← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 15 May 10, 2026 02:00
Bahia
#6 · 22 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Cruzeiro
#11 · 19 pts
Luciano Juba 27' (pen.)
41' (ast. N. Villarreal) Kaua Moraes
86' (ast. L. Romero) Kenji

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bahia a 41% win probability (draw 24%, Cruzeiro 34%). The final result was Bahia 1–2 Cruzeiro.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
17
3
Shots on target
7
1.12
Actual xG
1.52
5
Saves
2
46%
Possession
54%
6
Corners
8
18
Tackles
18
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
Joao Paulo
18'
24'
Fabricio Bruno
⚽Luciano Juba (pen.)
27'
↕ Willian Jose / Everaldo
34'
S. Ramos
35'
41'
ast. N. Villarreal · Kaua Moraes⚽
Everaldo
45'+3
↕ M. Sanabria / Ademir
46'
46'
Kenji / Matheus Pereira ↕
↕ Everton Ribeiro / Rodrigo
61'
62'
Kaio Jorge / N. Villarreal ↕
62'
Kaua Moraes
72'
Wanderson / L. Sinisterra ↕
72'
L. Villalba / Kaua Moraes ↕
↕ Jean Lucas / Michel Araujo
72'
↕ Erick Pulga / C. Olivera
72'
77'
L. Romero
78'
Lucas Silva / Gerson ↕
86'
ast. L. Romero · Kenji⚽
89'
Otavio Costa
Pre-match prediction
41.16%
Bahia
24.31%
X
34.53%
Cruzeiro ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cruzeiro) 34.53% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bahia
1.69
1.12
-0.57
Cruzeiro
1.61
1.52
-0.09
Cruzeiro dominated by xG (1.52 vs 1.12). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 15 34
2 Flamengo Flamengo 14 30
3 Fluminense Fluminense 15 27
4 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 15 24
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 15 23
6 Bahia Bahia 14 22
7 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 15 20
8 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 15 20
9 Coritiba Coritiba 15 20
10 Vitoria Vitoria 14 19
11 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 15 19
12 Botafogo Botafogo 14 18
13 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 15 18
14 Internacional Internacional 15 18
15 Santos Santos 15 18
16 Corinthians Corinthians 15 18
17 Gremio Gremio 15 17
18 Mirassol Mirassol 14 13
19 Remo Remo 15 12
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 14 9
Lineups
Bahia Bahia 4-1-4-1
22 Léo Vieira Léo Vieira G 6.20
46 Luciano Juba Luciano Juba 1 ⚽ D 6.90
21 Santiago Ramos Mingo Santiago Ramos Mingo D 6.30
33 David Duarte David Duarte D 6.30
5 Nicolás Acevedo Nicolás Acevedo D 7.20
14 Erick Erick M 6.30
23 Mateo Sanabria Mateo Sanabria 45' M 6.20
6 Jean Lucas Jean Lucas 72' M 6.30
10 Everton Ribeiro Everton Ribeiro 61' M 7.20
16 Erick Pulga Erick Pulga 72' M 6.50
12 Willian José Willian José 34' F 6.90
Bench
7 Ademir Ademir 45' F 6.90
99 Cristian Olivera Cristian Olivera 18' F 7.20
89 Dell Dell F
27 Everaldo Everaldo 56' F 6.60
3 Gabriel Xavier Gabriel Xavier D
2 Gilberto Gilberto D
25 Iago Borduchi Iago Borduchi D
34 João Paulo João Paulo G
43 Luiz Gustavo Luiz Gustavo D
15 Michel Araújo Michel Araújo 18' M 6.70
11 Rodrigo Nestor Rodrigo Nestor 29' M 6.30
31 Román Gómez Román Gómez D
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1
