✗Model wrong — prediction Lanus, result Draw
Adrián Balboa
(ast. Lautaro Martín Gómez)
20'
62'
(ast. Matías Sepúlveda)
Carlos Izquierdoz
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Lanus a 58% win probability (draw 19%, Banfield 21%). The final result was Banfield 1–1 Lanus. In 1 previous meetings, Banfield have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Lanus.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
10
1
Shots on target
3
0.75
Actual xG
0.89
2
Saves
0
40%
Possession
60%
6
Corners
6
30
Tackles
26
4
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Adrián Balboa
· ast. Lautaro Martín Gómez
20'
33'
Carlos Izquierdoz
Tomas Adoryan
37'
David Zalazar
/ Alexander Machado
61'
Tomas Adoryan
/ Favio Álvarez
61'
62'
ast. Matías Sepúlveda ·
Carlos Izquierdoz⚽
66'
Gonzalo Thomás Lobos
/
Lucas Agustín Besozzi
73'
Agustín Cardozo
Lautaro Martín Gómez
73'
75'
benjamin acosta
/
Matías Sepúlveda
76'
Ramiro Carrera
/
Eduardo Salvio
Adrián Balboa
76'
Federico Medina
/ Lisandro Geronimo Piñero
84'
84'
Felipe Peña Biafore
/
Agustín Cardozo
84'
Yoshan Valois
/
Allan Steven Wlk Duré
87'
Adrián Balboa
/ Santiago López García
90'+1
90'+7
Ramiro Carrera
Santiago López García
90'+8
Pre-match prediction
21.97%
Banfield
19.17%
X ←
58.86%
Lanus
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
19.17%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.25
0.75
-0.5
2.35
0.89
-1.46
xG dominance was balanced (0.75 – 0.89).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
50
D. Rodríguez
G
D. Rodríguez
G
27
I. Abraham
D
I. Abraham
D
6
N. Meriano
D
N. Meriano
D
2
S. Daniele
D
S. Daniele
D
4
J. Alfaro
D
J. Alfaro
D
20
T. Adoryán
61'
M
T. Adoryán
61'
M
5
Santiago Esquivel
M
Santiago Esquivel
M
10
L. Gómez
1 👟
M
L. Gómez
1 👟
M
40
D. Zalazar
61'
F
D. Zalazar
61'
F
9
A. Balboa
1 ⚽
89'
F
A. Balboa
1 ⚽
89'
F
18
Federico Medina
84'
F
Federico Medina
84'
F
Bench
22
A. Machado
29'
F
A. Machado
29'
F
13
Brandon Oviedo
D
Brandon Oviedo
D
11
F. Álvarez
29'
M
F. Álvarez
29'
M
30
F. Anselmo
F
F. Anselmo
F
25
G. Santilli
G
G. Santilli
G
19
L. Cano
D
L. Cano
D
7
Lisandro Piñero
6'
F
Lisandro Piñero
6'
F
21
L. Villegas
M
L. Villegas
M
28
M. Hernández
F
M. Hernández
F
3
N. Paz
D
N. Paz
D
37
R. Malanca
D
R. Malanca
D
24
S. López
1'
M
S. López
1'
M
26
N. Losada
G
N. Losada
G
6
S. Marcich
D
S. Marcich
D
13
J. Canale
D
J. Canale
D
24
C. Izquierdoz
1 ⚽
D
C. Izquierdoz
1 ⚽
D
33
T. Guidara
D
T. Guidara
D
30
A. Cardozo
84'
M
A. Cardozo
84'
M
17
A. Medina
M
A. Medina
M
77
L. Besozzi
66'
M
L. Besozzi
66'
M
11
E. Salvio
76'
M
E. Salvio
76'
M
16
M. Sepúlveda
1 👟
75'
M
M. Sepúlveda
1 👟
75'
M
20
A. Wlk
84'
F
A. Wlk
84'
F
Bench
38
B. Acosta
15'
F
B. Acosta
15'
F
5
F. Peña
6'
M
F. Peña
6'
M
1
F. Petroli
G
F. Petroli
G
8
F. Watson
M
F. Watson
M
42
G. Lobos
24'
F
G. Lobos
24'
F
4
G. Pérez
D
G. Pérez
D
3
N. Morgantini
D
N. Morgantini
D
23
R. Carrera
14'
M
R. Carrera
14'
M
35
R. De Jesús
D
R. De Jesús
D
15
R. Loaiza
M
R. Loaiza
M
40
Tomás López
D
Tomás López
D
19
Y. Valois
6'
F
Y. Valois
6'
F
Best on the pitch
M. Sepúlveda
M · Lanus
7.70
1 👟
2 shots
· 31 pass
A. Balboa
F · Banfield
7.48
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 17 pass
C. Izquierdoz
D · Lanus
7.38
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 69 pass
Santiago Esquivel
M · Banfield
7.15
· 24 pass
G. Lobos
F · Lanus
7.05
· 8 pass
L. Gómez
M · Banfield
6.83
1 👟
3 shots
· 22 pass
Banfield — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Rodríguez | G | 90 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Abraham | D | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Meriano | D | 90 | 6.19 | — | — | 0 | 37 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Daniele | D | 90 | 6.58 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Alfaro | D | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Adoryán | M | 61 | 6.35 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Santiago Esquivel | M | 90 | 7.15 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 21% | 6 | — | — |
| L. Gómez | M | 90 | 6.83 | — | 1 | 3 | 22 | 16% | 5 | 1 | — |
| D. Zalazar | F | 61 | 6.41 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Balboa | F | 89 | 7.48 | 1 | — | 1 | 17 | 10% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Federico Medina | F | 84 | 6.34 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 7% | 4 | — | — |
| A. Machado | F | 29 | 6.51 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Álvarez | M | 29 | 6.55 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Lisandro Piñero | F | 6 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| S. López | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | 1 | — |
Lanus — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Losada | G | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Marcich | D | 90 | 5.80 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Canale | D | 90 | 6.69 | — | — | 0 | 62 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Izquierdoz | D | 90 | 7.38 | 1 | — | 2 | 69 | 59% | 1 | 1 | — |
| T. Guidara | D | 90 | 6.13 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Cardozo | M | 84 | 6.03 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 34% | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Medina | M | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 40% | 8 | — | — |
| L. Besozzi | M | 66 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Salvio | M | 76 | 6.18 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Sepúlveda | M | 75 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 2 | 31 | 27% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Wlk | F | 84 | 6.36 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Acosta | F | 15 | 6.66 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Peña | M | 6 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Lobos | F | 24 | 7.05 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Carrera | M | 14 | 6.02 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Y. Valois | F | 6 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Banfield vs Lanus?
The final score was Banfield 1–1 Lanus.
What did the model predict before Banfield vs Lanus?
The model assigned 21% probability to a Banfield win, 19% to a draw, and 58% to an Lanus win.