Copa Libertadores
· Group Stage - 4
May 06, 2026 02:00
H. Villalba
(ast. J. R. Quinonez Ruiz)
73'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Boca Juniors a 50% win probability (draw 24%, Barcelona SC 24%). The final result was Barcelona SC 1–0 Boca Juniors. In 1 previous meetings, Barcelona SC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Boca Juniors.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
5
1.10
Actual xG
1.33
4
Saves
0
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
4
12
Tackles
13
5
🟨 Yellow cards
3
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
10'
T. Aranda
24'
J. Garcia
/
L. Brey
33'
S. Ascacibar
33'
Miguel Merentiel
B. Castillo
38'
D. Benedetto
45'+1
M. Celiz
45'+6
D. Benedetto
/ J. Intriago
46'
B. Carabali
53'
61'
E. Zeballos
/
T. Aranda
B. Castillo
/ H. Villalba
61'
61'
A. Velasco
/
Miguel Merentiel
M. Lugo
68'
J. Wila
/ M. Parrales
71'
⚽H. Villalba
· ast. J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
73'
A. Rangel
81'
B. Carabali
/ C. Montano
84'
J. R. Quinonez Ruiz
/ W. Vargas
84'
89'
Angel Romero
/
M. Delgado
90'+5
A. Velasco
90'
A. Costa
Pre-match prediction
24.43%
Barcelona ←
24.82%
X
50.75%
Boca
we assigned to the actual result (Barcelona SC)
24.43%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.96
1.10
+0.14
1.62
1.33
-0.29
xG dominance was balanced (1.10 – 1.33).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
J. Contreras
G
J. Contreras
G
4
Gustavo Vallecilla
D
Gustavo Vallecilla
D
14
A. Rangel
D
A. Rangel
D
33
D
18
B. Carabalí
83'
D
B. Carabalí
83'
D
28
J. Quiñónez
1 👟
84'
M
J. Quiñónez
1 👟
84'
M
32
M. Lugo
M
M. Lugo
M
51
Jefferson Wila
71'
M
Jefferson Wila
71'
M
8
Milton Celiz
51'
M
Milton Celiz
51'
M
26
Byron Castillo
60'
M
Byron Castillo
60'
M
9
D. Benedetto
45'
F
D. Benedetto
45'
F
Bench
21
H. Villalba
1 ⚽
34'
F
H. Villalba
1 ⚽
34'
F
35
J. Intriago
49'
M
J. Intriago
49'
M
3
Luca Sosa
D
Luca Sosa
D
70
Marcos Mejía
F
Marcos Mejía
F
11
Miguel Parrales
23'
F
Miguel Parrales
23'
F
23
T. Martínez
M
T. Martínez
M
12
Leandro Brey
24'
G
Leandro Brey
24'
G
3
Lautaro Blanco
D
Lautaro Blanco
D
32
Ayrton Costa
D
Ayrton Costa
D
2
Lautaro Di Lollo
D
Lautaro Di Lollo
D
23
Marcelo Weigandt
D
Marcelo Weigandt
D
36
Tomás Aranda
60'
M
Tomás Aranda
60'
M
18
Milton Delgado
89'
M
Milton Delgado
89'
M
5
L. Paredes
M
L. Paredes
M
25
Santiago Ascacíbar
33'
M
Santiago Ascacíbar
33'
M
16
M. Merentiel
61'
F
M. Merentiel
61'
F
9
Milton Giménez
F
Milton Giménez
F
Bench
20
Alan Velasco
33'
M
Alan Velasco
33'
M
29
Ángel Romero
5'
F
Ángel Romero
5'
F
7
Exequiel Zeballos
34'
F
Exequiel Zeballos
34'
F
24
Juan Barinaga
D
Juan Barinaga
D
27
Malcom Braida
M
Malcom Braida
M
30
Tomás Belmonte
M
Tomás Belmonte
M
15
Williams Alarcón
M
Williams Alarcón
M
Best on the pitch
J. Contreras
G · Barcelona
9.30
· 21 pass
L. Paredes
M · Boca
9.30
1 shots
· 45 pass
H. Villalba
F · Barcelona
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 9 pass
D. Benedetto
F · Barcelona
7.50
· 5 pass
J. Quiñónez
M · Barcelona
7.30
1 👟
· 29 pass
A. Rangel
D · Barcelona
7.20
1 shots
· 10 pass
Barcelona SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Contreras | G | 94 | 9.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Vallecilla | D | 94 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Rangel | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 8% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | 1 | — | — | |
| B. Carabalí | D | 83 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 14% | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. Quiñónez | M | 84 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 29 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Lugo | M | 94 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 24% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Jefferson Wila | M | 71 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Milton Celiz | M | 51 | 5.60 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 6% | 2 | — | 1 |
| Byron Castillo | M | 60 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| D. Benedetto | F | 45 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| H. Villalba | F | 34 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Intriago | M | 49 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Miguel Parrales | F | 23 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
Boca Juniors — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leandro Brey | G | 24 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Lautaro Blanco | D | 94 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 24 | 14% | 5 | — | — |
| Ayrton Costa | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 20% | — | 1 | — |
| Lautaro Di Lollo | D | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 36 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| Marcelo Weigandt | D | 94 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Tomás Aranda | M | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 23 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
| Milton Delgado | M | 89 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Paredes | M | 94 | 9.30 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 39% | 1 | — | — |
| Santiago Ascacíbar | M | 33 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 1% | — | — | 1 |
| M. Merentiel | F | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | — | 1 | — |
| Milton Giménez | F | 94 | 5.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Alan Velasco | M | 33 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Ángel Romero | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Exequiel Zeballos | F | 34 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs Boca Juniors?
The final score was Barcelona SC 1–0 Boca Juniors.
What did the model predict before Barcelona SC vs Boca Juniors?
The model assigned 24% probability to a Barcelona SC win, 24% to a draw, and 50% to an Boca Juniors win.