Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 4
May 06, 2026 02:00
H. Villalba
(ast. J. R. Quinonez Ruiz)
73'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Boca Juniors a 50% win probability (draw 24%, Barcelona SC 24%). The final result was Barcelona SC 1–0 Boca Juniors. In 1 previous meetings, Barcelona SC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Boca Juniors.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
5
1.10
Actual xG
1.33
4
Saves
0
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
4
12
Tackles
13
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
10'
T. Aranda
24'
J. Garcia
/
L. Brey
33'
S. Ascacibar
33'
Miguel Merentiel
B. Castillo
38'
D. Benedetto
45'+1
M. Celiz
45'+6
D. Benedetto
/ J. Intriago
46'
B. Carabali
53'
61'
E. Zeballos
/
T. Aranda
B. Castillo
/ H. Villalba
61'
61'
A. Velasco
/
Miguel Merentiel
M. Lugo
68'
J. Wila
/ M. Parrales
71'
⚽H. Villalba
· ast. J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
73'
A. Rangel
81'
B. Carabali
/ C. Montano
84'
J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
/ W. Vargas
84'
89'
Angel Romero
/
M. Delgado
90'+5
A. Velasco
90'
A. Costa
Pre-match prediction
24.43%
Barcelona ←
24.82%
X
50.75%
Boca
we assigned to the actual result (Barcelona SC)
24.43%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.96
1.10
+0.14
1.62
1.33
-0.29
xG dominance was balanced (1.10 – 1.33).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
José Contreras
G
José Contreras
G
4
G. Vallecilla
D
G. Vallecilla
D
14
A. Rangel
D
A. Rangel
D
33
D
18
Bryan Carabalí
83'
D
Bryan Carabalí
83'
D
28
J. Quiñónez
1 👟
84'
M
J. Quiñónez
1 👟
84'
M
32
M. Lugo
M
M. Lugo
M
51
Jefferson Wila
71'
M
Jefferson Wila
71'
M
8
M. Céliz
51'
M
M. Céliz
51'
M
26
B. Castillo
60'
M
B. Castillo
60'
M
9
D. Benedetto
45'
F
D. Benedetto
45'
F
Bench
21
H. Villalba
1 ⚽
34'
F
H. Villalba
1 ⚽
34'
F
35
J. Intriago
49'
M
J. Intriago
49'
M
3
L. Sosa
D
L. Sosa
D
70
Marcos Mejía
F
Marcos Mejía
F
11
M. Parrales
23'
F
M. Parrales
23'
F
23
T. Martínez
M
T. Martínez
M
12
L. Brey
24'
G
L. Brey
24'
G
3
L. Blanco
D
L. Blanco
D
32
A. Costa
D
A. Costa
D
2
L. Di Lollo
D
L. Di Lollo
D
23
M. Weigandt
D
M. Weigandt
D
36
Tomás Aranda
60'
M
Tomás Aranda
60'
M
18
M. Delgado
89'
M
M. Delgado
89'
M
5
L. Paredes
M
L. Paredes
M
25
S. Ascacíbar
33'
M
S. Ascacíbar
33'
M
16
M. Merentiel
61'
F
M. Merentiel
61'
F
9
M. Giménez
F
M. Giménez
F
Bench
29
Á. Romero
5'
F
Á. Romero
5'
F
20
A. Velasco
33'
M
A. Velasco
33'
M
7
Exequiel Zeballos
34'
F
Exequiel Zeballos
34'
F
24
J. Barinaga
D
J. Barinaga
D
27
M. Braida
M
M. Braida
M
30
Tomás Belmonte
M
Tomás Belmonte
M
15
W. Alarcón
M
W. Alarcón
M
Best on the pitch
José Contreras
G · Barcelona
9.30
· 21 pass
L. Paredes
M · Boca
9.30
1 shots
· 45 pass
H. Villalba
F · Barcelona
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
D. Benedetto
F · Barcelona
7.50
· 5 pass
J. Quiñónez
M · Barcelona
7.30
1 👟
· 29 pass
A. Rangel
D · Barcelona
7.20
1 shots
· 10 pass
Barcelona SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| José Contreras | G | 94 | 9.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 10% | — | — | — |
| G. Vallecilla | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Rangel | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | 1 | — | — | |
| Bryan Carabalí | D | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Quiñónez | M | 84 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Lugo | M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 24% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jefferson Wila | M | 71 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| M. Céliz | M | 51 | 5.60 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | 1 |
| B. Castillo | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Benedetto | F | 45 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| H. Villalba | F | 34 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Intriago | M | 49 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Parrales | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Boca Juniors — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Brey | G | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| L. Blanco | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 14% | 5 | — | — |
| A. Costa | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| L. Di Lollo | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Weigandt | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomás Aranda | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Delgado | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Paredes | M | 94 | 9.30 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Ascacíbar | M | 33 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | 1 |
| M. Merentiel | F | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| M. Giménez | F | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Á. Romero | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| A. Velasco | M | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Exequiel Zeballos | F | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs Boca Juniors?
The final score was Barcelona SC 1–0 Boca Juniors.
What did the model predict before Barcelona SC vs Boca Juniors?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Barcelona SC win, 24% to a draw, and 50% to an Boca Juniors win.