Baltika 0–1 Rubin — pre-match prediction — Premier League — May 02, 2026

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Premier League · Regular Season - 28 May 02, 2026 15:30 Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad

Baltika

#9 · 14 pts

0 – 1

Final score

Rubin

#11 · 12 pts

29' (ast. N. Gripshi) M. Daku

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Baltika a 50% win probability (draw 27%, Rubin 22%). The final result was Baltika 0–1 Rubin. In 2 previous meetings, Baltika have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Rubin.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

54%

Possession

46%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

29'

ast. N. Gripshi · M. Daku⚽

↕ A. Mendel / N. Titkov

46'

↕ M. Petrov / I. Belikov

46'

47'

I. Rozhkov

Y. Kovalev

59'

↕ Y. Kovalev / V. Pospelov

62'

↕ I. Petrov / T. Yenne

62'

63'

R. Bezrukov / N. Gripshi ↕

E. Civic

77'

79'

J. Siwe / M. Daku ↕

79'

D. Kuzyaev / I. Rozhkov ↕

↕ N. Gassama / E. Anderson

85'

89'

A. Gritsaenko / N. Lobov ↕

89'

D. Kuznetsov / V. Hodza ↕

N. Titkov

90'+3

90'+4

I. Saavedra

Pre-match prediction

50.15%

Baltika

27.5%

22.34%

Rubin ←

we assigned to the actual result (Rubin) 22.34% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Baltika

1.41

—

Rubin

0.86

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Zenit	12	27
2	Dynamo	12	25
3	CSKA Moscow	12	25
4	FC Krasnodar	12	23
5	Spartak Moscow	12	23
6	FC Orenburg	12	16
7	FC Rostov	12	15
8	Krylia Sovetov	12	15
9	Baltika	12	14
10	Dinamo Makhachkala	12	13
11	Rubin	12	12
12	Akron	12	12
13	Lokomotiv	12	11
14	Akhmat	12	11
15	Rodina Moskva	12	9
16	Fakel	12	6

Lineups

Baltika 5-4-1

G 6.60

E. Ćivić 76' D 6.30

N. Gassama 85' D 6.60

K. Andrade D 7.30

D 6.70

M. Beveev D 6.20

Yuri Kovalev 62' M 6.00

I. Petrov 62' M 6.20

A. Mendel 45' M 6.50

M. Petrov 45' M 6.20

C. Offor F 6.60

Bench

Derik Lacerda F

E. Anderson 13' D 6.90

I. Belikov 45' D 6.70

I. Kukushkin G

Irakliy Manelov F

N. Titkov 45' M 6.90

Tenton Yenne 28' F 6.50

Rubin 3-4-3

G 6.90

D. Maldonado D 7.20

E. Teslenko D 7.00

N. Lobov 89' D 7.50

K. Nizhegorodov M 7.20

I. Saavedra M 6.90

V. Hodža 89' M 7.50

A. Arroyo M 7.20

I. Rozhkov 79' F 6.20

M. Daku 1 ⚽ 79' F 7.50

N. Gripshi 1 👟 63' F 6.90

Bench

J. Siwe 11' F 6.30

R. Bezrukov 27' D 6.30

Best on the pitch

M. Daku

F · Rubin

7.50

1 ⚽

1 shots · 18 pass

V. Hodža

M · Rubin

7.50

· 31 pass

N. Lobov

D · Rubin

7.50

· 16 pass

K. Andrade

D · Baltika

7.30

· 33 pass

A. Arroyo

M · Rubin

7.20

1 shots · 20 pass

K. Nizhegorodov

M · Rubin

7.20

1 shots · 26 pass

Baltika — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.60	—	—	—	22	11%	—	—	—
E. Ćivić	D	76	6.30	—	—	1	35	24%	1	—	1
N. Gassama	D	85	6.60	—	—	—	37	23%	1	—	—
K. Andrade	D	90	7.30	—	—	—	33	31%	—	—	—
	D	90	6.70	—	—	1	43	29%	1	—	—
M. Beveev	D	90	6.20	—	—	1	22	13%	—	—	—
Yuri Kovalev	M	62	6.00	—	—	—	10	6%	—	1	—
I. Petrov	M	62	6.20	—	—	—	20	9%	—	—	—
A. Mendel	M	45	6.50	—	—	—	20	17%	—	—	—
M. Petrov	M	45	6.20	—	—	—	10	6%	1	—	—
C. Offor	F	90	6.60	—	—	1	14	8%	—	—	—
E. Anderson	D	13	6.90	—	—	—	6	4%	—	—	—
I. Belikov	D	45	6.70	—	—	1	14	10%	—	—	—
N. Titkov	M	45	6.90	—	—	—	18	13%	3	1	—
Tenton Yenne	F	28	6.50	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—

Rubin — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
	G	90	6.90	—	—	—	23	7%	—	—	—
D. Maldonado	D	90	7.20	—	—	—	29	15%	1	—	—
E. Teslenko	D	90	7.00	—	—	—	21	11%	—	—	—
N. Lobov	D	89	7.50	—	—	—	16	10%	2	—	—
K. Nizhegorodov	M	90	7.20	—	—	1	26	15%	2	—	—
I. Saavedra	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	24	15%	1	1	—
V. Hodža	M	89	7.50	—	—	—	31	21%	5	—	—
A. Arroyo	M	90	7.20	—	—	1	20	8%	1	—	—
I. Rozhkov	F	79	6.20	—	—	—	20	12%	—	1	—
M. Daku	F	79	7.50	1	—	1	18	10%	—	—	—
N. Gripshi	F	63	6.90	—	1	—	23	15%	1	—	—
J. Siwe	F	11	6.30	—	—	—	8	4%	—	—	—
R. Bezrukov	D	27	6.30	—	—	—	5	1%	1	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Baltika vs Rubin?

The final score was Baltika 0–1 Rubin.

What did the model predict before Baltika vs Rubin?

The model assigned 50% probability to a Baltika win, 27% to a draw, and 22% to an Rubin win.