Barbados - Guadeloupe
CONCACAF Nations League
November 11, 2026 22:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
58.56%
Win
Barbados
26.11%
Draw
15.33%
Win
Guadeloupe
1.48
0.48
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Barbados
58.56%
Probability
83.3%
1X2 accuracy · 24 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(19.4%)
1X2 Result
✓ 83.3% hit rate (24 picks)
1
59%
X
26%
2
15%
Double Chance
✓ 95.8% hit rate (24 picks)
1X
85%
X2
41%
12
74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
66%
Over 2.5
34%
✓ 71.4% hit rate (42 picks)
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Barbados a 58% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 15% for Guadeloupe. Expected goals are 1.5 for Barbados and 0.5 for Guadeloupe (total 2.0), with a 66% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 19.4% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Barbados have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Guadeloupe.
Season Stats
3W
1D
0L
1W
1D
2L
Averages per game
2.5
Goals
1.0
1.0
Conceded
1.8
5.3
Shots OT
4.0
4.5
Corners
5.0
54%
Poss.
51%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
75%
75%
O 2.5
75%
75%
BTTS
50%
25%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 4 matches in CONCACAF Nations League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
2W
0D
0L
· at home
1W
0D
1L
· away
3.0
gls/g
1.0
0.5
Conceded
2.0
100%
Win %
50%
100%
Win or Draw
50%
100%
O 1.5
100%
50%
O 2.5
100%
50%
O 3.5
0%
50%
BTTS
50%
50%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
50%
last 2
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Barbados
Guadeloupe →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.1% | 6.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 1 | 20.8% | 10.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% | — | — |
| 2 | 15.3% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 3 | 7.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Barbados
Attack
54
Defence
68
Form
68
Guadeloupe
Attack
32
Defence
60
Form
42
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
0
1
Draw
0
28 Sep 2026
2–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Barbados vs Guadeloupe?
The model gives Barbados a 58% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 15% for an Guadeloupe win.
How many goals are expected in Barbados vs Guadeloupe?
Expected goals: Barbados 1.5, Guadeloupe 0.5 (total 2.0). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 66%.
What is the most likely score in Barbados vs Guadeloupe?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 19.4%.