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Azam - Al Ahli Tripoli

CAF Confederation Cup November 28, 2026 17:00
Azam
vs
Al Ahli Tripoli
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.2%
Win
Azam
33.31%
Draw
35.49%
Win
Al Ahli Tripoli
0.45
Expected xG
1.05

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (17.22%)
1X2 Result
1 31%
X 33%
2 35%
Double Chance
1X 65%
X2 69%
12 67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 52%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Al Ahli Tripoli a 35% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 31% for Azam. Expected goals are 0.4 for Azam and 1.0 for Al Ahli Tripoli (total 1.5), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 17.22% probability.

Season Stats

Azam
8W 1D 3L
Al Ahli Tripoli
4W 0D 0L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
3.8
0.6
Conceded
0.2
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
100%
17%
O 2.5
100%
17%
BTTS
25%
58%
Clean Sht
75%
ℹ Based on the last 12 matches in CAF Confederation Cup. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
34%
O 3.5
0%
BTTS
Azam
5W 0D 1L · at home
Al Ahli Tripoli
2W 0D 0L · away
2.0
gls/g
3.5
0.2
Conceded
0.0
83%
Win %
100%
83%
Win or Draw
100%
33%
O 1.5
100%
17%
O 2.5
100%
17%
O 3.5
50%
0%
BTTS
0%
83%
Clean Sht
100%
17%
Failed to Score
0%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Azam Al Ahli Tripoli →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 22.4% 23.4% 12.3% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2%
1 10.1% 10.5% 5.5% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 2.3% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% —
3 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% — —
4 — — — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Azam Azam
W Masr 1–0
D Masr 1–1
L Wydad AC 2–0
W Maniema Union 1–0
W Nairobi United 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 37%
Al Ahli Tripoli Al Ahli Tripoli
W Welwalo Adigrat Uni 4–1
W Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0–4
W KMKM 4–0
W KMKM 0–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 45%

Playing profile

Azam Azam
Attack
24
Defence
86
Form
65
Al Ahli Tripoli Al Ahli Tripoli
Attack
88
Defence
91
Form
86
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Azam vs Al Ahli Tripoli?
The model gives Azam a 31% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 35% for an Al Ahli Tripoli win.
How many goals are expected in Azam vs Al Ahli Tripoli?
Expected goals: Azam 0.4, Al Ahli Tripoli 1.0 (total 1.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Azam vs Al Ahli Tripoli?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 17.22%.