Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 25
August 31, 2026 00:30
✓Model correct — prediction Bahia
Erick Pulga
(ast. Nicolas Acevedo)
23'
Erick Pulga
(ast. A. Veliz)
42'
Erick
45'+4
16'
(ast. Thiago Maia)
Alan Patrick
52'
(ast. Alan Patrick)
Vitinho
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bahia a 67% win probability (draw 20%, Internacional 11%). The final result was Bahia 3–2 Internacional. In 1 previous meetings, Bahia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Internacional.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
2
1.75
Actual xG
0.29
1
Saves
2
66%
Possession
34%
1
Corners
2
6
Tackles
8
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
16'
ast. Thiago Maia ·
Alan Patrick⚽
19'
P. Pezzolano
⚽Erick Pulga
· ast. Nicolas Acevedo
23'
39'
A. Bernabei
C. Olivera
39'
⚽Erick Pulga
· ast. A. Veliz
42'
⚽Erick
45'+4
52'
ast. Alan Patrick ·
Vitinho⚽
54'
G. Maripan
C. Olivera
/ Ademir
56'
Erick
/ Michel Araujo
56'
64'
A. Sanabria
/
A. Bernabei
64'
Calebe
/
Thiago Maia
R. Gomez
66'
Michel Araujo
72'
R. Gomez
/ Marcos Victor
76'
76'
J. Carbonero
/
Alan Patrick
76'
Juninho
/
Matheus Bahia
Erick Pulga
/ Ruan Pablo
84'
Rodrigo
/ Caio Alexandre
84'
87'
N. Eliasson
/
Vitinho
David Duarte
90'+1
Pre-match prediction
67.16%
Bahia ←
20.89%
X
11.95%
Internacional
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Bahia)
67.16%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.80
1.75
-0.05
0.48
0.29
-0.19
Bahia dominated by xG (1.75 vs 0.29).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
Ronaldo
50'
G
Ronaldo
50'
G
46
Luciano Juba
50'
D
Luciano Juba
50'
D
21
S. Ramos
50'
D
S. Ramos
50'
D
33
David Duarte
50'
D
David Duarte
50'
D
31
Roman Gomez
50'
D
Roman Gomez
50'
D
11
Rodrigo Nestor
50'
M
Rodrigo Nestor
50'
M
5
N. Acevedo
1 👟
50'
M
N. Acevedo
1 👟
50'
M
14
Erick
1 ⚽
50'
M
Erick
1 ⚽
50'
M
16
Erick Pulga
2 ⚽
50'
F
Erick Pulga
2 ⚽
50'
F
9
A. Véliz
1 👟
50'
F
A. Véliz
1 👟
50'
F
99
C. Olivera
50'
F
C. Olivera
50'
F
Bench
7
Ademir
F
Ademir
F
57
Çağatay Yılmaz
M
Çağatay Yılmaz
M
8
Caio Alexandre
M
Caio Alexandre
M
27
Everaldo
F
Everaldo
F
17
G. Herrera
G
G. Herrera
G
4
Kanu
D
Kanu
D
15
M. Araújo
M
M. Araújo
M
3
Marco Moreno
D
Marco Moreno
D
44
Marcos Victor
D
Marcos Victor
D
77
Ruan Pablo
F
Ruan Pablo
F
12
Willian José
F
Willian José
F
66
Zé Guilherme
D
Zé Guilherme
D
23
Matheus Cunha
50'
G
Matheus Cunha
50'
G
26
A. Bernabéi
50'
D
A. Bernabéi
50'
D
6
Matheus Bahia
50'
D
Matheus Bahia
50'
D
3
G. Maripán
50'
D
G. Maripán
50'
D
4
F. Torres
50'
D
F. Torres
50'
D
35
B. Aguirre
50'
D
B. Aguirre
50'
D
29
Thiago Maia
1 👟
50'
M
Thiago Maia
1 👟
50'
M
16
Ronaldo
50'
M
Ronaldo
50'
M
8
Bruno Henrique
50'
M
Bruno Henrique
50'
M
10
Alan Patrick
1 ⚽
1 👟
50'
F
Alan Patrick
1 ⚽
1 👟
50'
F
28
Vitinho
1 ⚽
50'
F
Vitinho
1 ⚽
50'
F
Bench
9
Alerrandro
F
Alerrandro
F
12
Anthoni
G
Anthoni
G
19
A. Sanabria
F
A. Sanabria
F
30
Calebe
M
Calebe
M
52
Gabriel Vinicius
M
Gabriel Vinicius
M
7
J. Carbonero
F
J. Carbonero
F
18
Juninho
D
Juninho
D
53
Luiz Felipe
D
Luiz Felipe
D
17
N. Eliasson
M
N. Eliasson
M
46
Pedro Kauã
D
Pedro Kauã
D
5
R. Villagra
M
R. Villagra
M
44
Victor Joao
F
Victor Joao
F
Best on the pitch
Erick Pulga
F · Bahia
8.90
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 7 pass
Alan Patrick
F · Internacional
7.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 12 pass
C. Olivera
F · Bahia
7.20
1 shots
· 15 pass
Luciano Juba
D · Bahia
6.90
· 43 pass
Rodrigo Nestor
M · Bahia
6.90
· 32 pass
N. Acevedo
M · Bahia
6.90
1 👟
· 37 pass
Bahia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronaldo | G | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Luciano Juba | D | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Ramos | D | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | — | — | — |
| David Duarte | D | 50 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 53% | — | — | — |
| Roman Gomez | D | 50 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Nestor | M | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 29% | — | — | — |
| N. Acevedo | M | 50 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 37 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Erick | M | 50 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Erick Pulga | F | 50 | 8.90 | 2 | — | 3 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Véliz | F | 50 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| C. Olivera | F | 50 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 15 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
Internacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Cunha | G | 50 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 3% | — | — | — |
| A. Bernabéi | D | 50 | 5.60 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Matheus Bahia | D | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| G. Maripán | D | 50 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| F. Torres | D | 50 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Aguirre | D | 50 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Thiago Maia | M | 50 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 16 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Ronaldo | M | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Bruno Henrique | M | 50 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Alan Patrick | F | 50 | 7.90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Vitinho | F | 50 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bahia vs Internacional?
The final score was Bahia 3–2 Internacional.
What did the model predict before Bahia vs Internacional?
The model assigned 67% probability to a Bahia win, 20% to a draw, and 11% to an Internacional win.