Barcelona - Aston Villa
Champions League
November 03, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
58.04%
Win
Barcelona
24.66%
Draw
17.3%
Win
Aston Villa
1.83
0.32
Expected xG
Most likely outcome
Barcelona
58.04%
Probability
62.5%
1X2 accuracy · 8 predictions (3 months)
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(16.37%)
1X2 Result
1
58%
X
25%
2
17%
Double Chance
1X
83%
X2
42%
12
75%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
59%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Barcelona a 58% win probability, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Aston Villa. Expected goals are 1.8 for Barcelona and 0.3 for Aston Villa (total 2.2), with a 79% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 16.37% probability.
Season Stats
8W
2D
3L
1W
0D
0L
Averages per game
2.8
Goals
3.0
1.6
Conceded
2.0
7.2
Shots OT
9.0
4.8
Corners
5.0
64%
Poss.
36%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
85%
O 2.5
100%
85%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ
Based on the last 13 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
79%
O 3.5
93%
BTTS
5W
0D
2L
· at home
1W
0D
0L
· away
3.6
gls/g
3.0
1.4
Conceded
2.0
71%
Win %
100%
71%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
86%
O 2.5
100%
57%
O 3.5
100%
86%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
14%
Failed to Score
0%
last 7
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Barcelona
Aston Villa →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.6% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 1 | 21.2% | 6.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 2 | 19.4% | 6.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 3 | 11.9% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | — | — | — |
| 5 | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Barcelona
Attack
88
Defence
72
Form
86
Aston Villa
Attack
40
Defence
50
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Barcelona vs Aston Villa?
The model gives Barcelona a 58% win probability, 24% for a draw, and 17% for an Aston Villa win.
How many goals are expected in Barcelona vs Aston Villa?
Expected goals: Barcelona 1.8, Aston Villa 0.3 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 79%.
What is the most likely score in Barcelona vs Aston Villa?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 16.37%.