85'
(ast. Nikolay Komlichenko)
Andrey Mostovoy
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Baltika a 45% win probability (draw 27%, Lokomotiv 27%). The final result was Baltika 0–1 Lokomotiv. In 4 previous meetings, Baltika have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 3 wins for Lokomotiv.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
8
3
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
5
Corners
4
14
Tackles
20
1
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
23'
Sergey Pinyaev
25'
Andrey Mostovoy
44'
César Montes
45'
Aleksandr Rudenko
Chinonso Offor
/ Maksim Petrov
45'
Vladislav Pospelov
/ Brayan Gil
45'
45'
Maksim Nenakhov
/
César Montes
Eduardo Anderson
54'
60'
Vadim Rakov
/
Sergey Pinyaev
60'
Egor Pogostnov
/
Gerzino Nyamsi
Nikolay Titkov
/ Fahd Moufi
61'
74'
Nikolay Komlichenko
/
Zelimkhan Bakaev
Aymane Mourid
/ Ivan Belikov
79'
85'
ast. Nikolay Komlichenko ·
Andrey Mostovoy⚽
Andrey Mendel
/ Konstantin Shiltsov
89'
Pre-match prediction
45.41%
Baltika
27.1%
X
27.49%
Lokomotiv ←
we assigned to the actual result (Lokomotiv)
27.49%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.47
—
—
1.29
—
—
Lineups
1
E. Latyshonok
G
E. Latyshonok
G
4
N. Gassama
D
N. Gassama
D
21
E. Anderson
D
E. Anderson
D
24
L. Mouyokolo
D
L. Mouyokolo
D
2
S. Varatynov
D
S. Varatynov
D
22
M. Beveev
D
M. Beveev
D
11
N. Titkov
61'
M
N. Titkov
61'
M
5
A. Mourid
79'
M
A. Mourid
79'
M
8
A. Mendel
89'
M
A. Mendel
89'
M
42
V. Pospelov
45'
M
V. Pospelov
45'
M
9
C. Offor
45'
F
C. Offor
45'
F
Bench
91
B. Gil
45'
F
B. Gil
45'
F
77
E. Ćivić
D
E. Ćivić
D
44
E. Lyubakov
G
E. Lyubakov
G
18
F. Moufi
29'
D
F. Moufi
29'
D
26
I. Belikov
11'
M
I. Belikov
11'
M
3
I. Kirsch
D
I. Kirsch
D
81
I. Kukushkin
G
I. Kukushkin
G
10
I. Petrov
M
I. Petrov
M
7
K. Shiltsov
1'
M
K. Shiltsov
1'
M
73
M. Petrov
45'
M
M. Petrov
45'
M
68
M. Ryadno
D
M. Ryadno
D
19
M. Shnaptsev
D
M. Shnaptsev
D
1
A. Mitryushkin
G
A. Mitryushkin
G
3
Lucas Fasson
D
Lucas Fasson
D
23
C. Montes
45'
D
C. Montes
45'
D
5
G. Nyamsi
60'
D
G. Nyamsi
60'
D
85
E. Morozov
D
E. Morozov
D
77
A. Mostovoy
1 ⚽
M
A. Mostovoy
1 ⚽
M
75
I. Eremeev
M
I. Eremeev
M
6
S. Babkin
M
S. Babkin
M
7
Z. Bakaev
74'
M
Z. Bakaev
74'
M
9
S. Pinyaev
60'
F
S. Pinyaev
60'
F
19
A. Rudenko
F
A. Rudenko
F
Bench
8
A. Kovalenko
M
A. Kovalenko
M
74
D. Chevardin
D
D. Chevardin
D
47
D. Godyaev
M
D. Godyaev
M
16
D. Veselov
G
D. Veselov
G
59
E. Pogostnov
30'
D
E. Pogostnov
30'
D
22
I. Lantratov
G
I. Lantratov
G
24
M. Nenakhov
45'
D
M. Nenakhov
45'
D
88
M. Shchetinin
M
M. Shchetinin
M
27
N. Komlichenko
1 👟
16'
F
N. Komlichenko
1 👟
16'
F
17
N. Saltykov
M
N. Saltykov
M
63
V. Golubev
F
V. Golubev
F
11
V. Rakov
30'
F
V. Rakov
30'
F
Best on the pitch
G. Nyamsi
D · Lokomotiv
7.55
1 shots
· 28 pass
A. Mostovoy
M · Lokomotiv
7.43
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 29 pass
E. Pogostnov
D · Lokomotiv
7.35
· 21 pass
C. Montes
D · Lokomotiv
7.08
1 shots
· 29 pass
A. Mitryushkin
G · Lokomotiv
6.99
· 35 pass
F. Moufi
D · Baltika
6.97
1 shots
· 6 pass
Baltika — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Latyshonok | G | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Gassama | D | 90 | 5.92 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Anderson | D | 90 | 5.78 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 19% | 0 | 1 | — |
| L. Mouyokolo | D | 90 | 6.71 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| S. Varatynov | D | 90 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Beveev | D | 90 | 6.15 | — | — | 2 | 31 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Titkov | M | 61 | 6.33 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mourid | M | 79 | 6.27 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mendel | M | 89 | 5.99 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| V. Pospelov | M | 45 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Offor | F | 45 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Gil | F | 45 | 6.52 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Moufi | D | 29 | 6.97 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Belikov | M | 11 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Shiltsov | M | 1 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Petrov | M | 45 | 6.58 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
Lokomotiv — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mitryushkin | G | 90 | 6.99 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| Lucas Fasson | D | 90 | 6.79 | — | — | 0 | 55 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Montes | D | 45 | 7.08 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 24% | 1 | 1 | — |
| G. Nyamsi | D | 60 | 7.55 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 24% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Morozov | D | 90 | 6.93 | — | — | 0 | 59 | 48% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Mostovoy | M | 90 | 7.43 | 1 | — | 3 | 29 | 24% | 0 | 1 | — |
| I. Eremeev | M | 90 | 6.61 | — | — | 2 | 47 | 37% | 5 | — | — |
| S. Babkin | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| Z. Bakaev | M | 74 | 6.11 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Pinyaev | F | 60 | 6.73 | — | — | 0 | 12 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Rudenko | F | 90 | 6.47 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 24% | 2 | 1 | — |
| E. Pogostnov | D | 30 | 7.35 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Nenakhov | D | 45 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Komlichenko | F | 16 | 6.81 | — | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| V. Rakov | F | 30 | 6.48 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Baltika vs Lokomotiv?
The final score was Baltika 0–1 Lokomotiv.
What did the model predict before Baltika vs Lokomotiv?
The model assigned 45% probability to a Baltika win, 27% to a draw, and 27% to an Lokomotiv win.