Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 9
April 02, 2026 01:00
Everaldo
(ast. Jean Lucas)
3'
Everaldo
(ast. Luciano Juba)
35'
Luciano Juba
90'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bahia a 38% win probability (draw 29%, Atletico Paranaense 31%). The final result was Bahia 3–0 Atletico Paranaense. In 1 previous meetings, Bahia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Paranaense.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
4
1.16
Actual xG
0.56
4
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
1
14
Tackles
5
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Everaldo
· ast. Jean Lucas
3'
David Duarte
26'
⚽Everaldo
· ast. Luciano Juba
35'
42'
Jádson
Everaldo
45'+2
45'
46'
J. Portilla
/
Luiz Gustavo
46'
Leo Derik
/
C. Teran
46'
B. Zapelli
/
Julimar
Caio Alexandre
/ Erick
60'
66'
Joao Cruz
/
Jadson
Erick Pulga
/ Ademir
68'
Everton Ribeiro
/ Michel Araujo
68'
78'
Bruninho
/
Dudu Kogitzki
Everaldo
/ Willian Jose
85'
C. Olivera
/ Iago Borduchi
85'
90'
Gastón Benavídez
⚽Luciano Juba
90'
Pre-match prediction
38.89%
Bahia ←
29.49%
X
31.61%
Atletico
we assigned to the actual result (Bahia)
38.89%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.49
1.16
-0.33
1.33
0.56
-0.77
Bahia dominated by xG (1.16 vs 0.56).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
G
46
Luciano Juba
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
Luciano Juba
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
21
S. Ramos
D
S. Ramos
D
33
David Duarte
D
David Duarte
D
5
N. Acevedo
D
N. Acevedo
D
6
Jean Lucas
1 👟
M
Jean Lucas
1 👟
M
8
Caio Alexandre
60'
M
Caio Alexandre
60'
M
10
Éverton Ribeiro
68'
M
Éverton Ribeiro
68'
M
16
Erick Pulga
68'
F
Erick Pulga
68'
F
27
Everaldo
2 ⚽
85'
F
Everaldo
2 ⚽
85'
F
99
C. Olivera
85'
F
C. Olivera
85'
F
Bench
14
Erick
30'
M
Erick
30'
M
3
Gabriel Xavier
D
Gabriel Xavier
D
2
Gilberto
D
Gilberto
D
15
M. Araújo
22'
M
M. Araújo
22'
M
12
Willian José
10'
F
Willian José
10'
F
23
Santos
G
Santos
G
3
D
33
J. Aguirre
D
J. Aguirre
D
13
C. Terán
45'
D
C. Terán
45'
D
7
S. Mendoza
M
S. Mendoza
M
14
Luiz Gustavo
45'
M
Luiz Gustavo
45'
M
16
Jádson
66'
M
Jádson
66'
M
29
G. Benavídez
M
G. Benavídez
M
53
Dudu
78'
F
Dudu
78'
F
20
Julimar
45'
F
Julimar
45'
F
9
Kevin Viveros
F
Kevin Viveros
F
Bench
48
Bruno Braga Ramos
12'
M
Bruno Braga Ramos
12'
M
10
B. Zapelli
45'
M
B. Zapelli
45'
M
8
Joao Cruz
27
J. Portilla
45'
M
J. Portilla
45'
M
6
Leo Derik
Best on the pitch
Everaldo
F · Bahia
9.20
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
Luciano Juba
D · Bahia
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 41 pass
Jean Lucas
M · Bahia
7.60
1 👟
· 35 pass
G · Bahia
7.50
· 32 pass
S. Ramos
D · Bahia
7.50
· 46 pass
C. Olivera
F · Bahia
7.50
3 shots
· 25 pass
Bahia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Luciano Juba | D | 90 | 8.60 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 36% | — | — | — |
| S. Ramos | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 46 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| David Duarte | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Acevedo | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 81 | 69% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean Lucas | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 35 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Caio Alexandre | M | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Éverton Ribeiro | M | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Erick Pulga | F | 68 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Everaldo | F | 85 | 9.20 | 2 | — | 2 | 12 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Olivera | F | 85 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| Erick | M | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Araújo | M | 22 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Willian José | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Atletico Paranaense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 43% | 1 | — | — | |
| J. Aguirre | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 48% | — | — | — |
| C. Terán | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Mendoza | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Luiz Gustavo | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Jádson | M | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Benavídez | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dudu | F | 78 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Julimar | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Kevin Viveros | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Braga Ramos | M | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| B. Zapelli | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 36 | 28% | — | — | — |
| J. Portilla | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 33% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bahia vs Atletico Paranaense?
The final score was Bahia 3–0 Atletico Paranaense.
What did the model predict before Bahia vs Atletico Paranaense?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Bahia win, 29% to a draw, and 31% to an Atletico Paranaense win.