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Premier League · Regular Season - 9 September 16, 2026 19:45 Rostec Arena, Kaliningrad
Baltika
#8 · 11 pts
2 – 3
Final score
Zenit
#5 · 18 pts
Brayan Gil (ast. Konstantin Shiltsov) 22'
Ilya Petrov 81'
9' (ast. Artem Karpukas) Maksim Glushenkov
16' (ast. Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos) Aleksandr Sobolev
49' (ast. Aleksandr Sobolev) Luiz Henrique
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Zenit a 39% win probability (draw 27%, Baltika 32%). The final result was Baltika 2–3 Zenit. In 4 previous meetings, Baltika have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 3 wins for Zenit.

Match statistics
8
Total shots
11
4
Shots on target
8
5
Saves
2
41%
Possession
59%
9
Corners
8
17
Tackles
10
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
9'
ast. Artem Karpukas · Maksim Glushenkov⚽
16'
ast. Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos · Aleksandr Sobolev⚽
⚽Brayan Gil · ast. Konstantin Shiltsov
22'
↕ Maksim Petrov / Vladislav Pospelov
45'
↕ Aymane Mourid / Ivan Belikov
45'
49'
ast. Aleksandr Sobolev · Luiz Henrique⚽
Ivan Belikov
53'
↕ Mingiyan Beveev / Mikhail Ryadno
63'
↕ Brayan Gil / Egor Golenkov
63'
67'
Nuraly Alip / Artem Karpukas ↕
67'
Roman Vega / Maksim Glushenkov ↕
Sergey Varatynov
70'
74'
Vyacheslav Karavaev / Gustavo Mantuan ↕
↕ Konstantin Shiltsov / Ilya Petrov
77'
78'
Roman Vega
⚽Ilya Petrov
81'
86'
Daniil Kondakov / Pedro Henrique Silva dos Santos ↕
86'
Felipe Augusto / Aleksandr Sobolev ↕
Pre-match prediction
32.56%
Baltika
27.72%
X
39.72%
Zenit ←
we assigned to the actual result (Zenit) 39.72% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Baltika
1.46
—
—
Zenit
1.56
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 FC Krasnodar FC Krasnodar 9 21
2 Dynamo Dynamo 9 19
3 CSKA Moscow CSKA Moscow 9 19
4 Spartak Moscow Spartak Moscow 9 19
5 Zenit Zenit 9 18
6 Rubin Rubin 9 12
7 Dinamo Makhachkala Dinamo Makhachkala 9 12
8 Baltika Baltika 9 11
9 Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov 9 11
10 Akhmat Akhmat 9 10
11 FC Orenburg FC Orenburg 9 9
12 FC Rostov FC Rostov 9 8
13 Akron Akron 9 8
14 Lokomotiv Lokomotiv 9 7
15 Rodina Moskva Rodina Moskva 9 5
16 Fakel Fakel 9 3
Lineups
Baltika Baltika 5-4-1
1 E. Latyshonok E. Latyshonok G 6.68
22 M. Beveev M. Beveev 63' D 5.67
4 N. Gassama N. Gassama D 6.35
24 L. Mouyokolo L. Mouyokolo D 6.51
2 S. Varatynov S. Varatynov D 5.81
19 M. Shnaptsev M. Shnaptsev D 5.18
7 K. Shiltsov K. Shiltsov 1 👟 77' M 6.84
5 A. Mourid A. Mourid 45' M 6.01
8 A. Mendel A. Mendel M 6.03
73 M. Petrov M. Petrov 45' M 6.38
91 B. Gil B. Gil 1 ⚽ 63' F 7.62
Bench
9 C. Offor C. Offor F 0.00
77 E. Ćivić E. Ćivić D 0.00
69 E. Golenkov E. Golenkov 27' F 6.27
44 E. Lyubakov E. Lyubakov G 0.00
26 I. Belikov I. Belikov 45' M 5.64
3 I. Kirsch I. Kirsch D 0.00
81 I. Kukushkin I. Kukushkin G 0.00
10 I. Petrov I. Petrov 1 ⚽ 13' M 6.84
11 I. Porokhov I. Porokhov F 0.00
68 M. Ryadno M. Ryadno 27' D 6.12
