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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 15 May 10, 2026 02:00
Bahia
#5 · 46 pts
1 – 2
Final score
Cruzeiro
#6 · 45 pts
Luciano Juba 27' (pen.)
41' (ast. N. Villarreal) Kaua Moraes
86' (ast. L. Romero) Kenji
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bahia a 41% win probability (draw 24%, Cruzeiro 34%). The final result was Bahia 1–2 Cruzeiro.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
17
3
Shots on target
7
1.12
Actual xG
1.52
5
Saves
2
46%
Possession
54%
6
Corners
8
18
Tackles
18
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
Joao Paulo
18'
24'
Fabricio Bruno
⚽Luciano Juba (pen.)
27'
↕ Willian Jose / Everaldo
34'
S. Ramos
35'
41'
ast. N. Villarreal · Kaua Moraes⚽
Everaldo
45'+3
↕ M. Sanabria / Ademir
46'
46'
Kenji / Matheus Pereira ↕
↕ Everton Ribeiro / Rodrigo
61'
62'
Kaio Jorge / N. Villarreal ↕
62'
Kaua Moraes
72'
Wanderson / L. Sinisterra ↕
72'
L. Villalba / Kaua Moraes ↕
↕ Jean Lucas / Michel Araujo
72'
↕ Erick Pulga / C. Olivera
72'
77'
L. Romero
78'
Lucas Silva / Gerson ↕
86'
ast. L. Romero · Kenji⚽
89'
Otavio Costa
Pre-match prediction
41.16%
Bahia
24.31%
X
34.53%
Cruzeiro ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cruzeiro) 34.53% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bahia
1.69
1.12
-0.57
Cruzeiro
1.61
1.52
-0.09
Cruzeiro dominated by xG (1.52 vs 1.12). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 28 60
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 28 57
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense Fluminense 28 48
5 Bahia Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 28 45
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 27 40
8 Santos Santos 27 38
9 Coritiba Coritiba 28 38
10 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 27 36
12 Botafogo Botafogo 28 35
13 Vitoria Vitoria 28 33
14 Corinthians Corinthians 28 32
15 Mirassol Mirassol 28 32
16 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 27 31
17 Gremio Gremio 28 29
18 Internacional Internacional 28 28
19 Remo Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 27 18
Lineups
Bahia Bahia 4-1-4-1
22 Léo Vieira Léo Vieira G 6.20
46 Luciano Juba Luciano Juba 1 ⚽ D 6.90
21 S. Ramos S. Ramos D 6.30
33 David Duarte David Duarte D 6.30
5 N. Acevedo N. Acevedo D 7.20
14 Erick Erick M 6.30
23 M. Sanabria M. Sanabria 45' M 6.20
6 Jean Lucas Jean Lucas 72' M 6.30
10 Éverton Ribeiro Éverton Ribeiro 61' M 7.20
16 Erick Pulga Erick Pulga 72' M 6.50
12 Willian José Willian José 34' F 6.90
Bench
7 Ademir Ademir 45' F 6.90
99 C. Olivera C. Olivera 18' F 7.20
89 Dell Dell F
27 Everaldo Everaldo 56' F 6.60
3 Gabriel Xavier Gabriel Xavier D
2 Gilberto Gilberto D
25 Iago Iago D
34 João Paulo João Paulo G
43 Luiz Gustavo Luiz Gustavo D
15 M. Araújo M. Araújo 18' M 6.70
11 Rodrigo Nestor Rodrigo Nestor 29' M 6.30
31 Roman Gomez Roman Gomez D
