Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 22
August 09, 2026 21:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Bahia, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Bahia a 53% win probability (draw 26%, Vasco DA Gama 20%). The final result was Bahia 0–0 Vasco DA Gama. In 1 previous meetings, Bahia have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Vasco DA Gama.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
7
2
Shots on target
3
0.53
Actual xG
0.65
3
Saves
2
51%
Possession
49%
4
Corners
6
11
Tackles
27
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
21'
31'
Cuiabano
37'
Thiago Mendes
Ademir
/ Kaue Junior
43'
46'
M. Hinestroza
/
Brenner
46'
A. Saldivia
/
C. Cuesta
Luciano Juba
/ Ze Guilherme
46'
Jean Lucas
/ Caio Alexandre
64'
Willian Jose
/ Michel Araujo
64'
72'
C. Spinelli
/
Adson
74'
Ramon Rique
/
David
Ademir
76'
86'
Cauan Barros
/
Jair
Rodrigo
/ M. Sanabria
86'
90'
Pre-match prediction
53.65%
Bahia
26.09%
X ←
20.26%
Vasco
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
26.09%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.44
0.53
-0.91
0.71
0.65
-0.06
xG dominance was balanced (0.53 – 0.65).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Ronaldo
G
Ronaldo
G
46
Luciano Juba
45'
D
Luciano Juba
45'
D
21
S. Ramos
D
S. Ramos
D
33
David Duarte
D
David Duarte
D
31
Roman Gomez
D
Roman Gomez
D
11
Rodrigo Nestor
86'
M
Rodrigo Nestor
86'
M
6
Jean Lucas
64'
M
Jean Lucas
64'
M
5
N. Acevedo
M
N. Acevedo
M
7
Ademir
43'
M
Ademir
43'
M
9
A. Véliz
F
A. Véliz
F
12
Willian José
64'
F
Willian José
64'
F
Bench
57
Çağatay Yılmaz
47'
M
Çağatay Yılmaz
47'
M
8
Caio Alexandre
26'
M
Caio Alexandre
26'
M
99
C. Olivera
F
C. Olivera
F
63
David Martins
M
David Martins
M
27
Everaldo
F
Everaldo
F
17
G. Herrera
G
G. Herrera
G
4
Kanu
D
Kanu
D
15
M. Araújo
26'
M
M. Araújo
26'
M
3
Marco Moreno
D
Marco Moreno
D
44
Marcos Victor
D
Marcos Victor
D
23
M. Sanabria
12'
F
M. Sanabria
12'
F
66
Zé Guilherme
45'
D
Zé Guilherme
45'
D
1
Léo Jardim
G
Léo Jardim
G
66
Cuiabano
D
Cuiabano
D
30
Robert Renan
D
Robert Renan
D
46
C. Cuesta
45'
D
C. Cuesta
45'
D
96
Paulo Henrique
D
Paulo Henrique
D
8
Jair
86'
M
Jair
86'
M
3
Tchê Tchê
M
Tchê Tchê
M
7
David
74'
M
David
74'
M
23
Thiago Mendes
M
Thiago Mendes
M
28
Adson
72'
M
Adson
72'
M
20
Brenner
45'
F
Brenner
45'
F
Bench
4
Alan Saldivia
45'
D
Alan Saldivia
45'
D
88
Cauan Barros
12'
M
Cauan Barros
12'
M
77
C. Spinelli
18'
F
C. Spinelli
18'
F
13
Daniel Fuzato
G
Daniel Fuzato
G
10
J. Rojas
F
J. Rojas
F
43
Lucas Freitas
D
Lucas Freitas
D
6
Lucas Piton
D
Lucas Piton
D
18
Marino Hinestroza
45'
F
Marino Hinestroza
45'
F
37
Pablo
G
Pablo
G
2
Puma Rodríguez
D
Puma Rodríguez
D
83
Ramon Rique
16'
M
Ramon Rique
16'
M
64
Walace
D
Walace
D
Best on the pitch
Robert Renan
D · Vasco
8.00
1 shots
· 39 pass
Cuiabano
D · Vasco
7.90
2 shots
· 41 pass
David Duarte
D · Bahia
7.60
· 65 pass
Roman Gomez
D · Bahia
7.60
1 shots
· 39 pass
Alan Saldivia
D · Vasco
7.20
· 9 pass
Adson
M · Vasco
7.20
1 shots
· 31 pass
Bahia — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronaldo | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Luciano Juba | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Ramos | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 48 | 41% | — | — | — |
| David Duarte | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 65 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Roman Gomez | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 31% | 5 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Nestor | M | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Jean Lucas | M | 64 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| N. Acevedo | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 58 | 53% | 1 | — | — |
| Ademir | M | 43 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Véliz | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| Willian José | F | 64 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Çağatay Yılmaz | M | 47 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Caio Alexandre | M | 26 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| M. Araújo | M | 26 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Sanabria | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — |
| Zé Guilherme | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 17% | — | — | — |
Vasco DA Gama — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Léo Jardim | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Cuiabano | D | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 31% | 8 | 1 | — |
| Robert Renan | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| C. Cuesta | D | 45 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Paulo Henrique | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Jair | M | 86 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Tchê Tchê | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | 2 | — | — |
| David | M | 74 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Thiago Mendes | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 37% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Adson | M | 72 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 28% | 4 | — | — |
| Brenner | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Alan Saldivia | D | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
| Cauan Barros | M | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Spinelli | F | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Marino Hinestroza | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| Ramon Rique | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama?
The final score was Bahia 0–0 Vasco DA Gama.
What did the model predict before Bahia vs Vasco DA Gama?
The model assigned 53% probability to a Bahia win, 26% to a draw, and 20% to an Vasco DA Gama win.