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Azerbaijan - Liechtenstein

#2 · 0 pts
vs
#3 · 0 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
92.4%
Win
Azerbaijan
3.67%
Draw
3.92%
Win
Liechtenstein
4.5
Expected xG
0.51
Most likely outcome
Azerbaijan
92.4%
Probability
100.0%
1X2 accuracy · 2 predictions (3 months)

Market probabilities

Most likely result 4–0 (12.43%)
1X2 Result
1 92%
X 4%
2 4%
Double Chance
1X 96%
X2 8%
12 96%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 91%
Over 2.5 84%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Azerbaijan a 92% win probability, against 3% for a draw and 3% for Liechtenstein. Expected goals are 4.5 for Azerbaijan and 0.5 for Liechtenstein (total 5.0), with a 90% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 4–0 at 12.43% probability.

Season Stats

Azerbaijan
0W 1D 5L
Liechtenstein
0W 2D 2L
Averages per game
0.5
Goals
0.8
2.8
Conceded
1.5
4.2
Shots OT
2.0
5.0
Corners
2.3
50%
Poss.
58%
Percentages
83%
O 1.5
50%
67%
O 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%
17%
Clean Sht
25%
Based on the last 6 matches in UEFA Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
59%
O 3.5
59%
BTTS
Azerbaijan
0W 1D 2L · at home
Liechtenstein
0W 1D 1L · away
0.7
gls/g
1.0
2.0
Conceded
1.5
0%
Win %
0%
33%
Win or Draw
50%
67%
O 1.5
50%
67%
O 2.5
50%
67%
O 3.5
50%
67%
BTTS
50%
33%
Clean Sht
0%
33%
Failed to Score
50%
last 3
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Azerbaijan Liechtenstein →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 3.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
2 6.7% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2%
3 10.1% 5.2% 1.3% 0.2%
4 11.4% 5.8% 1.5% 0.3%
5 10.2% 5.3% 1.3% 0.2%

Recent form

L Sweden 6–0
D Estonia 0–0
L Slovakia 1–3
L Estonia 3–1
L Slovakia 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 20%
L San Marino 1–3
D Gibraltar 0–0
D Gibraltar 2–2
L San Marino 1–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan
Attack
33
Defence
61
Form
39
Liechtenstein Liechtenstein
Attack
9
Defence
45
Form
10
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

UEFA Nations League , League D, Group 2

# Team G Pts
1 Lithuania Lithuania 0 0
2 Azerbaijan Azerbaijan 0 0
3 Liechtenstein Liechtenstein 0 0

What's at stake · UEFA Nations League , League D, Group 2

Top 2 advance to the next round

Azerbaijan Liechtenstein
Current #2 #3
Azerbaijan #1 #3
Draw #1 #2
Liechtenstein #3 #1

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein?
The model gives Azerbaijan a 92% win probability, 3% for a draw, and 3% for an Liechtenstein win.
How many goals are expected in Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein?
Expected goals: Azerbaijan 4.5, Liechtenstein 0.5 (total 5.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 90%.
What is the most likely score in Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein?
4–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.43%.