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FAW Championship · South - 5 August 28, 2026 20:30
#5 · 13 pts
3 – 1
Final score
#7 · 10 pts
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Caerau (Ely) a 39% win probability (draw 32%, Baglan Dragons 28%). The final result was Baglan Dragons 3–1 Caerau (Ely). In 3 previous meetings, Baglan Dragons have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Caerau (Ely).

Match statistics
Pre-match prediction
28.29%
Baglan ←
32.05%
X
39.66%
Caerau
we assigned to the actual result (Baglan Dragons) 28.29% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Baglan
0.40
Caerau
1.13
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Swansea University Swansea University 6 16
2 Aberystwyth Town Aberystwyth Town 6 15
3 Treowen Stars Treowen Stars 7 13
4 Pontypridd Town Pontypridd Town 6 13
5 Baglan Dragons Baglan Dragons 8 13
6 Carmarthen Town Carmarthen Town 7 11
7 Caerau (Ely) Caerau (Ely) 7 10
8 Afan Lido Afan Lido 8 10
9 Trethomas Bluebirds Trethomas Bluebirds 7 9
10 Ynyshir Albions Ynyshir Albions 6 9
11 Caerphilly Athletic Caerphilly Athletic 7 8
12 Cardiff Draconians Cardiff Draconians 5 7
13 Newport City Newport City 5 6
14 Pontardawe Town Pontardawe Town 6 3
15 llanelli AFC llanelli AFC 8 2
16 Llantwit Major Llantwit Major 5 1
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely)?
The final score was Baglan Dragons 3–1 Caerau (Ely).
What did the model predict before Baglan Dragons vs Caerau (Ely)?
The model assigned 28% probability to a Baglan Dragons win, 32% to a draw, and 39% to an Caerau (Ely) win.