81 Otávio Costa Otávio Costa G 7.20
2 Kauã Moraes Kauã Moraes 1 ⚽ 72' D 8.00
34 Jonathan Jesus Jonathan Jesus D 7.30
15 Fabrício Bruno Fabrício Bruno D 6.20
23 Fagner Fagner D 6.20
8 Matheus Henrique Matheus Henrique 45' M 6.50
29 Lucas Romero Lucas Romero 1 👟 M 7.30
17 Luis Sinisterra Luis Sinisterra 72' M 6.90
10 Matheus Pereira Matheus Pereira M 6.30
11 Gerson Gerson 78' M 7.50
22 Néiser Villarreal Néiser Villarreal 1 👟 62' F 7.00
Bench
44 Bruno Alves Bruno Alves D
91 Chico da Costa Chico da Costa F
88 Christian Christian M
77 Japa Japa M
43 João Marcelo João Marcelo D
19 Kaio Jorge Kaio Jorge 28' F 6.20
70 Kaique Kenji Kaique Kenji 1 ⚽ 45' F 8.20
16 Lucas Silva Lucas Silva 12' M 6.50
25 Lucas Villalba Lucas Villalba 18' D 6.90
7 Marquinhos Marquinhos F
31 Matheus Cunha Matheus Cunha G
94 Wanderson Wanderson 18' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
Kaique Kenji
Kaique Kenji
F · Cruzeiro
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 13 pass
Kauã Moraes
Kauã Moraes
D · Cruzeiro
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 20 pass
Gerson
Gerson
M · Cruzeiro
7.50
2 shots · 47 pass
Lucas Romero
Lucas Romero
M · Cruzeiro
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 64 pass
Jonathan Jesus
Jonathan Jesus
D · Cruzeiro
7.30
· 50 pass
Nicolás Acevedo
Nicolás Acevedo
D · Bahia
7.20
· 40 pass
Bahia Bahia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Léo Vieira G 90 6.20 — — — 28 25% — — —
Luciano Juba D 90 6.90 1 — 1 41 35% — — —
Santiago Ramos Mingo D 90 6.30 — — — 41 35% 2 1 —
David Duarte D 90 6.30 — — — 49 38% 1 — —
Nicolás Acevedo D 90 7.20 — — — 40 32% 4 — —
Erick M 90 6.30 — — — 30 26% 2 — —
Mateo Sanabria M 45 6.20 — — 1 7 7% — — —
Jean Lucas M 72 6.30 — — — 20 16% 2 — —
Everton Ribeiro M 61 7.20 — — — 30 25% 3 — —
Erick Pulga M 72 6.50 — — — 15 12% 2 — —
Willian José F 34 6.90 — — — 7 6% — — —
Ademir F 45 6.90 — — 1 12 8% — — —
Cristian Olivera F 18 7.20 — — 1 6 4% — — —
Everaldo F 56 6.60 — — 1 4 3% 1 1 —
Michel Araújo M 18 6.70 — — — 10 8% 1 — —
Rodrigo Nestor M 29 6.30 — — 1 11 7% — — —
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Otávio Costa G 90 7.20 — — — 16 12% — 1 —
Kauã Moraes D 72 8.00 1 — 1 20 18% 3 1 —
Jonathan Jesus D 90 7.30 — — — 50 49% 2 — —
Fabrício Bruno D 90 6.20 — — 2 44 41% — 1 —
Fagner D 90 6.20 — — — 33 26% 1 — —
Matheus Henrique M 45 6.50 — — — 25 22% — — —
Lucas Romero M 90 7.30 — 1 1 64 54% 4 1 —
Luis Sinisterra M 72 6.90 — — 2 15 15% 1 — —
Matheus Pereira M 90 6.30 — — 4 31 27% 1 — —
Gerson M 78 7.50 — — 2 47 42% 3 — —
Néiser Villarreal F 62 7.00 — 1 1 9 7% 3 — —
Kaio Jorge F 28 6.20 — — 2 8 6% — — —
Kaique Kenji F 45 8.20 1 — 1 13 11% — — —
Lucas Silva M 12 6.50 — — — 6 5% — — —
Lucas Villalba D 18 6.90 — — 1 19 16% — — —
Wanderson F 18 6.20 — — — 11 9% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bahia vs Cruzeiro?
The final score was Bahia 1–2 Cruzeiro.
What did the model predict before Bahia vs Cruzeiro?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Bahia win, 24% to a draw, and 34% to an Cruzeiro win.