Baltika 1–2 Spartak Moscow — pre-match prediction — Premier League — August 16, 2026

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Premier League · Regular Season - 4 August 16, 2026 18:30 Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad

Baltika

#9 · 14 pts

1 – 2

Final score

Spartak Moscow

#5 · 23 pts

A. Mendel 23'

20' (ast. M. Daku) M. Ugalde

49' P. Solari

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Spartak Moscow a 39% win probability (draw 30%, Baltika 30%). The final result was Baltika 1–2 Spartak Moscow. In 2 previous meetings, Baltika have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Spartak Moscow.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

Saves

34%

Possession

66%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

20'

ast. M. Daku · M. Ugalde⚽

⚽A. Mendel

23'

M. Beveev

47'

49'

P. Solari⚽

↕ M. Petrov / F. Moufi

58'

↕ C. Offor / B. Gil

58'

A. Mourid

73'

76'

C. Wooh

76'

G. Fernandes

N. Titkov

76'

E. Anderson

76'

M. Ugalde

77'

V. Saus / P. Solari ↕

↕ A. Mendel / I. Belikov

78'

↕ E. Civic / M. Ryadno

78'

↕ F. Moufi / V. Pospelov

85'

87'

V. Parada / R. Zobnin ↕

90'+2

I. Dmitriev / Marquinhos ↕

90'+2

D. Prutsev / M. Ugalde ↕

Pre-match prediction

30.91%

Baltika

30.03%

39.06%

Spartak ←

we assigned to the actual result (Spartak Moscow) 39.06% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Baltika

1.40

—

Spartak

2.32

—

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Zenit	12	27
2	Dynamo	12	25
3	CSKA Moscow	12	25
4	FC Krasnodar	12	23
5	Spartak Moscow	12	23
6	FC Orenburg	12	16
7	FC Rostov	12	15
8	Krylia Sovetov	12	15
9	Baltika	12	14
10	Dinamo Makhachkala	12	13
11	Rubin	12	12
12	Akron	12	12
13	Lokomotiv	12	11
14	Akhmat	12	11
15	Rodina Moskva	12	9
16	Fakel	12	6

Lineups

Baltika 5-4-1

E. Latyshonok G 6.30

E. Ćivić 78' D 6.30

N. Gassama D 5.90

E. Anderson D 7.30

S. Varatynov D 6.70

M. Beveev D 6.70

N. Titkov M 6.90

A. Mourid M 6.60

A. Mendel 1 ⚽ 78' M 7.20

M. Petrov 58' M 6.30

C. Offor 58' F 6.20

Bench

B. Gil 38' F 6.30

E. Lyubakov G

F. Moufi 27' D 6.90

I. Belikov 18' M 6.50

I. Kukushkin G

I. Petrov M

K. Shiltsov M

L. Mouyokolo D

M. Ryadno 18' D 6.90

S. Kovač M

Tenton Yenne F

V. Pospelov 11' M 6.20

Spartak Moscow 4-1-4-1

A. Maksimenko G 6.90

R. Zobnin 87' D 6.30

S. Babić D 7.00

C. Wooh D 6.70

Gedson Fernandes D 6.90

R. Litvinov M 7.20

Marquinhos M 6.70

M. Daku 1 👟 M 6.90

N. Umyarov M 6.90

P. Solari 1 ⚽ 77' M 7.30

M. Ugalde 1 ⚽ F 7.30

Bench

A. Djiku D

A. Dovbnya G

D. Denisov D

D. Prutsev 4' M

I. Dmitriev 4' M

I. Pomazun G

I. Sorokin M

Nikita Massalyga M

P. Polekh F

Víctor Parada 9' D 6.50

V. Saus 19' M 6.70

Best on the pitch

E. Anderson

D · Baltika

7.30

1 shots · 22 pass

M. Ugalde

F · Spartak

7.30

1 ⚽

3 shots · 22 pass

P. Solari

M · Spartak

7.30

1 ⚽

2 shots · 21 pass

A. Mendel

M · Baltika

7.20

1 ⚽

2 shots · 17 pass

R. Litvinov

M · Spartak

7.20

· 68 pass

S. Babić

D · Spartak

7.00

· 68 pass

Baltika — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
E. Latyshonok	G	96	6.30	—	—	—	10	5%	—	—	—
E. Ćivić	D	78	6.30	—	—	1	18	9%	3	—	—
N. Gassama	D	96	5.90	—	—	1	26	9%	—	—	—
E. Anderson	D	96	7.30	—	—	1	22	10%	4	1	—
S. Varatynov	D	96	6.70	—	—	1	26	18%	1	—	—
M. Beveev	D	96	6.70	—	—	—	25	17%	2	1	—
N. Titkov	M	96	6.90	—	—	—	16	13%	—	1	—
A. Mourid	M	96	6.60	—	—	1	34	20%	3	1	—
A. Mendel	M	78	7.20	1	—	2	17	10%	1	—	—
M. Petrov	M	58	6.30	—	—	1	8	5%	—	—	—
C. Offor	F	58	6.20	—	—	—	11	6%	—	—	—
B. Gil	F	38	6.30	—	—	1	2	1%	—	—	—
F. Moufi	D	27	6.90	—	—	—	4	1%	—	—	—
I. Belikov	M	18	6.50	—	—	—	6	4%	—	—	—
M. Ryadno	D	18	6.90	—	—	—	6	4%	1	—	—
V. Pospelov	M	11	6.20	—	—	—	3	1%	—	—	—

Spartak Moscow — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
A. Maksimenko	G	96	6.90	—	—	—	28	20%	—	—	—
R. Zobnin	D	87	6.30	—	—	—	47	42%	—	—	—
S. Babić	D	96	7.00	—	—	—	68	59%	2	—	—
C. Wooh	D	96	6.70	—	—	—	70	62%	—	1	—
Gedson Fernandes	D	96	6.90	—	—	—	49	38%	4	1	—
R. Litvinov	M	96	7.20	—	—	—	68	50%	1	—	—
Marquinhos	M	92	6.70	—	—	1	36	28%	1	—	—
M. Daku	M	96	6.90	—	1	—	18	14%	—	—	—
N. Umyarov	M	96	6.90	—	—	—	44	31%	2	—	—
P. Solari	M	77	7.30	1	—	2	21	17%	—	—	—
M. Ugalde	F	92	7.30	1	—	3	22	16%	—	1	—
D. Prutsev	M	4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
I. Dmitriev	M	4	—	—	—	—	2	1%	—	—	—
Víctor Parada	D	9	6.50	—	—	—	1	—	—	—	—
V. Saus	M	19	6.70	—	—	—	4	2%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Baltika vs Spartak Moscow?

The final score was Baltika 1–2 Spartak Moscow.

What did the model predict before Baltika vs Spartak Moscow?

The model assigned 30% probability to a Baltika win, 30% to a draw, and 39% to an Spartak Moscow win.