdink
80'
83'
R. Propper / K. Hlynsson ↕
⚽P. Koopmeiners · ast. R. Owusu-Oduro
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
47.44%
AZ
26.54%
X ←
26.01%
Twente
we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 26.54% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
AZ
1.79
1.38
-0.41
Twente
1.19
0.46
-0.73
AZ Alkmaar dominated by xG (1.38 vs 0.46). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Roda Roda 1 1
1 Willem II Willem II 1 3
1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 33 81
2 Feyenoord Feyenoord 33 62
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 1
2 Waalwijk Waalwijk 1 0
3 Twente Twente 33 58
4 NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen 33 56
5 Ajax Ajax 33 55
6 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 33 51
7 Utrecht Utrecht 33 50
8 Heerenveen Heerenveen 33 50
9 Groningen Groningen 33 45
10 Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam 33 43
11 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 33 39
12 GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles 33 38
13 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 33 37
14 Excelsior Excelsior 33 35
15 Telstar Telstar 33 34
16 FC Volendam FC Volendam 33 32
17 NAC Breda NAC Breda 33 28
18 Heracles Heracles 33 19
Lineups
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 4-2-3-1
1 Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro 1 ⚽ 1 👟 G 6.30
34 M. de Wit M. de Wit D 7.20
5 Alexandre Penetra Alexandre Penetra 80' D 6.30
3
D 6.90
22 Elijah Dijkstra Elijah Dijkstra D 7.00
8 Jordy Clasie Jordy Clasie 1 ⚽ 60' M 7.30
26 K. Smit K. Smit M 6.30
27 R. Daal R. Daal 80' M 6.90
10 S. Mijnans S. Mijnans M 6.70
17 I. Jensen I. Jensen 69' M 6.90
9 T. Parrott T. Parrott F 6.90
Bench
24
A. Oufkir F
45 Bendegúz Kovács Bendegúz Kovács 15' F 6.60
11 I. Sadiq I. Sadiq F
20 Kasper Boogaard Kasper Boogaard M
33 Matěj Šín Matěj Šín M
15 Mateo Chávez Mateo Chávez D
35 Mexx Meerdink Mexx Meerdink 15' F 6.60
6 Peer Koopmeiners Peer Koopmeiners 1 ⚽ 35' M 7.00
18 Rion Ichihara Rion Ichihara D
2 Seiya Maikuma Seiya Maikuma D
7 Weslley Patati Weslley Patati 26' F 6.90
Twente Twente 4-2-3-1
1
G 6.60
39 Mats Rots Mats Rots D 7.20
43 Ruud Nijstad Ruud Nijstad D 6.90
23 Stav Lemkin Stav Lemkin D 6.30
28 Bart van Rooij Bart van Rooij D 7.20
20 T. van den Belt T. van den Belt 71' M 6.60
6 Ramiz Zerrouki Ramiz Zerrouki M 6.90
27 S. Ørjasæter S. Ørjasæter 79' M 6.60
14 K. Hlynsson K. Hlynsson 1 👟 83' M 6.60
11 D. Rots D. Rots 71' M 6.70
10 S. Lammers S. Lammers 1 ⚽ 79' F 7.30
Bench
9 R. van Wolfswinkel R. van Wolfswinkel 16' F 6.70
8 Taylor Booth Taylor Booth F
Best on the pitch
Jordy Clasie
Jordy Clasie
M · AZ
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots · 38 pass
S. Lammers
S. Lammers
F · Twente
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots · 21 pass
M. de Wit
M. de Wit
D · AZ
7.20
1 shots · 58 pass
Mats Rots
Mats Rots
D · Twente
7.20
· 43 pass
Bart van Rooij
Bart van Rooij
D · Twente
7.20
· 36 pass
Elijah Dijkstra
Elijah Dijkstra
D · AZ
7.00
· 47 pass
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro G 95 6.30 1 1 — 36 24% — — —
M. de Wit D 95 7.20 — — 1 58 49% 2 — —
Alexandre Penetra D 80 6.30 — — 2 77 66% — — —
D 95 6.90 — — — 69 61% 2 — —
Elijah Dijkstra D 95 7.00 — — — 47 44% 4 — —
Jordy Clasie M 60 7.30 1 — 1 38 33% — — —
K. Smit M 95 6.30 — — 1 60 51% — — —
R. Daal M 80 6.90 — — — 24 21% 1 — —
S. Mijnans M 95 6.70 — — — 43 29% 2 — —
I. Jensen M 69 6.90 — — — 21 21% 1 — —
T. Parrott F 95 6.90 — — 4 21 18% 2 — —
Bendegúz Kovács F 15 6.60 — — — 4 2% — — —
Mexx Meerdink F 15 6.60 — — — 6 4% — — —
Peer Koopmeiners M 35 7.00 1 — — 24 22% 3 — —
Weslley Patati F 26 6.90 — — 1 17 13% — — —
Twente Twente — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
G 95 6.60 — — — 25 15% — — —
Mats Rots D 95 7.20 — — — 43 30% 3 — —
Ruud Nijstad D 95 6.90 — — — 48 46% — — —
Stav Lemkin D 95 6.30 — — — 43 39% — — —
Bart van Rooij D 95 7.20 — — — 36 28% 8 — —
T. van den Belt M 71 6.60 — — — 31 20% 2 — —
Ramiz Zerrouki M 95 6.90 — — 2 42 38% 1 — —
S. Ørjasæter M 79 6.60 — — — 23 18% 1 — —
K. Hlynsson M 83 6.60 — 1 — 25 22% 1 — —
D. Rots M 71 6.70 — — — 23 18% 2 — —
S. Lammers F 79 7.30 1 — 3 21 13% — — —
R. van Wolfswinkel F 16 6.70 — — — 6 4% 1 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
The final score was AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Twente.
What did the model predict before AZ Alkmaar vs Twente?
The model assigned 47% probability to a AZ Alkmaar win, 26% to a draw, and 26% to an Twente win.