42 V. Pospelov V. Pospelov 45' M 5.86
Zenit Zenit 4-2-3-1
16 D. Adamov D. Adamov G 5.84
3 Douglas Santos Douglas Santos D 6.66
25 K. Andrade K. Andrade D 6.73
78 I. Diveev I. Diveev D 6.26
31 Gustavo Mantuan Gustavo Mantuan 74' D 6.53
93 A. Karpukas A. Karpukas 1 👟 67' M 7.55
5 W. Barrios W. Barrios M 6.99
11 Luiz Henrique Luiz Henrique 1 ⚽ M 7.69
20 Pedro Henrique Pedro Henrique 1 👟 86' M 6.58
10 M. Glushenkov M. Glushenkov 1 ⚽ 67' M 6.86
7 A. Sobolev A. Sobolev 1 ⚽ 1 👟 86' F 8.48
Bench
21 A. Erokhin A. Erokhin M 0.00
57 B. Moskvichev B. Moskvichev G 0.00
61 D. Kondakov D. Kondakov 4' M 5.96
71 D. Odoevskiy D. Odoevskiy G 0.00
9 Felipe Augusto Felipe Augusto 4' F 6.38
14 Jhon Jhon Jhon Jhon M 0.00
28 N. Alip N. Alip 23' D 6.19
66 R. Vega R. Vega 23' D 6.17
82 S. Volkov S. Volkov D 0.00
15 V. Karavaev V. Karavaev 16' D 6.10
51 V. Shilov V. Shilov F 0.00
Best on the pitch
A. Sobolev
A. Sobolev
F · Zenit
8.48
1 ⚽ 1 👟
4 shots · 23 pass
Luiz Henrique
Luiz Henrique
M · Zenit
7.69
1 ⚽
2 shots · 34 pass
B. Gil
B. Gil
F · Baltika
7.62
1 ⚽
2 shots · 11 pass
A. Karpukas
A. Karpukas
M · Zenit
7.55
1 👟
· 68 pass
W. Barrios
W. Barrios
M · Zenit
6.99
· 48 pass
M. Glushenkov
M. Glushenkov
M · Zenit
6.86
1 ⚽
3 shots · 22 pass
Baltika Baltika — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
E. Latyshonok G 90 6.68 — — 0 27 21% 0 — —
M. Beveev D 63 5.67 — — 0 23 15% 0 — —
N. Gassama D 90 6.35 — — 1 41 30% 1 — —
L. Mouyokolo D 90 6.51 — — 0 32 24% 2 — —
S. Varatynov D 90 5.81 — — 0 48 39% 1 1 —
M. Shnaptsev D 90 5.18 — — 0 22 14% 5 — —
K. Shiltsov M 77 6.84 — 1 2 19 12% 1 — —
A. Mourid M 45 6.01 — — 0 18 15% 0 — —
A. Mendel M 90 6.03 — — 1 32 24% 1 — —
M. Petrov M 45 6.38 — — 0 16 15% 1 — —
B. Gil F 63 7.62 1 — 2 11 7% 0 — —
E. Golenkov F 27 6.27 — — 1 5 1% 0 — —
I. Belikov M 45 5.64 — — 0 14 8% 0 1 —
I. Petrov M 13 6.84 1 — 1 9 7% 2 — —
M. Ryadno D 27 6.12 — — 0 10 5% 2 — —
V. Pospelov M 45 5.86 — — 0 2 1% 1 — —
Zenit Zenit — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
D. Adamov G 90 5.84 — — 0 33 20% 0 — —
Douglas Santos D 90 6.66 — — 0 53 45% 1 — —
K. Andrade D 90 6.73 — — 0 73 63% 2 — —
I. Diveev D 90 6.26 — — 0 62 45% 0 — —
Gustavo Mantuan D 74 6.53 — — 1 32 28% 0 — —
A. Karpukas M 67 7.55 — 1 0 68 64% 1 — —
W. Barrios M 90 6.99 — — 0 48 45% 0 — —
Luiz Henrique M 90 7.69 1 — 2 34 27% 2 — —
Pedro Henrique M 86 6.58 — 1 1 27 19% 0 — —
M. Glushenkov M 67 6.86 1 — 3 22 14% 1 — —
A. Sobolev F 86 8.48 1 1 4 23 14% 0 — —
D. Kondakov M 4 5.96 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Felipe Augusto F 4 6.38 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
N. Alip D 23 6.19 — — 0 11 7% 1 — —
R. Vega D 23 6.17 — — 0 4 4% 2 — —
V. Karavaev D 16 6.10 — — 0 5 4% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Baltika vs Zenit?
The final score was Baltika 2–3 Zenit.
What did the model predict before Baltika vs Zenit?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Baltika win, 27% to a draw, and 39% to an Zenit win.