LigaPro
· Championship Group - 3
October 18, 2026 23:30
Estadio Monumental Isidro Romero Carbo, Guayaquil
Erick Mendoza
90'+5
65'
Azarias Londono
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Barcelona SC a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Universidad Catolica 31%). The final result was Barcelona SC 1–1 Universidad Catolica. In 2 previous meetings, Barcelona SC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Universidad Catolica.
Match statistics
1
Shots on target
1
0.55
Actual xG
0.28
53%
Possession
47%
4
Corners
2
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
9'
19'
Gregori Anangonó
Tomás Rodríguez
19'
Jonathan Perlaza
62'
65'
Azarias Londono⚽
71'
Azarias Londono
Johan Garcia
72'
Darío Benedetto
/ Luis Cano
73'
Johan Garcia
/ Jefferson Intriago
73'
Damián Díaz
/ Sergio Díaz
80'
81'
Jonnathan Mina
/
Mauricio Sebastian·Alonso Pereda
Jefferson Wila
/ Erick Mendoza
81'
81'
Carlos Medina
/
Mauro Díaz
Matias Gonzalo Lugo
86'
Jonathan Perlaza
/ Byron Castillo
87'
90'+1
Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo
/
Eddy Mejia
90'+1
Byron Palacios
/
José Fajardo
⚽Erick Mendoza
90'+5
Pre-match prediction
37.04%
Barcelona
31.3%
X ←
31.66%
Universidad
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
31.3%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.94
0.55
-0.39
0.86
0.28
-0.58
xG dominance was balanced (0.55 – 0.28).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Contreras
G
J. Contreras
G
15
J. Perlaza
87'
D
J. Perlaza
87'
D
4
G. Vallecilla
D
G. Vallecilla
D
33
J. Báez
D
J. Báez
D
18
B. Carabalí
D
B. Carabalí
D
50
J. García
73'
M
J. García
73'
M
32
M. Lugo
M
M. Lugo
M
51
Jefferson Wila
81'
M
Jefferson Wila
81'
M
10
D. Díaz
80'
M
D. Díaz
80'
M
11
T. Rodríguez
M
T. Rodríguez
M
9
D. Benedetto
73'
F
D. Benedetto
73'
F
Bench
14
A. Rangel
D
A. Rangel
D
26
B. Castillo
3'
D
B. Castillo
3'
D
20
C. Medina
F
C. Medina
F
7
E. Mendoza
1 ⚽
9'
F
E. Mendoza
1 ⚽
9'
F
21
H. Villalba
F
H. Villalba
F
35
J. Intriago
17'
M
J. Intriago
17'
M
28
J. Quiñónez
M
J. Quiñónez
M
16
L. Cano
17'
F
L. Cano
17'
F
8
S. Díaz
10'
F
S. Díaz
10'
F
23
T. Martínez
M
T. Martínez
M
12
J. Lara
G
J. Lara
G
30
E. Mejía
89'
D
E. Mejía
89'
D
3
D
33
L. Cangá
D
L. Cangá
D
29
G. Anangonó
D
G. Anangonó
D
32
M. Alonso
81'
M
M. Alonso
81'
M
5
J. Cacciabue
M
J. Cacciabue
M
8
D. Clavijo
M
D. Clavijo
M
9
A. Londoño
1 ⚽
M
A. Londoño
1 ⚽
M
28
M. Díaz
81'
F
M. Díaz
81'
F
7
J. Fajardo
89'
F
J. Fajardo
89'
F
Bench
23
Alex Andrés Rodríguez Reascos
M
Alex Andrés Rodríguez Reascos
M
18
B. Palacios
1'
F
B. Palacios
1'
F
37
C. Medina
9'
D
C. Medina
9'
D
24
Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo
1'
D
Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo
1'
D
44
E. Valencia
D
E. Valencia
D
10
F. Martínez
M
F. Martínez
M
26
Foad Eid
F
Foad Eid
F
14
J. Mina
9'
D
J. Mina
9'
D
15
L. Moreno
D
L. Moreno
D
1
Lucas Cueva Gordillo
G
Lucas Cueva Gordillo
G
19
M. Sevillano
M
M. Sevillano
M
17
R. Troya
M
R. Troya
M
Best on the pitch
E. Mendoza
F · Barcelona
7.90
1 ⚽
A. Londoño
M · Universidad
7.35
1 ⚽
J. Mina
D · Universidad
7.00
G. Vallecilla
D · Barcelona
6.90
E. Mejía
D · Universidad
6.90
D. Benedetto
F · Barcelona
6.80
Barcelona SC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Contreras | G | 90 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Perlaza | D | 87 | 6.15 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 1 | — |
| G. Vallecilla | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Báez | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Carabalí | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| J. García | M | 73 | 5.75 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Lugo | M | 90 | 6.15 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Jefferson Wila | M | 81 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Díaz | M | 80 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| T. Rodríguez | M | 90 | 5.95 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 1 | — |
| D. Benedetto | F | 73 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Castillo | D | 3 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Mendoza | F | 9 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Intriago | M | 17 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Cano | F | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Díaz | F | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Universidad Catolica — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lara | G | 90 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Mejía | D | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| L. Cangá | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Anangonó | D | 90 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Alonso | M | 81 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Cacciabue | M | 90 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Clavijo | M | 90 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Londoño | M | 90 | 7.35 | 1 | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | 1 | — |
| M. Díaz | F | 81 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Fajardo | F | 89 | 6.06 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Palacios | F | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Medina | D | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Darwin Carlos Nazareno Arroyo | D | 1 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Mina | D | 9 | 7.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica?
The final score was Barcelona SC 1–1 Universidad Catolica.
What did the model predict before Barcelona SC vs Universidad Catolica?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Barcelona SC win, 31% to a draw, and 31% to an Universidad Catolica win.