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Barau FC - Ranchers Bees

NPFL September 13, 2026 17:00
#2 · 4 pts
vs
#4 · 3 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
32.29%
Win
Barau FC
31.32%
Draw
36.39%
Win
Ranchers Bees
1.65
Expected xG
2.5

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (12.64%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 31%
2 36%
Double Chance
1X 64%
X2 68%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 74%
Over 2.5 52%
✓ 50.0% hit rate (16 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Ranchers Bees a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 32% for Barau FC. Expected goals are 1.6 for Barau FC and 2.5 for Ranchers Bees (total 4.2), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.64% probability.

Season Stats

Barau FC
6W 5D 4L
Ranchers Bees
1W 0D 1L
Averages per game
1.1
Goals
2.5
0.5
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
47%
O 1.5
100%
40%
O 2.5
100%
27%
BTTS
50%
53%
Clean Sht
50%
Based on the last 15 matches in NPFL. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
55%
O 3.5
70%
BTTS
Barau FC
8W 2D 0L · at home
Ranchers Bees
0W 0D 1L · away
1.8
gls/g
1.0
0.4
Conceded
3.0
80%
Win %
0%
100%
Win or Draw
0%
70%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
10%
O 3.5
100%
40%
BTTS
100%
60%
Clean Sht
0%
10%
Failed to Score
0%
last 10
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Barau FC Ranchers Bees →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.6% 3.9% 4.9% 4.1% 2.6% 1.3%
1 2.6% 6.5% 8.1% 6.8% 4.2% 2.1%
2 2.1% 5.4% 6.7% 5.6% 3.5% 1.7%
3 1.2% 2.9% 3.7% 3.1% 1.9% 1.0%
4 0.5% 1.2% 1.5% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%

Recent form

D Kun Khalifat FC 0–0
W Nasarawa United 3–1
W Nasarawa United 3–0
L Shooting Stars 1–0
W El Kanemi Warriors 3–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 33%
W Abia Warriors 4–0
L Ikorodu City 3–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 23%

Playing profile

Barau FC Barau FC
Attack
19
Defence
54
Form
37
Ranchers Bees Ranchers Bees
Attack
63
Defence
63
Form
51
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

League Table

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Barau FC vs Ranchers Bees?
The model gives Barau FC a 32% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 36% for an Ranchers Bees win.
How many goals are expected in Barau FC vs Ranchers Bees?
Expected goals: Barau FC 1.6, Ranchers Bees 2.5 (total 4.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Barau FC vs Ranchers Bees?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.64%.