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Bandari - Mathare United

Premier League November 24, 2026 13:00
#15 · 4 pts
vs
#12 · 5 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.08%
Win
Bandari
37.67%
Draw
30.25%
Win
Mathare United
0.58
Expected xG
0.49

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–0 (22.08%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 38%
2 30%
Double Chance
1X 70%
X2 68%
12 62%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 71%
Over 2.5 47%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Bandari a 32% win probability, against 37% for a draw and 30% for Mathare United. Expected goals are 0.6 for Bandari and 0.5 for Mathare United (total 1.1), with a 70% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 22.08% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Bandari have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Mathare United.

Season Stats

Bandari
2W 9D 4L
Mathare United
4W 5D 6L
Averages per game
0.6
Goals
0.9
0.8
Conceded
1.1
Percentages
47%
O 1.5
60%
13%
O 2.5
47%
40%
BTTS
40%
40%
Clean Sht
40%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Premier League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
5%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Bandari
2W 6D 2L · at home
Mathare United
1W 4D 5L · away
0.6
gls/g
0.8
0.7
Conceded
1.4
20%
Win %
10%
80%
Win or Draw
50%
50%
O 1.5
70%
10%
O 2.5
50%
0%
O 3.5
10%
40%
BTTS
60%
50%
Clean Sht
20%
40%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Bandari Mathare United →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 34.2% 16.9% 4.2% 0.7% 0.1% —
1 19.8% 9.8% 2.4% 0.4% — —
2 5.7% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1% — —
3 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% — — —
4 0.2% 0.1% — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

D Nairobi United 1–1
D Posta Rangers FC 0–0
L GOR Mahia 1–0
D 3K 1–1
D AFC Leopards 0–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
L Ulinzi Stars 2–1
W Tusker 2–1
D Migori Youth 0–0
L KCB 1–0
D APS Bomet 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 29%

Playing profile

Bandari Bandari
Attack
10
Defence
66
Form
31
Mathare United Mathare United
Attack
16
Defence
62
Form
37
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 KCB KCB 6 13
2 GOR Mahia GOR Mahia 5 12
3 AFC Leopards AFC Leopards 5 9
4 Shabana Shabana 6 9
5 Kenya Police Kenya Police 5 8
6 3K 3K 5 8
7 Murang'a SEAL Murang'a SEAL 5 7
8 Tusker Tusker 3 6
9 Police Police 1 1
9 Migori Youth Migori Youth 4 6
10 APS Bomet APS Bomet 6 6
11 Mara Sugar Mara Sugar 5 6
12 Mathare United Mathare United 5 5
13 Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars 5 5
14 Nairobi United Nairobi United 5 4
15 Bandari Bandari 5 4
16 Homeboyz Homeboyz 4 4
17 Posta Rangers FC Posta Rangers FC 5 4
18 Mombasa Elite Mombasa Elite 6 1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Bandari vs Mathare United?
The model gives Bandari a 32% win probability, 37% for a draw, and 30% for an Mathare United win.
How many goals are expected in Bandari vs Mathare United?
Expected goals: Bandari 0.6, Mathare United 0.5 (total 1.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 70%.
What is the most likely score in Bandari vs Mathare United?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 22.08%.