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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 31 October 18, 2026 23:30 Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador
Bahia
#6 · 53 pts
0 – 3
Final score
Flamengo
#1 · 73 pts
(pen.) 64' Jorginho
73' (ast. Samuel Lino) Gonzalo Plata
78' (ast. Guillermo Varela) Lucas Paquetá
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bahia a 40% win probability (draw 20%, Flamengo 38%). The final result was Bahia 0–3 Flamengo. In 1 previous meetings, Bahia have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Flamengo.

Match statistics
9
Total shots
21
3
Shots on target
15
0.59
Actual xG
2.76
11
Saves
3
36%
Possession
64%
4
Corners
14
15
Tackles
12
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
3'
Erick Pulgar
Cristian Olivera
41'
48'
Léo Pereira
Jean Lucas
51'
64'
(pen.) Jorginho⚽
↕ Nicolas Acevedo / Caio Alexandre
65'
↕ Marcos Victor / Román Gómez
65'
↕ Cristian Olivera / Ademir
65'
68'
Lucas Paquetá / Jorge Carrascal ↕
73'
ast. Samuel Lino · Gonzalo Plata⚽
↕ Rodrigo Nestor / Éverton Ribeiro
75'
↕ erick pulga / Mateo Naín Sanabria
75'
75'
Joaquín Freitas / Samuel Lino ↕
76'
Bruno Henrique / Pedro ↕
78'
ast. Guillermo Varela · Lucas Paquetá⚽
83'
Vitão / Léo Ortiz ↕
83'
Nicolas De la Cruz / Erick Pulgar ↕
Marco Moreno
86'
Román Gómez
89'
Pre-match prediction
40.78%
Bahia
20.5%
X
38.72%
Flamengo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Flamengo) 38.72% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Bahia
2.43
0.59
-1.84
Flamengo
2.22
2.76
+0.53
Flamengo dominated by xG (2.76 vs 0.59). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 33 73
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 33 70
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 33 57
4 Fluminense Fluminense 33 54
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 33 54
6 Bahia Bahia 33 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 33 50
8 Santos Santos 33 47
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 33 44
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 33 43
11 Botafogo Botafogo 33 39
12 Coritiba Coritiba 32 39
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 32 38
14 Vitoria Vitoria 32 38
15 Gremio Gremio 33 37
16 Mirassol Mirassol 32 37
17 Internacional Internacional 33 35
18 Corinthians Corinthians 32 33
19 Remo Remo 33 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 32 21
Lineups
Bahia Bahia 5-3-2
1 Ronaldo Ronaldo G 8.02
46 Luciano Juba Luciano Juba D 6.07
3 Marco Moreno Marco Moreno D 5.87
33 David Duarte David Duarte D 6.16
44 Marcos Victor Marcos Victor 65' D 5.93
99 C. Olivera C. Olivera 65' D 5.70
11 Rodrigo Nestor Rodrigo Nestor 75' M 5.43
5 N. Acevedo N. Acevedo 65' M 5.42
6 Jean Lucas Jean Lucas M 5.78
9 A. Véliz A. Véliz F 6.43
16 Erick Pulga Erick Pulga 75' F 6.33
Bench
7 Ademir Ademir 25' F 6.72
8 Caio Alexandre Caio Alexandre 25' M 6.62
14 Erick Erick M 0.00
27 Everaldo Everaldo F 0.00
10 Éverton Ribeiro Éverton Ribeiro 15' M 5.46
17 G. Herrera G. Herrera G 0.00
4 Kanu Kanu D 0.00
15 M. Araújo M. Araújo M 0.00
23 M. Sanabria M. Sanabria 15' F 6.27
31 Roman Gomez Roman Gomez 25' D 5.80
