Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 9
April 02, 2026 03:00
Everaldo
(ast. Jean Lucas)
3'
Everaldo
(ast. Luciano Juba)
35'
Luciano Juba
90'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bahia a 38% win probability (draw 29%, Atletico Paranaense 31%). The final result was Bahia 3–0 Atletico Paranaense.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
4
1.16
Actual xG
0.56
4
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
1
14
Tackles
5
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Everaldo
· ast. Jean Lucas
3'
David Duarte
26'
⚽Everaldo
· ast. Luciano Juba
35'
42'
Jádson
Everaldo
45'+2
45'
46'
J. Portilla
/
Luiz Gustavo
46'
Leo Derik
/
C. Teran
46'
B. Zapelli
/
Julimar
Caio Alexandre
/ Erick
60'
66'
Joao Cruz
/
Jadson
Erick Pulga
/ Ademir
68'
Everton Ribeiro
/ Michel Araujo
68'
78'
Bruninho
/
Dudu Kogitzki
Everaldo
/ Willian Jose
85'
C. Olivera
/ Iago Borduchi
85'
90'
Gastón Benavídez
⚽Luciano Juba
90'
Pre-match prediction
38.89%
Bahia ←
29.49%
X
31.61%
Atletico
we assigned to the actual result (Bahia)
38.89%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.49
1.16
-0.33
1.33
0.56
-0.77
Bahia dominated by xG (1.16 vs 0.56).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
G
46
Luciano Juba
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
Luciano Juba
1 ⚽
1 👟
D
21
Santiago Ramos Mingo
D
Santiago Ramos Mingo
D
33
David Duarte
D
David Duarte
D
5
N. Acevedo
D
N. Acevedo
D
6
Jean Lucas
1 👟
M
Jean Lucas
1 👟
M
8
Caio Alexandre
60'
M
Caio Alexandre
60'
M
10
Éverton Ribeiro
68'
M
Éverton Ribeiro
68'
M
16
Erick Pulga
68'
F
Erick Pulga
68'
F
27
Everaldo
2 ⚽
85'
F
Everaldo
2 ⚽
85'
F
99
Cristian Olivera
85'
F
Cristian Olivera
85'
F
Bench
14
Erick
30'
M
Erick
30'
M
3
Gabriel Xavier
D
Gabriel Xavier
D
2
Gilberto
D
Gilberto
D
15
Michel Araújo
22'
M
Michel Araújo
22'
M
12
Willian José
10'
F
Willian José
10'
F
23
Santos
G
Santos
G
3
D
33
Juan Felipe Aguirre
D
Juan Felipe Aguirre
D
13
Carlos Terán
45'
D
Carlos Terán
45'
D
7
S. Mendoza
M
S. Mendoza
M
14
Luiz Gustavo
45'
M
Luiz Gustavo
45'
M
16
Jádson
66'
M
Jádson
66'
M
29
G. Benavídez
M
G. Benavídez
M
53
Dudu
78'
F
Dudu
78'
F
20
Julimar
45'
F
Julimar
45'
F
9
K. Viveros
F
K. Viveros
F
Bench
48
Bruno Braga Ramos
12'
M
Bruno Braga Ramos
12'
M
10
B. Zapelli
45'
M
B. Zapelli
45'
M
8
Joao Cruz
27
Juan Portilla
45'
M
Juan Portilla
45'
M
6
Leo Derik
Best on the pitch
Everaldo
F · Bahia
9.20
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
Luciano Juba
D · Bahia
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 41 pass
Jean Lucas
M · Bahia
7.60
1 👟
· 35 pass
G · Bahia
7.50
· 32 pass
Santiago Ramos Mingo
D · Bahia
7.50
· 46 pass
Cristian Olivera
F · Bahia
7.50
3 shots
· 25 pass
Bahia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | — | — | |
| Luciano Juba | D | 90 | 8.60 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 41 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Ramos Mingo | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 46 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| David Duarte | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 45% | — | 1 | — |
| N. Acevedo | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 81 | 69% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean Lucas | M | 90 | 7.60 | — | 1 | — | 35 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Caio Alexandre | M | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 41 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| Éverton Ribeiro | M | 68 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Erick Pulga | F | 68 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Everaldo | F | 85 | 9.20 | 2 | — | 2 | 12 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Cristian Olivera | F | 85 | 7.50 | — | — | 3 | 25 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| Erick | M | 30 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Michel Araújo | M | 22 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Willian José | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
Atletico Paranaense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | G | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 15 | 8% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 43% | 1 | — | — | |
| Juan Felipe Aguirre | D | 90 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Carlos Terán | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Mendoza | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Luiz Gustavo | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 24 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Jádson | M | 66 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 31% | — | 1 | — |
| G. Benavídez | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Dudu | F | 78 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Julimar | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| K. Viveros | F | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Braga Ramos | M | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| B. Zapelli | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 36 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Juan Portilla | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 33% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bahia vs Atletico Paranaense?
The final score was Bahia 3–0 Atletico Paranaense.
What did the model predict before Bahia vs Atletico Paranaense?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Bahia win, 29% to a draw, and 31% to an Atletico Paranaense win.