Ballymena United - Larne
Premiership
December 01, 2026 20:45
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.13%
Win
Ballymena United
33.09%
Draw
33.78%
Win
Larne
0.93
1.17
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
0–1
(12.78%)
1X2 Result
1
33%
X
33%
2
34%
Double Chance
1X
66%
X2
67%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ballymena United a 33% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 33% for Larne. Expected goals are 0.9 for Ballymena United and 1.2 for Larne (total 2.1), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–1 at 12.78% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Ballymena United have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Larne.
Season Stats
4W
6D
5L
11W
3D
1L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
2.2
1.5
Conceded
0.6
Percentages
93%
O 1.5
80%
60%
O 2.5
40%
73%
BTTS
33%
20%
Clean Sht
67%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Premiership. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
45%
BTTS
2W
5D
3L
· at home
6W
3D
1L
· away
1.0
gls/g
1.9
1.2
Conceded
0.6
20%
Win %
60%
70%
Win or Draw
90%
90%
O 1.5
70%
30%
O 2.5
40%
10%
O 3.5
20%
60%
BTTS
30%
20%
Clean Sht
70%
30%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Ballymena United
Larne →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.3% | 14.4% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Ballymena United
Attack
34
Defence
55
Form
36
Larne
Attack
41
Defence
76
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Coleraine FC
|
9 | 22 |
| 2 |
Linfield
|
9 | 22 |
| 3 |
Larne
|
6 | 16 |
| 4 |
Crusaders FC
|
9 | 15 |
| 5 |
Glentoran
|
9 | 13 |
| 6 |
Dungannon Swifts
|
8 | 13 |
| 7 |
Cliftonville FC
|
9 | 12 |
| 8 |
Carrick Rangers
|
9 | 10 |
| 9 |
Ballymena United
|
8 | 9 |
| 10 |
Limavady United
|
8 | 9 |
| 11 |
Bangor
|
9 | 5 |
| 12 |
Portadown
|
9 | 1 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Ballymena United vs Larne?
The model gives Ballymena United a 33% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 33% for an Larne win.
How many goals are expected in Ballymena United vs Larne?
Expected goals: Ballymena United 0.9, Larne 1.2 (total 2.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Ballymena United vs Larne?
0–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.78%.