LigaPro
· Regular Season - 28
September 03, 2026 02:00
Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha, Guayaquil
✗Model wrong — prediction Independiente del Valle, result Barcelona SC wins
Jefferson Wila
(ast. Tomás Rodríguez)
46'
Darío Benedetto
(ast. Erick Mendoza)
90'+10
(pen.)
40'
Carlos González
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Independiente del Valle a 54% win probability (draw 18%, Barcelona SC 26%). The final result was Barcelona SC 2–1 Independiente del Valle. In 1 previous meetings, Barcelona SC have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Independiente del Valle.
Match statistics
15
Total shots
9
7
Shots on target
4
3
Saves
5
59%
Possession
41%
5
Corners
3
9
Tackles
17
3
🟨 Yellow cards
0
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Damián Díaz
27'
27'
Mateo Carabajal
37'
40'
(pen.)
Carlos González⚽
Jefferson Intriago
44'
45'
Djorkaeff Reascos
/
Carlos González
⚽Jefferson Wila
· ast. Tomás Rodríguez
46'
Pablo Marcelo Trobbiani
50'
José Contreras
60'
63'
Juan Viacava
/
Hugo Quintana
70'
Joaquín Papa Monestier
William·Vargas
/ Byron Castillo
73'
75'
Matias Mijail Perello
/
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
75'
Ronald Briones
/
Junior Sornoza
Luis Cano
/ Erick Mendoza
79'
Jefferson Intriago
/ Jhonny Quinonez
79'
Damián Díaz
/ Darío Benedetto
88'
Jefferson Wila
/ Yaxi Johan García Tenorio
89'
90'+3
Youri Ochoa
/
Jhegson Mendez Carabali
⚽Darío Benedetto
· ast. Erick Mendoza
90'+10
Pre-match prediction
26.66%
Barcelona ←
18.6%
X
54.74%
Independiente
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Barcelona SC)
26.66%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.99
—
—
2.96
—
—
Lineups
1
J. Contreras
G
J. Contreras
G
15
J. Perlaza
D
J. Perlaza
D
4
G. Vallecilla
D
G. Vallecilla
D
33
J. Báez
D
J. Báez
D
27
W. Vargas
73'
D
W. Vargas
73'
D
32
M. Lugo
M
M. Lugo
M
35
J. Intriago
79'
M
J. Intriago
79'
M
51
Jefferson Wila
1 ⚽
89'
M
Jefferson Wila
1 ⚽
89'
M
10
D. Díaz
88'
M
D. Díaz
88'
M
16
L. Cano
79'
M
L. Cano
79'
M
11
T. Rodríguez
1 👟
F
T. Rodríguez
1 👟
F
Bench
14
A. Rangel
D
A. Rangel
D
26
B. Castillo
17'
D
B. Castillo
17'
D
9
D. Benedetto
1 ⚽
2'
F
D. Benedetto
1 ⚽
2'
F
17
D. Gaspar
M
7
E. Mendoza
1 👟
11'
F
E. Mendoza
1 👟
11'
F
13
J. Angulo
G
J. Angulo
G
28
J. Quiñónez
11'
M
J. Quiñónez
11'
M
25
Ronald Perlaza
F
Ronald Perlaza
F
8
S. Díaz
F
S. Díaz
F
23
T. Martínez
M
T. Martínez
M
50
Y. Garcia
1'
M
1
A. Quintana
G
A. Quintana
G
19
L. Loor
D
L. Loor
D
5
R. Schunke
D
R. Schunke
D
14
M. Carabajal
59'
D
M. Carabajal
59'
D
13
Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
D
Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla
D
17
A. Rodríguez
D
A. Rodríguez
D
31
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
75'
M
Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez
75'
M
32
J. Méndez
89'
M
J. Méndez
89'
M
28
H. Quintana
63'
M
H. Quintana
63'
M
10
J. Sornoza
75'
F
J. Sornoza
75'
F
9
C. González
1 ⚽
45'
F
C. González
1 ⚽
45'
F
Bench
33
Andy René Velasco García
D
Andy René Velasco García
D
99
D. Reasco
45'
F
D. Reasco
45'
F
56
E. Quintero
M
E. Quintero
M
15
G. Cortéz
D
G. Cortéz
D
57
H. Quintero
M
H. Quintero
M
4
J. Espinoza
D
J. Espinoza
D
70
M. Peralta
G
M. Peralta
G
11
M. Perelló
15'
F
M. Perelló
15'
F
16
R. Briones
15'
M
R. Briones
15'
M
8
Y. Ochoa
1'
M
Y. Ochoa
1'
M
Best on the pitch
Jefferson Wila
M · Barcelona
7.87
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 18 pass
T. Rodríguez
F · Barcelona
7.70
1 👟
4 shots
· 20 pass
D. Benedetto
F · Barcelona
7.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 2 pass
L. Loor
D · Independiente
7.07
1 shots
· 34 pass
M. Lugo
M · Barcelona
7.03
· 56 pass
J. Perlaza
D · Barcelona
6.87
2 shots
· 29 pass
Barcelona SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Contreras | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 16% | 0 | 1 | — |
| J. Perlaza | D | 90 | 6.87 | — | — | 2 | 29 | 27% | 2 | — | — |
| G. Vallecilla | D | 90 | 6.84 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 48% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Báez | D | 90 | 6.64 | — | — | 1 | 74 | 64% | 0 | — | — |
| W. Vargas | D | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Lugo | M | 90 | 7.03 | — | — | 0 | 56 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Intriago | M | 79 | 6.46 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 52% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Jefferson Wila | M | 89 | 7.87 | 1 | — | 3 | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Díaz | M | 88 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 40% | 2 | 1 | — |
| L. Cano | M | 79 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Rodríguez | F | 90 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 4 | 20 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Castillo | D | 17 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 11% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Benedetto | F | 2 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Mendoza | F | 11 | 6.62 | — | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Quiñónez | M | 11 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Garcia | M | 1 | 6.28 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Independiente del Valle — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Quintana | G | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Loor | D | 90 | 7.07 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Schunke | D | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Carabajal | D | 59 | 5.37 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 24% | 0 | — | 1 |
| Daykol Alejandro Romero Padilla | D | 90 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Rodríguez | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | 3 | — | — |
| Emerson Ivan Pata Rodríguez | M | 75 | 6.25 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Méndez | M | 89 | 6.46 | — | — | 1 | 50 | 40% | 3 | — | — |
| H. Quintana | M | 63 | 6.17 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Sornoza | F | 75 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| C. González | F | 45 | 6.77 | 1 | — | 1 | 6 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Reasco | F | 45 | 6.62 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Perelló | F | 15 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Briones | M | 15 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Y. Ochoa | M | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 2% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs Independiente del Valle?
The final score was Barcelona SC 2–1 Independiente del Valle.
What did the model predict before Barcelona SC vs Independiente del Valle?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Barcelona SC win, 18% to a draw, and 54% to an Independiente del Valle win.