Barcelona - Manchester City
Champions League
December 08, 2026 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
44.44%
Win
Barcelona
30.2%
Draw
25.36%
Win
Manchester City
1.45
0.5
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(14.1%)
1X2 Result
1
44%
X
30%
2
25%
Double Chance
1X
75%
X2
56%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
55%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Barcelona a 44% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 25% for Manchester City. Expected goals are 1.5 for Barcelona and 0.5 for Manchester City (total 1.9), with a 77% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 14.1% probability.
Season Stats
8W
2D
3L
6W
1D
4L
Averages per game
2.8
Goals
1.6
1.6
Conceded
1.3
7.2
Shots OT
7.1
4.8
Corners
6.2
64%
Poss.
59%
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
85%
O 2.5
55%
85%
BTTS
45%
0%
Clean Sht
36%
ℹ
Based on the last 13 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
45%
O 3.5
68%
BTTS
5W
0D
2L
· at home
3W
1D
2L
· away
3.6
gls/g
1.5
1.4
Conceded
1.5
71%
Win %
50%
71%
Win or Draw
67%
100%
O 1.5
100%
86%
O 2.5
67%
57%
O 3.5
33%
86%
BTTS
50%
0%
Clean Sht
33%
14%
Failed to Score
17%
last 7
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Barcelona
Manchester City →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 14.3% | 7.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 1 | 20.7% | 10.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — |
| 2 | 15.0% | 7.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | — | — |
| 3 | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 4 | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — | — |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
Recent form
Playing profile
Barcelona
Attack
88
Defence
72
Form
86
Manchester City
Attack
57
Defence
73
Form
73
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Barcelona vs Manchester City?
The model gives Barcelona a 44% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 25% for an Manchester City win.
How many goals are expected in Barcelona vs Manchester City?
Expected goals: Barcelona 1.5, Manchester City 0.5 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 77%.
What is the most likely score in Barcelona vs Manchester City?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 14.1%.