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1
81 Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa G 7.20
2 Kauã Moraes Kauã Moraes 1 ⚽ 72' D 8.00
34 Jonathan Jonathan D 7.30
15 Fabrício Bruno Fabrício Bruno D 6.20
23 Fágner Fágner D 6.20
8 Matheus Henrique Matheus Henrique 45' M 6.50
29 L. Romero L. Romero 1 👟 M 7.30
17 Luis Sinisterra Luis Sinisterra 72' M 6.90
10 Matheus Pereira Matheus Pereira M 6.30
11 Gerson Gerson 78' M 7.50
22 Néiser Villarreal Néiser Villarreal 1 👟 62' F 7.00
Bench
44 Bruno Alves Bruno Alves D
88 Christian Christian M
91 Francisco da Costa Francisco da Costa F
77 Japa Japa M
43 João Marcelo João Marcelo D
19 Kaio Jorge Kaio Jorge 28' F 6.20
70 Kenji Kenji 1 ⚽ 45' F 8.20
16 Lucas Silva Lucas Silva 12' M 6.50
25 L. Villalba L. Villalba 18' D 6.90
7 Marquinhos Marquinhos F
31 Matheus Cunha Matheus Cunha G
94 Wanderson Wanderson 18' F 6.20
Best on the pitch
Kenji
Kenji
F · Cruzeiro
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 13 pass
Kauã Moraes
Kauã Moraes
D · Cruzeiro
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots · 20 pass
Gerson
Gerson
M · Cruzeiro
7.50
2 shots · 47 pass
L. Romero
L. Romero
M · Cruzeiro
7.30
1 👟
1 shots · 64 pass
Jonathan
Jonathan
D · Cruzeiro
7.30
· 50 pass
N. Acevedo
N. Acevedo
D · Bahia
7.20
· 40 pass
Bahia Bahia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Léo Vieira G 90 6.20 — — — 28 25% — — —
Luciano Juba D 90 6.90 1 — 1 41 35% — — —
S. Ramos D 90 6.30 — — — 41 35% 2 1 —
David Duarte D 90 6.30 — — — 49 38% 1 — —
N. Acevedo D 90 7.20 — — — 40 32% 4 — —
Erick M 90 6.30 — — — 30 26% 2 — —
M. Sanabria M 45 6.20 — — 1 7 7% — — —
Jean Lucas M 72 6.30 — — — 20 16% 2 — —
Éverton Ribeiro M 61 7.20 — — — 30 25% 3 — —
Erick Pulga M 72 6.50 — — — 15 12% 2 — —
Willian José F 34 6.90 — — — 7 6% — — —
Ademir F 45 6.90 — — 1 12 8% — — —
C. Olivera F 18 7.20 — — 1 6 4% — — —
Everaldo F 56 6.60 — — 1 4 3% 1 1 —
M. Araújo M 18 6.70 — — — 10 8% 1 — —
Rodrigo Nestor M 29 6.30 — — 1 11 7% — — —
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa G 90 7.20 — — — 16 12% — 1 —
Kauã Moraes D 72 8.00 1 — 1 20 18% 3 1 —
Jonathan D 90 7.30 — — — 50 49% 2 — —
Fabrício Bruno D 90 6.20 — — 2 44 41% — 1 —
Fágner D 90 6.20 — — — 33 26% 1 — —
Matheus Henrique M 45 6.50 — — — 25 22% — — —
L. Romero M 90 7.30 — 1 1 64 54% 4 1 —
Luis Sinisterra M 72 6.90 — — 2 15 15% 1 — —
Matheus Pereira M 90 6.30 — — 4 31 27% 1 — —
Gerson M 78 7.50 — — 2 47 42% 3 — —
Néiser Villarreal F 62 7.00 — 1 1 9 7% 3 — —
Kaio Jorge F 28 6.20 — — 2 8 6% — — —
Kenji F 45 8.20 1 — 1 13 11% — — —
Lucas Silva M 12 6.50 — — — 6 5% — — —
L. Villalba D 18 6.90 — — 1 19 16% — — —
Wanderson F 18 6.20 — — — 11 9% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bahia vs Cruzeiro?
The final score was Bahia 1–2 Cruzeiro.
What did the model predict before Bahia vs Cruzeiro?
The model assigned 41% probability to a Bahia win, 24% to a draw, and 34% to an Cruzeiro win.