Skip to main content
← FAW Championship
FAW Championship · South - 5 August 28, 2026 20:30
#5 · 17 pts
3 – 1
Final score
#4 · 19 pts
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Caerau (Ely) a 39% win probability (draw 32%, Baglan Dragons 28%). The final result was Baglan Dragons 3–1 Caerau (Ely). In 3 previous meetings, Baglan Dragons have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Caerau (Ely).

Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
28.29%
Baglan ←
32.05%
X
39.66%
Caerau
we assigned to the actual result (Baglan Dragons) 28.29% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Baglan
0.40
—
—
Caerau
1.13
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Swansea University Swansea University 9 21
2 Pontypridd Town Pontypridd Town 11 21
3 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 9 19
4 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 11 19
5 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 11 17
6 Ynyshir Albions Ynyshir Albions 9 16
7 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 11 16
8 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 11 15
9 Afan Lido Afan Lido 12 15
10 Caerphilly Athletic Caerphilly Athletic 11 14
11 Treowen Stars Treowen Stars 10 13
12 Llantwit Major Llantwit Major 10 11
13 Pontardawe Town Pontardawe Town 9 10
14 Newport City Newport City 9 9
15 Cardiff Draconians Cardiff Draconians 9 9
16 llanelli AFC llanelli AFC 12 2
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely)?
The final score was Baglan Dragons 3–1 Caerau (Ely).
What did the model predict before Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely)?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Baglan Dragons win, 32% to a draw, and 39% to an Caerau (Ely) win.