Bahia 3–2 Internacional — pre-match prediction — Brasileirão Série A — August 31, 2026

← Brasileirão Série A

Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 25 August 31, 2026 00:30

Bahia

#6 · 53 pts

3 – 2

Final score

Internacional

#17 · 35 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Bahia

Erick Pulga (ast. Nicolas Acevedo) 23'

Erick Pulga (ast. A. Veliz) 42'

Erick 45'+4

16' (ast. Thiago Maia) Alan Patrick

52' (ast. Alan Patrick) Vitinho

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bahia a 67% win probability (draw 20%, Internacional 11%). The final result was Bahia 3–2 Internacional. In 1 previous meetings, Bahia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Internacional.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

1.75

Actual xG

0.29

Saves

66%

Possession

34%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

16'

ast. Thiago Maia · Alan Patrick⚽

19'

P. Pezzolano

⚽Erick Pulga · ast. Nicolas Acevedo

23'

39'

A. Bernabei

C. Olivera

39'

⚽Erick Pulga · ast. A. Veliz

42'

⚽Erick

45'+4

52'

ast. Alan Patrick · Vitinho⚽

54'

G. Maripan

↕ C. Olivera / Ademir

56'

↕ Erick / Michel Araujo

56'

64'

A. Sanabria / A. Bernabei ↕

64'

Calebe / Thiago Maia ↕

R. Gomez

66'

Michel Araujo

72'

↕ R. Gomez / Marcos Victor

76'

J. Carbonero / Alan Patrick ↕

76'

Juninho / Matheus Bahia ↕

↕ Erick Pulga / Ruan Pablo

84'

↕ Rodrigo / Caio Alexandre

84'

87'

N. Eliasson / Vitinho ↕

David Duarte

90'+1

Pre-match prediction

67.16%

Bahia ←

20.89%

11.95%

Internacional

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Bahia) 67.16% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Bahia

1.80

1.75

-0.05

Internacional

0.48

0.29

-0.19

Bahia dominated by xG (1.75 vs 0.29). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Flamengo	33	73
2	Palmeiras	33	70
3	Cruzeiro	33	57
4	Fluminense	33	54
5	Atletico Paranaense	33	54
6	Bahia	33	53
7	Atletico-MG	33	50
8	Santos	33	47
9	RB Bragantino	33	44
10	Sao Paulo	33	43
11	Botafogo	33	39
12	Coritiba	32	39
13	Vasco DA Gama	32	38
14	Vitoria	32	38
15	Gremio	33	37
16	Mirassol	32	37
17	Internacional	33	35
18	Corinthians	32	33
19	Remo	33	29
20	Chapecoense-sc	32	21

Lineups

Bahia 4-3-3

Ronaldo 50' G 6.30

Luciano Juba 50' D 6.90

S. Ramos 50' D 6.30

David Duarte 50' D 6.70

Roman Gomez 50' D 6.20

Rodrigo Nestor 50' M 6.90

N. Acevedo 1 👟 50' M 6.90

Erick 1 ⚽ 50' M 6.90

Erick Pulga 2 ⚽ 50' F 8.90

A. Véliz 1 👟 50' F 6.90

C. Olivera 50' F 7.20

Bench

Ademir F

Çağatay Yılmaz M

Caio Alexandre M

Everaldo F

G. Herrera G

Kanu D

M. Araújo M

Marco Moreno D

Marcos Victor D

Ruan Pablo F

Willian José F

Zé Guilherme D

Internacional 5-3-2

Matheus Cunha 50' G 5.90

A. Bernabéi 50' D 5.60

Matheus Bahia 50' D 6.30

G. Maripán 50' D 6.20

F. Torres 50' D 6.20

B. Aguirre 50' D 5.60

Thiago Maia 1 👟 50' M 6.50

Ronaldo 50' M 6.30

Bruno Henrique 50' M 6.20

Alan Patrick 1 ⚽ 1 👟 50' F 7.90

Vitinho 1 ⚽ 50' F 6.20

Bench

Alerrandro F

Anthoni G

A. Sanabria F

Calebe M

Gabriel Vinicius M

J. Carbonero F

Juninho D

Luiz Felipe D

N. Eliasson M

Pedro Kauã D

R. Villagra M

Victor Joao F

Best on the pitch

Erick Pulga

F · Bahia

8.90

2 ⚽

3 shots · 7 pass

Alan Patrick

F · Internacional

7.90

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 12 pass

C. Olivera

F · Bahia

7.20

1 shots · 15 pass

Luciano Juba

D · Bahia

6.90

· 43 pass

Rodrigo Nestor

M · Bahia

6.90

· 32 pass

N. Acevedo

M · Bahia

6.90

1 👟

· 37 pass

Bahia — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Ronaldo	G	50	6.30	—	—	—	19	16%	1	—	—
Luciano Juba	D	50	6.90	—	—	—	43	37%	1	—	—
S. Ramos	D	50	6.30	—	—	—	40	36%	—	—	—
David Duarte	D	50	6.70	—	—	1	55	53%	—	—	—
Roman Gomez	D	50	6.20	—	—	—	44	39%	1	—	—
Rodrigo Nestor	M	50	6.90	—	—	—	32	29%	—	—	—
N. Acevedo	M	50	6.90	—	1	—	37	30%	2	—	—
Erick	M	50	6.90	1	—	1	13	12%	—	—	—
Erick Pulga	F	50	8.90	2	—	3	7	7%	1	—	—
A. Véliz	F	50	6.90	—	1	—	7	4%	—	—	—
C. Olivera	F	50	7.20	—	—	1	15	12%	—	1	—

Internacional — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Matheus Cunha	G	50	5.90	—	—	—	11	3%	—	—	—
A. Bernabéi	D	50	5.60	—	—	1	16	10%	1	1	—
Matheus Bahia	D	50	6.30	—	—	—	24	23%	3	—	—
G. Maripán	D	50	6.20	—	—	1	20	18%	—	—	—
F. Torres	D	50	6.20	—	—	1	18	16%	1	—	—
B. Aguirre	D	50	5.60	—	—	—	9	5%	—	—	—
Thiago Maia	M	50	6.50	—	1	—	16	12%	—	—	—
Ronaldo	M	50	6.30	—	—	—	14	14%	2	—	—
Bruno Henrique	M	50	6.20	—	—	—	21	17%	—	—	—
Alan Patrick	F	50	7.90	1	1	1	12	12%	1	—	—
Vitinho	F	50	6.20	1	—	1	6	3%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Bahia vs Internacional?

The final score was Bahia 3–2 Internacional.

What did the model predict before Bahia vs Internacional?

The model assigned 67% probability to a Bahia win, 20% to a draw, and 11% to an Internacional win.