12 Willian José Willian José F 0.00
66 Zé Guilherme Zé Guilherme D 0.00
Flamengo Flamengo 4-2-3-1
1 Agustín Rossi Agustín Rossi G 7.21
22 Emerson Royal Emerson Royal D 6.22
4 Léo Pereira Léo Pereira D 6.85
3 Léo Ortiz Léo Ortiz 83' D 7.14
2 Guillermo Varela Guillermo Varela 1 👟 D 6.88
5 Erick Pulgar Erick Pulgar 83' M 6.61
21 Jorginho Jorginho 1 ⚽ M 7.80
16 Samuel Lino Samuel Lino 1 👟 75' M 7.70
15 J. Carrascal J. Carrascal 68' M 7.20
19 Gonzalo Plata Gonzalo Plata 1 ⚽ M 8.20
9 Pedro Guilherme Pedro Guilherme 76' F 6.26
Bench
26 Alex Sandro Alex Sandro D 0.00
42 Andrew Andrew G 0.00
14 A. Valencia A. Valencia F 0.00
27 Bruno Henrique Bruno Henrique 14' F 6.49
49 Dyogo Alves Dyogo Alves G 0.00
61 João Victor João Victor D 0.00
30 Joaquín Freitas Joaquín Freitas 15' F 7.02
77 Johnny Goes Johnny Goes D 0.00
11 Lucas Paquetá Lucas Paquetá 1 ⚽ 22' M 7.76
7 Luiz Araújo Luiz Araújo F 0.00
18 N. de la Cruz N. de la Cruz 7' M 6.60
44 Vitão Vitão 7' D 6.50
Best on the pitch
Gonzalo Plata
Gonzalo Plata
M · Flamengo
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots · 30 pass
Ronaldo
Ronaldo
G · Bahia
8.02
· 29 pass
Jorginho
Jorginho
M · Flamengo
7.80
1 ⚽
1 shots · 72 pass
Lucas Paquetá
Lucas Paquetá
M · Flamengo
7.76
1 ⚽
2 shots · 14 pass
Samuel Lino
Samuel Lino
M · Flamengo
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 45 pass
Agustín Rossi
Agustín Rossi
G · Flamengo
7.21
· 17 pass
Bahia Bahia — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Ronaldo G 90 8.02 — — 0 29 23% 0 — —
Luciano Juba D 90 6.07 — — 2 35 26% 3 — —
Marco Moreno D 90 5.87 — — 0 45 41% 1 1 —
David Duarte D 90 6.16 — — 0 37 33% 0 — —
Marcos Victor D 65 5.93 — — 0 21 17% 2 — —
C. Olivera D 65 5.70 — — 1 17 12% 3 1 —
Rodrigo Nestor M 75 5.43 — — 1 21 12% 1 — —
N. Acevedo M 65 5.42 — — 1 30 20% 0 — —
Jean Lucas M 90 5.78 — — 0 20 16% 2 1 —
A. Véliz F 90 6.43 — — 1 13 11% 1 — —
Erick Pulga F 75 6.33 — — 1 9 7% 1 — —
Ademir F 25 6.72 — — 1 10 8% 0 — —
Caio Alexandre M 25 6.62 — — 1 28 26% 0 — —
Éverton Ribeiro M 15 5.46 — — 0 7 7% 0 — —
M. Sanabria F 15 6.27 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
Roman Gomez D 25 5.80 — — 0 17 15% 1 1 —
Flamengo Flamengo — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Agustín Rossi G 90 7.21 — — 0 17 15% 0 — —
Emerson Royal D 90 6.22 — — 0 58 46% 1 — —
Léo Pereira D 90 6.85 — — 1 89 83% 1 1 —
Léo Ortiz D 83 7.14 — — 1 67 62% 2 — —
Guillermo Varela D 90 6.88 — 1 0 45 36% 0 — —
Erick Pulgar M 83 6.61 — — 2 65 61% 1 1 —
Jorginho M 90 7.80 1 — 1 72 68% 2 — —
Samuel Lino M 75 7.70 — 1 1 45 40% 0 — —
J. Carrascal M 68 7.20 — — 5 28 23% 1 — —
Gonzalo Plata M 90 8.20 1 — 3 30 27% 3 — —
Pedro Guilherme F 76 6.26 — — 4 8 5% 0 — —
Bruno Henrique F 14 6.49 — — 0 7 6% 0 — —
Joaquín Freitas F 15 7.02 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
Lucas Paquetá M 22 7.76 1 — 2 14 14% 0 — —
N. de la Cruz M 7 6.60 — — 1 18 17% 1 — —
Vitão D 7 6.50 — — 0 6 6% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bahia vs Flamengo?
The final score was Bahia 0–3 Flamengo.
What did the model predict before Bahia vs Flamengo?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Bahia win, 20% to a draw, and 38% to an Flamengo win.