Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 13
April 26, 2026 01:30
Luciano Juba
76'
Willian Jose
(ast. Erick Pulga)
83'
(pen.)
22'
B. Rollheiser
(pen.)
45'
B. Rollheiser
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bahia a 54% win probability (draw 24%, Santos 21%). The final result was Bahia 2–2 Santos.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
5
1.20
Actual xG
2.13
3
Saves
3
64%
Possession
36%
5
Corners
3
19
Tackles
15
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
Erick Pulga
20'
20'
22'
(pen.)
B. Rollheiser⚽
45'+2
45'
(pen.)
B. Rollheiser⚽
Michel Araujo
/ Everton Ribeiro
46'
Gabriel Xavier
/ Gilberto
46'
53'
Diogenes
Santiago Ramos Mingo
59'
65'
L. Diaz
/
Thaciano
65'
Miguelito
/
B. Rollheiser
72'
Miguelito
Caio Alexandre
/ Erick
72'
C. Olivera
/ Everaldo
73'
⚽Luciano Juba
76'
80'
T. Rincon
/
Gabriel Bontempo
80'
Moises
/
Rony
82'
Mayke
⚽Willian Jose
· ast. Erick Pulga
83'
89'
Gonzalo Escobar
89'
Luan Peres
/
Joao Schmidt
Erick Pulga
/ Ademir
90'+2
Everton Ribeiro
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
54.12%
Bahia
24.8%
X ←
21.09%
Santos
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.8%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.92
1.20
-0.73
0.81
2.13
+1.32
Santos dominated by xG (2.13 vs 1.20).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
G
46
Luciano Juba
1 ⚽
D
Luciano Juba
1 ⚽
D
21
Santiago Ramos Mingo
D
Santiago Ramos Mingo
D
3
Gabriel Xavier
45'
D
Gabriel Xavier
45'
D
5
N. Acevedo
D
N. Acevedo
D
6
Jean Lucas
M
Jean Lucas
M
8
Caio Alexandre
72'
M
Caio Alexandre
72'
M
15
Michel Araújo
45'
M
Michel Araújo
45'
M
16
Erick Pulga
1 👟
89'
F
Erick Pulga
1 👟
89'
F
12
Willian José
1 ⚽
F
Willian José
1 ⚽
F
99
Cristian Olivera
73'
F
Cristian Olivera
73'
F
Bench
14
Erick
18'
M
Erick
18'
M
27
Everaldo
17'
F
Everaldo
17'
F
10
Éverton Ribeiro
45'
M
Éverton Ribeiro
45'
M
2
Gilberto
45'
D
Gilberto
45'
D
23
Mateo Sanabria
F
Mateo Sanabria
F
1
Diogenes
G
Diogenes
G
31
Gonzalo Escobar
D
Gonzalo Escobar
D
26
D
4
Lucas Veríssimo
D
Lucas Veríssimo
D
12
Mayke
D
Mayke
D
28
Christian Oliva
M
Christian Oliva
M
5
João Schmidt
89'
M
João Schmidt
89'
M
16
Thaciano
65'
M
32
Benjamín Rollheiser
2 ⚽
65'
M
Benjamín Rollheiser
2 ⚽
65'
M
49
Gabriel Bontempo
80'
M
Gabriel Bontempo
80'
M
11
Rony
80'
F
Rony
80'
F
Bench
22
Á. Barreal
M
Á. Barreal
M
19
Lautaro Díaz
25'
F
Lautaro Díaz
25'
F
14
Luan Peres
10'
D
Luan Peres
10'
D
21
Moisés
10'
F
Moisés
10'
F
30
M. Terceros
25'
M
M. Terceros
25'
M
38
Rafael Gonzaga
D
Rafael Gonzaga
D
Best on the pitch
Luciano Juba
D · Bahia
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 39 pass
Willian José
F · Bahia
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 22 pass
Éverton Ribeiro
M · Bahia
7.50
· 25 pass
Benjamín Rollheiser
M · Santos
7.30
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 27 pass
D · Santos
7.30
· 20 pass
Caio Alexandre
M · Bahia
7.30
1 shots
· 63 pass
Bahia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Luciano Juba | D | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 39 | 33% | 2 | — | — |
| Santiago Ramos Mingo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 41% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Xavier | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 54 | 51% | — | — | — |
| N. Acevedo | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 95 | 83% | 3 | — | — |
| Jean Lucas | M | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Caio Alexandre | M | 72 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 63 | 56% | 3 | — | — |
| Michel Araújo | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | 5 | — | — |
| Erick Pulga | F | 89 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Willian José | F | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 22 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Cristian Olivera | F | 73 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 38 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Erick | M | 18 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Everaldo | F | 17 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — |
| Éverton Ribeiro | M | 45 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gilberto | D | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 34% | — | — | — |
Santos — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diogenes | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 21 | 7% | — | 1 | — |
| Gonzalo Escobar | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | 2 | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 17% | 4 | — | — | |
| Lucas Veríssimo | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Mayke | D | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 33 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| Christian Oliva | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 18% | 3 | — | — |
| João Schmidt | M | 89 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 31 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Thaciano | M | 65 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Benjamín Rollheiser | M | 65 | 7.30 | 2 | — | 2 | 27 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Bontempo | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | — | — | — |
| Rony | F | 80 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Díaz | F | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Luan Peres | D | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Moisés | F | 10 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Terceros | M | 25 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bahia vs Santos?
The final score was Bahia 2–2 Santos.
What did the model predict before Bahia vs Santos?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Bahia win, 24% to a draw, and 21% to an Santos win.