✓Model correct — prediction Barcelona
Lamine Yamal
40'
(pen.)
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Barcelona a 80% win probability (draw 10%, Celta Vigo 8%). The final result was Barcelona 1–0 Celta Vigo. In 1 previous meetings, Barcelona have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Celta Vigo.
Match statistics
8
Total shots
4
3
Shots on target
3
1.23
Actual xG
1.41
3
Saves
2
61%
Possession
39%
5
Corners
3
21
Tackles
19
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
J. Cancelo
/ A. Balde
23'
⚽Lamine Yamal
(pen.)
40'
Lamine Yamal
/ R. Bardghji
45'+9
Gavi
/ Fermin
46'
55'
59'
Y. Lago
63'
W. Swedberg
/
H. Alvarez
63'
O. Mingueza
/
Y. Lago
72'
B. Iglesias
/
P. Duran
D. Olmo
/ F. de Jong
73'
F. Torres
/ M. Rashford
73'
81'
H. Sotelo
/
F. Jutgla
81'
I. Aspas
/
F. Lopez
E. Garcia
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
80.65%
Barcelona ←
10.8%
X
8.55%
Celta
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Barcelona)
80.65%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.64
1.23
-2.41
1.13
1.41
+0.28
xG dominance was balanced (1.23 – 1.41).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
G
2
João Cancelo
23'
D
João Cancelo
23'
D
18
Gerard Martín
D
Gerard Martín
D
5
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
D
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
D
23
J. Koundé
D
J. Koundé
D
8
Pedri
M
Pedri
M
24
Eric García
M
Eric García
M
6
Gavi
45'
M
Gavi
45'
M
20
Dani Olmo
73'
M
Dani Olmo
73'
M
10
Lamine Yamal
1 ⚽
54'
M
Lamine Yamal
1 ⚽
54'
M
7
Ferran Torres
73'
F
Ferran Torres
73'
F
Bench
3
Alejandro Balde
71'
D
Alejandro Balde
71'
D
21
F. de Jong
21'
M
F. de Jong
21'
M
16
Fermín
49'
M
Fermín
49'
M
17
Marc Casadó
M
Marc Casadó
M
14
M. Rashford
21'
F
M. Rashford
21'
F
4
R. Araújo
D
R. Araújo
D
19
R. Bardghji
40'
F
R. Bardghji
40'
F
9
R. Lewandowski
F
R. Lewandowski
F
13
I. Radu
G
I. Radu
G
20
Marcos Alonso
D
Marcos Alonso
D
29
Yoel Lago
63'
D
Yoel Lago
63'
D
32
Javi Rodríguez
D
Javi Rodríguez
D
5
M
6
I. Moriba
M
I. Moriba
M
8
Fer López
81'
M
Fer López
81'
M
17
Javi Rueda
M
Javi Rueda
M
23
Hugo Álvarez
63'
F
Hugo Álvarez
63'
F
18
Pablo Durán
72'
F
Pablo Durán
72'
F
9
Ferran Jutglà
81'
F
Ferran Jutglà
81'
F
Bench
14
Álvaro Núñez
D
Álvaro Núñez
D
36
Andrés Antañón
M
Andrés Antañón
M
7
Borja Iglesias
22'
F
Borja Iglesias
22'
F
22
Hugo Sotelo
13'
M
Hugo Sotelo
13'
M
10
Iago Aspas
13'
F
Iago Aspas
13'
F
15
Matías Vecino
M
Matías Vecino
M
3
Óscar Mingueza
31'
D
Óscar Mingueza
31'
D
19
W. Swedberg
31'
M
W. Swedberg
31'
M
Best on the pitch
G · Barcelona
8.30
· 28 pass
Lamine Yamal
M · Barcelona
8.20
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 15 pass
Gerard Martín
D · Barcelona
7.90
· 100 pass
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
D · Barcelona
7.70
· 117 pass
Pedri
M · Barcelona
7.30
1 shots
· 90 pass
Fermín
M · Barcelona
7.20
1 shots
· 27 pass
Barcelona — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 94 | 8.30 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | — | — | — | |
| João Cancelo | D | 23 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 2 | — | — |
| Gerard Martín | D | 94 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 100 | 93% | 3 | — | — |
| Pau Cubarsí Paredes | D | 94 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 117 | 114% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Koundé | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 86 | 82% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedri | M | 94 | 7.30 | — | — | 1 | 90 | 84% | 3 | — | — |
| Eric García | M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 66 | 59% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Gavi | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 12 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Dani Olmo | M | 73 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 35 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Lamine Yamal | M | 54 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 3 | 15 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Ferran Torres | F | 73 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Balde | D | 71 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 51 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| F. de Jong | M | 21 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 17 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Fermín | M | 49 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 24% | 4 | — | — |
| M. Rashford | F | 21 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
| R. Bardghji | F | 40 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
Celta Vigo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Radu | G | 94 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Marcos Alonso | D | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 69 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| Yoel Lago | D | 63 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 36 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| Javi Rodríguez | D | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 68 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| M | 94 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 2 | — | — | |
| I. Moriba | M | 94 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 42 | 37% | 5 | — | — |
| Fer López | M | 81 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 34% | 4 | — | — |
| Javi Rueda | M | 94 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Hugo Álvarez | F | 63 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Pablo Durán | F | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 3 | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Ferran Jutglà | F | 81 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Borja Iglesias | F | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Sotelo | M | 13 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Iago Aspas | F | 13 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Óscar Mingueza | D | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | — | — |
| W. Swedberg | M | 31 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Barcelona vs Celta Vigo?
The final score was Barcelona 1–0 Celta Vigo.
What did the model predict before Barcelona vs Celta Vigo?
The model assigned 80% probability to a Barcelona win, 10% to a draw, and 8% to an Celta Vigo win.