Czech Liga
· Regular Season - 27
April 25, 2026 16:00
35'
(ast. A. Memic)
P. Adu
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Plzen a 51% win probability (draw 25%, Baník Ostrava 23%). The final result was Baník Ostrava 0–1 Plzen. In 1 previous meetings, Baník Ostrava have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Plzen.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
9
0
Shots on target
4
1.19
Actual xG
1.02
3
Saves
0
47%
Possession
53%
4
Corners
8
14
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
35'
ast. A. Memic ·
P. Adu⚽
M. Rusnak
/ D. Holzer
46'
A. Bewene
/ F. Sancl
59'
61'
M. Valenta
/
J. Panos
61'
A. Sojka
/
T. Ladra
72'
M. Toure
/
P. Adu
72'
A. Kadlec
/
K. Spacil
V. Jurecka
/ J. Pira
74'
J. Pira
75'
J. Boula
/ A. Musak
82'
87'
M. Vydra
/
A. Memic
M. Frydrych
89'
A. Gning
90'+4
90'+4
A. Kadlec
Pre-match prediction
23.35%
Baník
25.08%
X
51.58%
Plzen ←
we assigned to the actual result (Plzen)
51.58%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.06
1.19
+0.14
1.80
1.02
-0.78
xG dominance was balanced (1.19 – 1.02).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
G
6
D
17
M. Frydrych
D
M. Frydrych
D
5
Jiří Boula
82'
D
99
Vlasiy Sinyavskiy
M
80
Ondrej Kricfalusi
M
18
David Planka
M
66
M. Rusnak
45'
M
34
Abdullahi Bewene
59'
F
Abdullahi Bewene
59'
F
12
Abdallah Gning
F
15
V. Jurečka
74'
F
V. Jurečka
74'
F
Bench
55
Artúr Musák
14'
M
Artúr Musák
14'
M
95
Daniel Holzer
51'
M
19
Filip Šancl
37'
M
29
Jakub Pira
22'
F
20
Pablo Ortíz
D
Pablo Ortíz
D
44
G
5
Karel Spáčil
72'
D
Karel Spáčil
72'
D
40
Sampson Dweh
D
Sampson Dweh
D
37
D. Krčík
D
D. Krčík
D
20
Jiří Panoš
60'
M
Jiří Panoš
60'
M
17
M
6
Lukáš Červ
M
Lukáš Červ
M
99
Amar Memić
1 👟
87'
M
Amar Memić
1 👟
87'
M
9
Denis Višinský
F
Denis Višinský
F
80
Prince Kwabena Adu
1 ⚽
72'
F
Prince Kwabena Adu
1 ⚽
72'
F
18
T. Ladra
61'
F
T. Ladra
61'
F
Bench
16
Adam Kadlec
24'
D
Adam Kadlec
24'
D
12
Alexandr Sojka
35'
M
Alexandr Sojka
35'
M
19
C. Souaré
M
C. Souaré
M
10
M. Toure
24'
F
M. Toure
24'
F
11
M. Vydra
9'
F
M. Vydra
9'
F
21
Václav Jemelka
D
Best on the pitch
G · Plzen
7.70
· 27 pass
Prince Kwabena Adu
F · Plzen
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 11 pass
Ondrej Kricfalusi
M · Baník
7.30
1 shots
· 32 pass
Amar Memić
M · Plzen
7.30
1 👟
· 22 pass
M · Plzen
7.30
1 shots
· 40 pass
G · Baník
7.20
· 38 pass
Baník Ostrava — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 39% | — | — | — | |
| M. Frydrych | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jiří Boula | D | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Vlasiy Sinyavskiy | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| Ondrej Kricfalusi | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| David Planka | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — |
| M. Rusnak | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Abdullahi Bewene | F | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Abdallah Gning | F | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 5 | 16 | 11% | 4 | 1 | — |
| V. Jurečka | F | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Artúr Musák | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Daniel Holzer | M | 51 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Filip Šancl | M | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jakub Pira | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
Plzen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — | |
| Karel Spáčil | D | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 51 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Sampson Dweh | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Krčík | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Jiří Panoš | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 38% | 2 | — | — | |
| Lukáš Červ | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Amar Memić | M | 87 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Denis Višinský | F | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Prince Kwabena Adu | F | 72 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| T. Ladra | F | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Adam Kadlec | D | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Alexandr Sojka | M | 35 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Toure | F | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Vydra | F | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Baník Ostrava vs Plzen?
The final score was Baník Ostrava 0–1 Plzen.
What did the model predict before Baník Ostrava vs Plzen?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Baník Ostrava win, 25% to a draw, and 51% to an Plzen win.