Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 20
July 26, 2026 21:00
David Duarte
(ast. Rodrigo)
45'+4
8'
(ast. Andre)
F. Angileri
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bahia a 51% win probability (draw 22%, Corinthians 26%). The final result was Bahia 1–1 Corinthians. In 1 previous meetings, Bahia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Corinthians.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
3
2
Shots on target
2
0.65
Actual xG
0.17
1
Saves
1
60%
Possession
40%
7
Corners
2
16
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
8'
ast. Andre ·
F. Angileri⚽
11'
16'
F. Angileri
David Duarte
19'
Ze Guilherme
28'
35'
Raniele
⚽David Duarte
· ast. Rodrigo
45'+4
Rogerio Ceni
45'+9
67'
Breno Bidon
Ademir
/ Willian Jose
69'
A. Veliz
/ Kaue Junior
69'
Ze Guilherme
/ Luciano Juba
69'
69'
P. Milans
/
F. Angileri
70'
Z. Labyad
/
Breno Bidon
77'
Allan
/
Andre
77'
M. Pereira
/
Raniele
Jean Lucas
/ Everton Ribeiro
77'
85'
A. Carrillo
/
Yuri Alberto
Erick Pulga
/ M. Sanabria
86'
89'
Kaue
90'+6
Allan
Pre-match prediction
51.27%
Bahia
22.68%
X ←
26.06%
Corinthians
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
22.68%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.78
0.65
-1.13
1.14
0.17
-0.97
Bahia dominated by xG (0.65 vs 0.17).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Ronaldo
G
Ronaldo
G
21
S. Ramos
D
S. Ramos
D
33
David Duarte
1 ⚽
D
David Duarte
1 ⚽
D
31
Roman Gomez
D
Roman Gomez
D
5
N. Acevedo
M
N. Acevedo
M
66
Zé Guilherme
69'
M
Zé Guilherme
69'
M
6
Jean Lucas
77'
M
Jean Lucas
77'
M
11
Rodrigo Nestor
1 👟
M
Rodrigo Nestor
1 👟
M
7
Ademir
69'
M
Ademir
69'
M
16
Erick Pulga
86'
F
Erick Pulga
86'
F
9
A. Véliz
69'
F
A. Véliz
69'
F
Bench
57
Çağatay Yılmaz
28'
M
Çağatay Yılmaz
28'
M
63
David Martins
M
David Martins
M
27
Everaldo
F
Everaldo
F
10
Éverton Ribeiro
20'
M
Éverton Ribeiro
20'
M
17
G. Herrera
G
G. Herrera
G
4
Kanu
D
Kanu
D
46
Luciano Juba
28'
D
Luciano Juba
28'
D
15
M. Araújo
M
M. Araújo
M
44
Marcos Victor
D
Marcos Victor
D
23
M. Sanabria
11'
F
M. Sanabria
11'
F
77
Ruan Pablo
F
Ruan Pablo
F
12
Willian José
28'
F
Willian José
28'
F
1
Hugo Souza
G
Hugo Souza
G
26
F. Angileri
1 ⚽
69'
D
F. Angileri
1 ⚽
69'
D
13
Gustavo Henrique
D
Gustavo Henrique
D
3
Gabriel Paulista
D
Gabriel Paulista
D
2
Matheuzinho
D
Matheuzinho
D
49
Andre
1 👟
77'
M
Andre
1 👟
77'
M
14
Raniele
77'
M
Raniele
77'
M
7
Breno
70'
M
Breno
70'
M
8
R. Garro
M
R. Garro
M
37
Kaio César
M
Kaio César
M
9
Yuri Alberto
85'
F
Yuri Alberto
85'
F
Bench
19
A. Carrillo
12'
M
A. Carrillo
12'
M
29
Allan
20'
M
Allan
20'
M
5
André Ramalho
D
André Ramalho
D
35
Charles
M
Charles
M
61
Dieguinho
M
Dieguinho
M
77
J. Lingard
M
J. Lingard
M
4
João Pedro
D
João Pedro
D
51
Kauê Camargo
G
Kauê Camargo
G
23
Matheus Pereira
20'
M
Matheus Pereira
20'
M
18
Pedro Raul
F
Pedro Raul
F
20
P. Milans
28'
D
P. Milans
28'
D
52
Zakaria Labyad
27'
F
Zakaria Labyad
27'
F
Best on the pitch
David Duarte
D · Bahia
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 90 pass
F. Angileri
D · Corinthians
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 21 pass
Roman Gomez
D · Bahia
7.30
· 64 pass
Gustavo Henrique
D · Corinthians
7.30
· 30 pass
P. Milans
D · Corinthians
7.00
· 7 pass
Çağatay Yılmaz
M · Bahia
6.90
· 8 pass
Bahia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronaldo | G | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | — | — | — |
| S. Ramos | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 68 | 61% | — | — | — |
| David Duarte | D | 97 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 90 | 78% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Roman Gomez | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 64 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Acevedo | M | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 66 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| Zé Guilherme | M | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jean Lucas | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Nestor | M | 97 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 5 | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Ademir | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Erick Pulga | F | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Véliz | F | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Çağatay Yılmaz | M | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Éverton Ribeiro | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Luciano Juba | D | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Sanabria | F | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Willian José | F | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Corinthians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Souza | G | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 21% | — | — | — |
| F. Angileri | D | 69 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Paulista | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 33% | 4 | — | — |
| Andre | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Raniele | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Breno | M | 70 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| R. Garro | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Kaio César | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 4 | — | — |
| Yuri Alberto | F | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Carrillo | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| Allan | M | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Milans | D | 28 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Zakaria Labyad | F | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bahia vs Corinthians?
The final score was Bahia 1–1 Corinthians.
What did the model predict before Bahia vs Corinthians?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Bahia win, 22% to a draw, and 26% to an Corinthians win.