Derik Lacerda
(ast. E. Civic)
55'
8'
(ast. D. Fomin)
Arthur Gomes
71'
K. Tyukavin
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Baltika a 38% win probability (draw 33%, Dynamo 28%). The final result was Baltika 1–2 Dynamo. In 2 previous meetings, Baltika have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Dynamo.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
5
6
Shots on target
4
2
Saves
5
48%
Possession
52%
4
Corners
2
23
Tackles
12
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
8'
ast. D. Fomin ·
Arthur Gomes⚽
A. Mourid
27'
Y. Kovalev
/ E. Civic
46'
A. Mourid
/ T. Yenne
46'
T. Yenne
51'
⚽Derik Lacerda
· ast. E. Civic
55'
58'
Y. Gladyshev
/
N. Moumi Ngamaleu
I. Belikov
61'
64'
U. Babaev
/
V. Okishor
I. Belikov
/ A. Mendel
67'
Derik Lacerda
/ C. Offor
67'
71'
K. Tyukavin⚽
N. Gassama
/ M. Ryadno
74'
78'
T. Marinkin
A. Mendel
80'
86'
D. Aleksandrov
/
D. Fomin
86'
Rubens
/
K. Tyukavin
90'+2
Rubens
90'+2
N. Marichal
Pre-match prediction
38.84%
Baltika
33.09%
X
28.07%
Dynamo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Dynamo)
28.07%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.90
—
—
0.70
—
—
Lineups
44
E. Lyubakov
G
E. Lyubakov
G
4
N. Gassama
74'
D
N. Gassama
74'
D
21
E. Anderson
D
E. Anderson
D
2
S. Varatynov
D
S. Varatynov
D
23
M. Beveev
M
M. Beveev
M
26
I. Belikov
67'
M
I. Belikov
67'
M
5
A. Mourid
45'
M
A. Mourid
45'
M
11
Yuri Kovalev
45'
M
Yuri Kovalev
45'
M
22
N. Titkov
F
N. Titkov
F
18
Derik Lacerda
1 ⚽
67'
F
Derik Lacerda
1 ⚽
67'
F
73
M. Petrov
F
M. Petrov
F
Bench
8
A. Mendel
26'
M
A. Mendel
26'
M
90
C. Offor
26'
F
C. Offor
26'
F
77
E. Ćivić
1 👟
48'
D
E. Ćivić
1 👟
48'
D
81
I. Kukushkin
G
I. Kukushkin
G
10
I. Petrov
M
I. Petrov
M
69
Irakliy Manelov
F
Irakliy Manelov
F
46
Kirill Obonin
D
Kirill Obonin
D
39
Kirill Stepanov
F
Kirill Stepanov
F
68
M. Ryadno
19'
D
M. Ryadno
19'
D
14
S. Kovač
M
S. Kovač
M
15
Tenton Yenne
48'
F
Tenton Yenne
48'
F
42
V. Pospelov
M
V. Pospelov
M
99
A. Lunev
G
A. Lunev
G
7
D. Skopintsev
D
D. Skopintsev
D
57
David Ricardo
D
David Ricardo
D
2
N. Marichal
D
N. Marichal
D
56
L. Zaydenzal
D
L. Zaydenzal
D
74
D. Fomin
1 👟
86'
M
D. Fomin
1 👟
86'
M
60
T. Marinkin
M
T. Marinkin
M
11
Arthur Gomes
1 ⚽
M
Arthur Gomes
1 ⚽
M
88
V. Okishor
64'
M
V. Okishor
64'
M
13
Nicolas Moumie Ngamaleu
58'
M
70
K. Tyukavin
1 ⚽
86'
F
K. Tyukavin
1 ⚽
86'
F
Bench
50
A. Kutitskiy
M
A. Kutitskiy
M
21
A. Miranchuk
M
A. Miranchuk
M
19
Baktiyor Zaynutdinov
M
Baktiyor Zaynutdinov
M
30
D. Aleksandrov
7'
M
D. Aleksandrov
7'
M
31
I. Leshchuk
G
I. Leshchuk
G
5
M. Majstorović
D
M. Majstorović
D
44
Rubens
7'
D
Rubens
7'
D
17
U. Babaev
29'
F
U. Babaev
29'
F
91
Y. Gladyshev
35'
F
Y. Gladyshev
35'
F
Best on the pitch
Arthur Gomes
M · Dynamo
8.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
N. Marichal
D · Dynamo
7.90
1 shots
· 49 pass
Derik Lacerda
F · Baltika
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 12 pass
A. Lunev
G · Dynamo
7.30
· 36 pass
E. Ćivić
D · Baltika
7.20
1 👟
1 shots
· 20 pass
K. Tyukavin
F · Dynamo
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 19 pass
Baltika — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Lyubakov | G | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 16 | 6% | — | — | — |
| N. Gassama | D | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Anderson | D | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 35 | 22% | 5 | — | — |
| S. Varatynov | D | 93 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 16% | — | — | — |
| M. Beveev | M | 93 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Belikov | M | 67 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Mourid | M | 45 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 6% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Yuri Kovalev | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 18 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| N. Titkov | F | 93 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Derik Lacerda | F | 67 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 12 | 8% | — | — | — |
| M. Petrov | F | 93 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Mendel | M | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 5% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Offor | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| E. Ćivić | D | 48 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Ryadno | D | 19 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| Tenton Yenne | F | 48 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
Dynamo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Lunev | G | 93 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 22% | — | — | — |
| D. Skopintsev | D | 93 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| David Ricardo | D | 93 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 37% | — | — | — |
| N. Marichal | D | 93 | 7.90 | — | — | 1 | 49 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Zaydenzal | D | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Fomin | M | 86 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 32 | 24% | — | — | — |
| T. Marinkin | M | 93 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 32 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| Arthur Gomes | M | 93 | 8.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | — | — | — |
| V. Okishor | M | 64 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Nicolas Moumie Ngamaleu | M | 58 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 15% | — | — | — |
| K. Tyukavin | F | 86 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| D. Aleksandrov | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Rubens | D | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — |
| U. Babaev | F | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| Y. Gladyshev | F | 35 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Baltika vs Dynamo?
The final score was Baltika 1–2 Dynamo.
What did the model predict before Baltika vs Dynamo?
The model assigned 38% probability to a Baltika win, 33% to a draw, and 28% to an Dynamo win.