Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 7
March 18, 2026 23:00
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bahia a 40% win probability (draw 32%, RB Bragantino 27%). The final result was Bahia 2–0 RB Bragantino.
Match statistics
9
Shots on target
3
1.98
Actual xG
1.48
57%
Possession
43%
7
Corners
7
Pre-match prediction
40.09%
Bahia ←
32.75%
X
27.16%
RB
we assigned to the actual result (Bahia)
40.09%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.18
1.98
+0.8
0.41
1.48
+1.07
Bahia dominated by xG (1.98 vs 1.48).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bahia vs RB Bragantino?
The final score was Bahia 2–0 RB Bragantino.
What did the model predict before Bahia vs RB Bragantino?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Bahia win, 32% to a draw, and 27% to an RB Bragantino win.