Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 4
July 18, 2026 00:30
✓Model correct — prediction Bahia
Rodrigo
12'
(pen.)
R. Gomez
(ast. David Duarte)
34'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bahia a 72% win probability (draw 15%, Chapecoense-sc 12%). The final result was Bahia 2–0 Chapecoense-sc. In 1 previous meetings, Bahia have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Chapecoense-sc.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
2
1.83
Actual xG
0.41
2
Saves
4
65%
Possession
35%
10
Corners
6
13
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽Rodrigo
(pen.)
12'
⚽R. Gomez
· ast. David Duarte
34'
46'
Vinicius Balieiro
/
Bruno Matias
46'
Neto Pessoa
/
Enio
63'
Rubens Ricoldi
/
Marcinho
63'
Everton
/
Marcos Vinicius
Ze Guilherme
64'
Ademir
/ Kaue Junior
67'
Willian Jose
/ Everton Ribeiro
67'
Erick Pulga
/ Everaldo
79'
Rodrigo
/ Jean Lucas
79'
81'
David Antunes
/
Camilo Reijers
Luciano Juba
83'
David Duarte
/ Marcos Victor
88'
Pre-match prediction
72.01%
Bahia ←
15.64%
X
12.35%
Chapecoense-sc
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Bahia)
72.01%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.42
1.83
-0.59
0.74
0.41
-0.34
Bahia dominated by xG (1.83 vs 0.41).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Ronaldo
G
Ronaldo
G
66
José Guilherme
D
José Guilherme
D
21
S. Ramos
D
S. Ramos
D
33
David Duarte
1 👟
87'
D
David Duarte
1 👟
87'
D
31
Román Gómez
1 ⚽
D
Román Gómez
1 ⚽
D
11
Rodrigo Nestor
1 ⚽
79'
M
Rodrigo Nestor
1 ⚽
79'
M
5
Nicolás Acevedo
M
Nicolás Acevedo
M
14
Erick
M
Erick
M
16
Erick Pulga
80'
F
Erick Pulga
80'
F
12
Willian José
67'
F
Willian José
67'
F
7
Ademir
67'
F
Ademir
67'
F
Bench
57
Çağatay Yılmaz
29'
M
Çağatay Yılmaz
29'
M
8
Caio Alexandre
M
Caio Alexandre
M
27
Everaldo
16'
F
Everaldo
16'
F
10
Everton Ribeiro
29'
M
Everton Ribeiro
29'
M
25
Iago Borduchi
D
Iago Borduchi
D
91
Iuri Jean
G
Iuri Jean
G
6
Jean Lucas
17'
M
Jean Lucas
17'
M
4
Kanu
D
Kanu
D
46
Luciano Juba
D
Luciano Juba
D
44
Marcos Victor
9'
D
Marcos Victor
9'
D
23
Mateo Sanabria
F
Mateo Sanabria
F
15
Michel Araújo
M
Michel Araújo
M
30
Matheus Aurelio
G
Matheus Aurelio
G
91
Bruno Pacheco
D
Bruno Pacheco
D
3
Eduardo Doma
D
Eduardo Doma
D
15
Rafael Thyere
D
Rafael Thyere
D
2
Marcos Vinícius
63'
D
Marcos Vinícius
63'
D
27
Camilo Reijers
81'
M
Camilo Reijers
81'
M
16
Bruno Matias
45'
M
Bruno Matias
45'
M
7
Marcinho
63'
M
Marcinho
63'
M
10
Giovanni Augusto
M
Giovanni Augusto
M
97
Ênio
45'
M
Ênio
45'
M
11
Y. Bolasie
F
Y. Bolasie
F
Bench
33
Bruno Leonardo
D
Bruno Leonardo
D
19
David Antunes
15'
M
David Antunes
15'
M
26
Everton
33'
D
Everton
33'
D
50
Kassio
F
Kassio
F
21
Kauan
D
Kauan
D
6
Mancha
D
Mancha
D
18
Neto Pessoa
51'
F
Neto Pessoa
51'
F
1
Rafael Santos
G
Rafael Santos
G
70
Rubens
33'
M
Rubens
33'
M
17
Vinicius Balieiro
51'
M
Vinicius Balieiro
51'
M
Best on the pitch
Román Gómez
D · Bahia
7.90
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 48 pass
Ronaldo
G · Bahia
7.70
· 28 pass
Rodrigo Nestor
M · Bahia
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 55 pass
David Duarte
D · Bahia
7.60
1 👟
2 shots
· 66 pass
Nicolás Acevedo
M · Bahia
7.60
1 shots
· 74 pass
José Guilherme
D · Bahia
7.30
1 shots
· 45 pass
Bahia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronaldo | G | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | — | — | — |
| José Guilherme | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 42% | — | 1 | — |
| S. Ramos | D | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 64% | — | — | — |
| David Duarte | D | 87 | 7.60 | — | 1 | 2 | 66 | 61% | — | — | — |
| Román Gómez | D | 96 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 3 | 48 | 41% | 3 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Nestor | M | 79 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 55 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| Nicolás Acevedo | M | 96 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 73% | 2 | — | — |
| Erick | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Erick Pulga | F | 80 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Willian José | F | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Ademir | F | 67 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 15% | 3 | — | — |
| Çağatay Yılmaz | M | 29 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Everaldo | F | 16 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Everton Ribeiro | M | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean Lucas | M | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Victor | D | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 4% | — | — | — |
Chapecoense-sc — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Aurelio | G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Pacheco | D | 96 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 2 | — | — |
| Eduardo Doma | D | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Rafael Thyere | D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Vinícius | D | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 18 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Camilo Reijers | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 5 | — | — |
| Bruno Matias | M | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Marcinho | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Giovanni Augusto | M | 96 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 34 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Ênio | M | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Y. Bolasie | F | 96 | 6.00 | — | — | 3 | 15 | 11% | — | — | — |
| David Antunes | M | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Everton | D | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Neto Pessoa | F | 51 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| Rubens | M | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Vinicius Balieiro | M | 51 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bahia vs Chapecoense-sc?
The final score was Bahia 2–0 Chapecoense-sc.
What did the model predict before Bahia vs Chapecoense-sc?
The model assigned 72% probability to a Bahia win, 15% to a draw, and 12% to an Chapecoense-sc win.