Czech Liga
· Regular Season - 27
April 25, 2026 16:00
35'
(ast. A. Memic)
P. Adu
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Plzen a 51% win probability (draw 25%, Baník Ostrava 23%). The final result was Baník Ostrava 0–1 Plzen. In 1 previous meetings, Baník Ostrava have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Plzen.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
9
0
Shots on target
4
1.19
Actual xG
1.02
3
Saves
0
47%
Possession
53%
4
Corners
8
14
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
35'
ast. A. Memic ·
P. Adu⚽
M. Rusnak
/ D. Holzer
46'
A. Bewene
/ F. Sancl
59'
61'
M. Valenta
/
J. Panos
61'
A. Sojka
/
T. Ladra
72'
M. Toure
/
P. Adu
72'
A. Kadlec
/
K. Spacil
V. Jurecka
/ J. Pira
74'
J. Pira
75'
J. Boula
/ A. Musak
82'
87'
M. Vydra
/
A. Memic
M. Frydrych
89'
A. Gning
90'+4
90'+4
A. Kadlec
Pre-match prediction
23.35%
Baník
25.08%
X
51.58%
Plzen ←
we assigned to the actual result (Plzen)
51.58%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.06
1.19
+0.14
1.80
1.02
-0.78
xG dominance was balanced (1.19 – 1.02).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
G
6
D
17
M. Frydrych
D
M. Frydrych
D
5
J. Boula
82'
D
J. Boula
82'
D
99
V. Sinyavskiy
M
V. Sinyavskiy
M
80
O. Kričfaluši
M
O. Kričfaluši
M
18
D. Planka
M
D. Planka
M
66
M. Rusnák
45'
M
34
A. Bewene
59'
F
A. Bewene
59'
F
12
A. Gning
F
A. Gning
F
15
V. Jurečka
74'
F
V. Jurečka
74'
F
Bench
55
Artúr Musák
14'
M
Artúr Musák
14'
M
95
D. Holzer
51'
M
D. Holzer
51'
M
19
Filip Šancl
37'
M
Filip Šancl
37'
M
29
Jakub Pira
22'
F
20
Pablo Ortíz
D
Pablo Ortíz
D
44
G
5
Karel Spáčil
72'
D
Karel Spáčil
72'
D
40
S. Dweh
D
S. Dweh
D
37
D. Krčík
D
D. Krčík
D
20
Jiří Maxim Panoš
60'
M
Jiří Maxim Panoš
60'
M
17
M
6
L. Červ
M
L. Červ
M
99
A. Memić
1 👟
87'
M
A. Memić
1 👟
87'
M
9
D. Višinský
F
D. Višinský
F
80
Prince Kwabena Adu
1 ⚽
72'
F
Prince Kwabena Adu
1 ⚽
72'
F
18
T. Ladra
61'
F
T. Ladra
61'
F
Bench
16
Adam Kadlec
24'
D
Adam Kadlec
24'
D
12
A. Sojka
35'
M
A. Sojka
35'
M
19
C. Souaré
M
C. Souaré
M
10
M. Toure
24'
F
M. Toure
24'
F
11
M. Vydra
9'
F
M. Vydra
9'
F
21
Václav Jemelka
D
Best on the pitch
G · Plzen
7.70
· 27 pass
Prince Kwabena Adu
F · Plzen
7.50
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 11 pass
O. Kričfaluši
M · Baník
7.30
1 shots
· 32 pass
A. Memić
M · Plzen
7.30
1 👟
· 22 pass
M · Plzen
7.30
1 shots
· 40 pass
G · Baník
7.20
· 38 pass
Baník Ostrava — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| D | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 52 | 39% | — | — | — | |
| M. Frydrych | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 44 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Boula | D | 82 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 33 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| V. Sinyavskiy | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 24% | — | — | — |
| O. Kričfaluši | M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | 3 | — | — |
| D. Planka | M | 96 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — |
| M. Rusnák | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Bewene | F | 59 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Gning | F | 96 | 6.60 | — | — | 5 | 16 | 11% | 4 | 1 | — |
| V. Jurečka | F | 74 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Artúr Musák | M | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| D. Holzer | M | 51 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 14 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Filip Šancl | M | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Jakub Pira | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 3 | 1% | — | 1 | — |
Plzen — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 96 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 19% | 1 | — | — | |
| Karel Spáčil | D | 72 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 51 | 39% | — | — | — |
| S. Dweh | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 51 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Krčík | D | 96 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 55 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Jiří Maxim Panoš | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| M | 96 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 38% | 2 | — | — | |
| L. Červ | M | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Memić | M | 87 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| D. Višinský | F | 96 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| Prince Kwabena Adu | F | 72 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 3 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| T. Ladra | F | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Adam Kadlec | D | 24 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| A. Sojka | M | 35 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Toure | F | 24 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| M. Vydra | F | 9 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Baník Ostrava vs Plzen?
The final score was Baník Ostrava 0–1 Plzen.
What did the model predict before Baník Ostrava vs Plzen?
The model assigned 23% probability to a Baník Ostrava win, 25% to a draw, and 51% to an Plzen win.