Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 20
July 26, 2026 21:00
David Duarte
(ast. Rodrigo)
45'+4
8'
(ast. Andre)
F. Angileri
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bahia a 51% win probability (draw 22%, Corinthians 26%). The final result was Bahia 1–1 Corinthians. In 1 previous meetings, Bahia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Corinthians.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
3
2
Shots on target
2
0.65
Actual xG
0.17
1
Saves
1
60%
Possession
40%
7
Corners
2
16
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
8'
ast. Andre ·
F. Angileri⚽
11'
16'
F. Angileri
David Duarte
19'
Ze Guilherme
28'
35'
Raniele
⚽David Duarte
· ast. Rodrigo
45'+4
Rogerio Ceni
45'+9
67'
Breno Bidon
Ademir
/ Willian Jose
69'
A. Veliz
/ Kaue Junior
69'
Ze Guilherme
/ Luciano Juba
69'
69'
P. Milans
/
F. Angileri
70'
Z. Labyad
/
Breno Bidon
77'
Allan
/
Andre
77'
M. Pereira
/
Raniele
Jean Lucas
/ Everton Ribeiro
77'
85'
A. Carrillo
/
Yuri Alberto
Erick Pulga
/ M. Sanabria
86'
89'
Kaue
90'+6
Allan
Pre-match prediction
51.27%
Bahia
22.68%
X ←
26.06%
Corinthians
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
22.68%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.78
0.65
-1.13
1.14
0.17
-0.97
Bahia dominated by xG (0.65 vs 0.17).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Ronaldo
G
Ronaldo
G
21
Santiago Ramos Mingo
D
Santiago Ramos Mingo
D
33
David Duarte
1 ⚽
D
David Duarte
1 ⚽
D
31
Román Gómez
D
Román Gómez
D
5
Nicolás Acevedo
M
Nicolás Acevedo
M
66
José Guilherme
69'
M
José Guilherme
69'
M
6
Jean Lucas
77'
M
Jean Lucas
77'
M
11
Rodrigo Nestor
1 👟
M
Rodrigo Nestor
1 👟
M
7
Ademir
69'
M
Ademir
69'
M
16
Erick Pulga
86'
F
Erick Pulga
86'
F
9
Alejo Véliz
69'
F
Alejo Véliz
69'
F
Bench
63
David Martins
M
David Martins
M
27
Everaldo
F
Everaldo
F
10
Éverton Ribeiro
20'
M
Éverton Ribeiro
20'
M
17
Guido Herrera
G
Guido Herrera
G
4
Kanu
D
Kanu
D
57
Kauê Furquim
28'
M
Kauê Furquim
28'
M
46
Luciano Juba
28'
D
Luciano Juba
28'
D
44
Marcos Victor
D
Marcos Victor
D
23
Mateo Sanabria
11'
F
Mateo Sanabria
11'
F
15
Michel Araújo
M
Michel Araújo
M
77
Ruan Pablo
F
Ruan Pablo
F
12
Willian José
28'
F
Willian José
28'
F
1
Hugo Souza
G
Hugo Souza
G
26
Fabrizio Angileri
1 ⚽
69'
D
Fabrizio Angileri
1 ⚽
69'
D
13
Gustavo Henrique
D
Gustavo Henrique
D
3
Gabriel Paulista
D
Gabriel Paulista
D
2
Matheuzinho
D
Matheuzinho
D
49
André Luiz
1 👟
77'
M
André Luiz
1 👟
77'
M
14
Raniele
77'
M
Raniele
77'
M
7
Breno Bidon
70'
M
Breno Bidon
70'
M
8
Rodrigo Garro
M
Rodrigo Garro
M
37
Kaio César
M
Kaio César
M
9
Yuri Alberto
85'
F
Yuri Alberto
85'
F
Bench
29
Allan
20'
M
Allan
20'
M
19
André Carrillo
12'
M
André Carrillo
12'
M
5
André Ramalho
D
André Ramalho
D
35
Charles
M
Charles
M
61
Dieguinho
M
Dieguinho
M
77
J. Lingard
M
J. Lingard
M
4
João Pedro Tchoca
D
João Pedro Tchoca
D
51
Kauê
G
Kauê
G
23
Matheus Pereira
20'
M
Matheus Pereira
20'
M
20
Pedro Milans
28'
D
Pedro Milans
28'
D
18
Pedro Raul
F
Pedro Raul
F
52
Zakaria Labyad
27'
F
Zakaria Labyad
27'
F
Best on the pitch
David Duarte
D · Bahia
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 90 pass
Fabrizio Angileri
D · Corinthians
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 21 pass
Román Gómez
D · Bahia
7.30
· 64 pass
Gustavo Henrique
D · Corinthians
7.30
· 30 pass
Pedro Milans
D · Corinthians
7.00
· 7 pass
Éverton Ribeiro
M · Bahia
6.90
· 8 pass
Bahia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronaldo | G | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 39 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Ramos Mingo | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 68 | 61% | — | — | — |
| David Duarte | D | 97 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 90 | 78% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Román Gómez | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 64 | 62% | 2 | — | — |
| Nicolás Acevedo | M | 97 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 66 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| José Guilherme | M | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 20 | 20% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Jean Lucas | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Nestor | M | 97 | 6.60 | — | 1 | 5 | 32 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Ademir | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Erick Pulga | F | 86 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Alejo Véliz | F | 69 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Éverton Ribeiro | M | 20 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Kauê Furquim | M | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Luciano Juba | D | 28 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Sanabria | F | 11 | 6.60 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Willian José | F | 28 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Corinthians — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Souza | G | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 31 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Fabrizio Angileri | D | 69 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 21 | 17% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Paulista | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 42 | 33% | 4 | — | — |
| André Luiz | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | 1 | — | 14 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Raniele | M | 77 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Breno Bidon | M | 70 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 19 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo Garro | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Kaio César | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 4 | — | — |
| Yuri Alberto | F | 85 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 11 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Allan | M | 20 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| André Carrillo | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | 3 | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 20 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Milans | D | 28 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Zakaria Labyad | F | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bahia vs Corinthians?
The final score was Bahia 1–1 Corinthians.
What did the model predict before Bahia vs Corinthians?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Bahia win, 22% to a draw, and 26% to an Corinthians win.